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Northampton
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 18
Fleetwood Town
Recent matches

Northampton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Northampton0–1Rotherham
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Northampton1–0Newport County
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Northampton1–1Crawley Town
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Gillingham1–1Northampton
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Crewe1–0Northampton
2026-08-15 England, League Two 26/27 Northampton0–0Swindon

Fleetwood Town

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 Fleetwood Town1–2Rochdale
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Barnet3–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Newport County1–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Newport County1–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Fleetwood Town2–0Shrewsbury
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Fleetwood Town1–1Oldham
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Grimsby2–2Fleetwood Town
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Fleetwood Town0–0Gillingham
Northampton Fleetwood Town

Wins

12%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

0%
38%

Both teams scored

25%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Northampton Home Fleetwood Town Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Northampton

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.250.250.75
Draws50.0%25.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match0.500.250.38
Goals conceded / match0.501.501.00
Total goals / match1.001.751.38
Failed to score50.0%75.0%62.5%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%100.0%100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4510
46–6000
61–7502
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Fleetwood Town

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.251.201.22
Draws50.0%60.0%55.6%
Goals scored / match1.001.201.11
Goals conceded / match0.751.401.11
Total goals / match1.752.602.22
Failed to score25.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%60.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNorthamptonDraw Fleetwood TownHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.4% 26.8% 32.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 31.3% 34.4% 34.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.81–0.86 Model expected goals
23.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
32.0% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 18.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-018.8%
0-116.2%
1-015.2%
1-113.1%
0-27.0%
2-06.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNorthamptonFleetwood Town How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1474 1481 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -127 5 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1475 1484 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 53.5% 52.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 56.9% 50.9% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1013 989 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 27.3% 30.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 74.0% 68.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Northampton 0.630.32 0.420.42
Fleetwood Town 0.530.58 0.470.79

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Northampton 12%22%35%20%10%
Fleetwood Town 10%20%30%22%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Northampton at home, 10 matches
1.10 Fleetwood Town away, 10 matches
73d Days of rest for Northampton
66d Days of rest for Fleetwood Town
— Manager of Northampton
— Manager of Fleetwood Town
0 Matches for Northampton in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Fleetwood Town in the last 14 days
12 Points for Northampton behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
7 Points for Fleetwood Town behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.54 League goals per match
27.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Northampton, the right bar represents Fleetwood Town.

On the ball

20 matches
11.12
shots
12.94
3.88
shots on target
3.69
34.9%
accuracy
28.5%
5.37
corners
5.42
11.32
fouls
12.74
1.84
yellow cards
2.06

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Northampton LLLWDDLDWL 0.90 0.50–1.00 3L
Fleetwood Town LLDDWDDDWD 1.20 1.10–1.10 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Northampton8 74 02
Fleetwood Town5 95 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Northampton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Fleetwood Town

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.