Rochdale

Rochdale

VS Scheduled Saturday 28 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 17

Barnet

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Fleetwood Town1–2Rochdale
2026-09-19	26/27	Rochdale2–0Oldham
2026-09-13	26/27	Walsall0–0Rochdale
2026-09-12	26/27	Walsall0–0Rochdale
2026-09-05	26/27	Rochdale1–4Gillingham
2026-09-01	26/27	Rochdale3–0Shrewsbury
2026-08-29	26/27	Colchester1–0Rochdale
2026-08-22	26/27	Rochdale1–2Crawley Town

Barnet

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Barnet3–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-13	26/27	Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-12	26/27	Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-05	26/27	Chesterfield3–3Barnet
2026-09-01	26/27	Exeter1–1Barnet
2026-08-29	26/27	Barnet2–2Cheltenham
2026-08-22	26/27	Shrewsbury1–3Barnet
2026-08-15	26/27	Barnet3–1Salford

Rochdale Barnet

Wins

38%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

88%

Both teams scored

38%

100%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Rochdale

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Rochdale		Barnet	1
15	Rochdale		Cheltenham	2
15	Rochdale		York	3
15	Rochdale		Grimsby	4
15	Rochdale		Walsall	5
15	Rochdale	1–4	Gillingham	6	33′ Away
15	Rochdale		Bristol Rvs	7
15	Rochdale		Salford	8
15	Rochdale		Chesterfield	9
15	Rochdale		Crewe	10
15	Rochdale		Rotherham	11
15	Rochdale		Fleetwood Town	12
15	Rochdale		Tranmere	13
15	Rochdale		Colchester	14
15 · Rochdale
15	Rochdale	3–0	Shrewsbury	16	33′ Home
15	Rochdale		Swindon	17
15	Rochdale		Newport County	18
15	Rochdale		Port Vale	19
15	Rochdale		Accrington	20
15	Rochdale	2–0	Oldham	21	7′ Home
15	Rochdale		Exeter	22
15	Rochdale		Northampton	23
15	Rochdale	1–2	Crawley Town	24	8′ Away

Barnet

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Barnet
2	Cheltenham		Barnet	1
3	York		Barnet	1
4	Grimsby		Barnet	1
5	Walsall		Barnet	1
6	Gillingham		Barnet	1
7	Bristol Rvs		Barnet	1
8	Salford		Barnet	1
9	Chesterfield	3–3	Barnet	1	29′ Away
10	Crewe		Barnet	1
11	Rotherham		Barnet	1
12	Fleetwood Town		Barnet	1
13	Tranmere		Barnet	1
14	Colchester		Barnet	1
15	Rochdale		Barnet	1
16	Shrewsbury	1–3	Barnet	1	13′ Away
17	Swindon		Barnet	1
18	Newport County		Barnet	1
19	Port Vale		Barnet	1
20	Accrington		Barnet	1
21	Oldham		Barnet	1
22	Exeter	1–1	Barnet	1	60′ Away
23	Northampton		Barnet	1
24	Crawley Town		Barnet	1

Rochdale Home Barnet Away

Wins

50%

33%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

75%

67%

Over 3.5

25%

67%

Both teams scored

50%

100%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

50%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Rochdale

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.00	1.22
Draws	0.0%	40.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.75	0.40	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.00	1.22
Total goals / match	3.25	1.40	2.22
Failed to score	0.0%	80.0%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	60.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	1
46–60	1	2
61–75	1	2
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Barnet

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.60	1.67	2.25
Draws	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	2.40	2.33	2.38
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.67	1.38
Total goals / match	3.60	4.00	3.75
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	33.3%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	2
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	3	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Rochdale	Draw	Barnet	How it works
Strength (Elo)	28.1%	25.2%	46.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	13.9%	15.3%	63.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.26–2.87 Model expected goals

70.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

62.4% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.3%

1-38.0%

0-26.6%

0-36.3%

1-15.8%

1-45.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Rochdale	Barnet	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1462	1595	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	60	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1485	1488	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	38.8%	56.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	37.7%	54.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1117	1130	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	51.2%	49.4%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	60.6%	63.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Rochdale	0.68	0.68	0.79	0.74
Barnet	1.00	1.32	0.63	0.74

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Rochdale	8%	22%	25%	28%	18%
Barnet	10%	12%	18%	18%	42%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.56 Rochdale at home, 9 matches

2.00 Barnet away, 9 matches

63d Days of rest for Rochdale

70d Days of rest for Barnet

— Manager of Rochdale

— Manager of Barnet

0 Matches for Rochdale in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Barnet in the last 14 days

7 Points for Rochdale behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Barnet behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Rochdale, the right bar represents Barnet.

On the ball

20 matches

8.62

shots

14.35

2.69

shots on target

4.65

31.2%

accuracy

32.4%

3.72

corners

6.74

10.32

fouls

11.68

1.53

yellow cards

1.83

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Rochdale	WWDDLWLLLD	1.20	1.00–1.20	2W
Barnet	WWWDDDWWWW	2.40	2.70–1.40	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Rochdale	6	6	7	0	1
Barnet	6	11	2	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Rochdale

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Barnet

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.