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Northampton
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 20
Exeter

Head-to-head overview

6 meetings
NorthamptonWins
3
Draws33.3% of meetings
2
ExeterWins
1
Goals per match
3.17
Over 2.5 goals
66.7%
Both teams scored
83.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2022-04-30 England, League Two 21/22 Northampton1–1Exeter
2021-12-07 England, League Two 21/22 Exeter1–2Northampton
2020-02-22 England, League Two 19/20 Northampton2–0Exeter
2019-12-07 England, League Two 19/20 Exeter3–2Northampton
2019-03-09 England, League Two 18/19 Northampton2–1Exeter
2018-11-17 England, League Two 18/19 Exeter2–2Northampton
Recent matches

Northampton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Northampton0–1Rotherham
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury2–0Northampton
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Northampton1–0Newport County
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Northampton1–1Crawley Town
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Gillingham1–1Northampton
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Crewe1–0Northampton
2026-08-15 England, League Two 26/27 Northampton0–0Swindon

Exeter

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 Bristol Rvs1–0Exeter
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter0–0Tranmere
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Port Vale1–0Exeter
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Port Vale1–0Exeter
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter0–0Walsall
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter1–1Barnet
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 York2–1Exeter
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter2–0Accrington
Northampton Exeter

Wins

12%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

0%
12%

Both teams scored

25%
25%

Clean sheets

25%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Exeter

Away · League Two
HomeAway1st goal
1 Barnet Exeter 22
2 Cheltenham Exeter 22
3 York 2–1 Exeter 22 7′ Home
4 Grimsby 1–0 Exeter 22 35′ Home
5 Walsall Exeter 22
6 Gillingham Exeter 22
7 Bristol Rvs 1–0 Exeter 22 66′ Home
8 Salford Exeter 22
9 Chesterfield Exeter 22
10 Crewe Exeter 22
11 Rotherham Exeter 22
12 Fleetwood Town Exeter 22
13 Tranmere Exeter 22
14 Colchester Exeter 22
15 Rochdale Exeter 22
16 Shrewsbury Exeter 22
17 Swindon Exeter 22
18 Newport County Exeter 22
19 Port Vale 1–0 Exeter 22 70′ Home
19 Port Vale 1–0 Exeter 22 —
20 Accrington Exeter 22
21 Oldham Exeter 22
22 · Exeter
23 Northampton Exeter 22
24 Crawley Town Exeter 22
Northampton Home Exeter Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Northampton

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.250.250.75
Draws50.0%25.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match0.500.250.38
Goals conceded / match0.501.501.00
Total goals / match1.001.751.38
Failed to score50.0%75.0%62.5%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%100.0%100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4510
46–6000
61–7502
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Exeter

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.500.000.67
Draws75.0%0.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match0.750.200.44
Goals conceded / match0.251.200.78
Total goals / match1.001.401.22
Failed to score50.0%80.0%66.7%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%80.0%88.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 5 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNorthamptonDraw ExeterHow it works
Strength (Elo) 39.7% 26.9% 33.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 25.8% 41.4% 32.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.56–0.67 Model expected goals
12.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
20.7% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 29.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-029.5%
0-119.6%
1-016.4%
1-110.9%
0-26.5%
2-04.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNorthamptonExeter How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1474 1487 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -127 -135 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1475 1495 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 53.5% 55.7% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 56.9% 56.3% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1013 1061 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 27.3% 25.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 74.0% 80.8% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Northampton 0.630.32 0.420.42
Exeter 0.370.53 0.370.26

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Northampton 12%22%35%20%10%
Exeter 15%25%28%25%8%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Northampton at home, 10 matches
1.00 Exeter away, 11 matches
91d Days of rest for Northampton
84d Days of rest for Exeter
— Manager of Northampton
— Manager of Exeter
0 Matches for Northampton in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Exeter in the last 14 days
12 Points for Northampton behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
12 Points for Exeter behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
2.54 League goals per match
27.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Northampton, the right bar represents Exeter.

On the ball

20 matches
11.12
shots
12.44
3.88
shots on target
4.19
34.9%
accuracy
33.7%
5.37
corners
5.74
11.32
fouls
10.47
1.84
yellow cards
1.63

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Northampton LLLWDDLDWL 0.90 0.50–1.00 3L
Exeter LDLLDDLWLL 0.60 0.40–0.80 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Northampton8 74 02
Exeter4 105 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Northampton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Exeter

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.