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Grimsby
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 20
Barnet

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
GrimsbyWins
2
Draws25.0% of meetings
1
BarnetWins
1
Goals per match
2.50
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
25.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-17 England, League Two 25/26 Grimsby1–0Barnet
2025-09-20 England, League Two 25/26 Barnet3–0Grimsby
2018-04-14 England, League Two 17/18 Grimsby2–2Barnet
2017-11-25 England, League Two 17/18 Barnet0–2Grimsby
Recent matches

Grimsby

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 Newport County2–1Grimsby
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Grimsby2–0Crawley Town
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Grimsby2–0Bristol Rvs
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Grimsby2–0Bristol Rvs
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Cheltenham2–2Grimsby
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Accrington2–2Grimsby
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Grimsby2–2Fleetwood Town
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Walsall0–0Grimsby

Barnet

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Barnet3–1Fleetwood Town
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Barnet2–1Accrington
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Chesterfield3–3Barnet
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Exeter1–1Barnet
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Barnet2–2Cheltenham
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Shrewsbury1–3Barnet
2026-08-15 England, League Two 26/27 Barnet3–1Salford
Grimsby Barnet

Wins

38%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
88%

Both teams scored

50%
100%

Clean sheets

50%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Grimsby

Home · League Two
HomeAway1st goal
4 Grimsby Barnet 1
4 Grimsby Cheltenham 2
4 Grimsby York 3
4 · Grimsby
4 Grimsby Walsall 5
4 Grimsby Gillingham 6
4 Grimsby 2–0 Bristol Rvs 7 22′ Home
4 Grimsby 2–0 Bristol Rvs 7 —
4 Grimsby Salford 8
4 Grimsby Chesterfield 9
4 Grimsby Crewe 10
4 Grimsby Rotherham 11
4 Grimsby 2–2 Fleetwood Town 12 6′ Away
4 Grimsby Tranmere 13
4 Grimsby Colchester 14
4 Grimsby Rochdale 15
4 Grimsby Shrewsbury 16
4 Grimsby Swindon 17
4 Grimsby Newport County 18
4 Grimsby Port Vale 19
4 Grimsby Accrington 20
4 Grimsby Oldham 21
4 Grimsby 1–0 Exeter 22 35′ Home
4 Grimsby Northampton 23
4 Grimsby 2–0 Crawley Town 24 30′ Home

Barnet

Away · League Two
HomeAway1st goal
1 · Barnet
2 Cheltenham Barnet 1
3 York Barnet 1
4 Grimsby Barnet 1
5 Walsall Barnet 1
6 Gillingham Barnet 1
7 Bristol Rvs Barnet 1
8 Salford Barnet 1
9 Chesterfield 3–3 Barnet 1 29′ Away
10 Crewe Barnet 1
11 Rotherham Barnet 1
12 Fleetwood Town Barnet 1
13 Tranmere Barnet 1
14 Colchester Barnet 1
15 Rochdale Barnet 1
16 Shrewsbury 1–3 Barnet 1 13′ Away
17 Swindon Barnet 1
18 Newport County Barnet 1
19 Port Vale Barnet 1
20 Accrington Barnet 1
21 Oldham Barnet 1
22 Exeter 1–1 Barnet 1 60′ Away
23 Northampton Barnet 1
24 Crawley Town Barnet 1
Grimsby Home Barnet Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Grimsby

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.600.751.78
Draws20.0%75.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match1.801.251.56
Goals conceded / match0.401.500.89
Total goals / match2.202.752.44
Failed to score0.0%25.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%25.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 4 of 4 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Barnet

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway3 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match2.601.672.25
Draws20.0%66.7%37.5%
Goals scored / match2.402.332.38
Goals conceded / match1.201.671.38
Total goals / match3.604.003.75
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%33.3%12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 1 of 3 33%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3010
31–4512
46–6010
61–7502
76–9031

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelGrimsbyDraw BarnetHow it works
Strength (Elo) 38.6% 27.1% 34.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 37.0% 21.4% 39.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.85–1.90 Model expected goals
69.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
69.6% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 8.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-18.3%
1-27.9%
2-17.6%
2-27.3%
1-35.0%
3-14.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureGrimsbyBarnet How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1571 1595 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -4 35 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1473 1488 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 59.6% 56.9% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 63.6% 54.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1018 1130 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 44.3% 49.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 57.5% 63.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Grimsby 1.110.79 0.470.53
Barnet 1.001.32 0.630.74

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Grimsby 8%25%25%10%32%
Barnet 10%12%18%18%42%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 Grimsby at home, 10 matches
2.00 Barnet away, 9 matches
84d Days of rest for Grimsby
91d Days of rest for Barnet
— Manager of Grimsby
— Manager of Barnet
0 Matches for Grimsby in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Barnet in the last 14 days
2 Points for Grimsby behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Barnet behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
2.54 League goals per match
27.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Grimsby, the right bar represents Barnet.

On the ball

20 matches
14.56
shots
14.35
4.38
shots on target
4.65
30.0%
accuracy
32.4%
6.16
corners
6.74
10.26
fouls
11.68
1.32
yellow cards
1.83

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Grimsby LWWWDDDDWD 1.70 1.50–0.90 1L
Barnet WWWDDDWWWW 2.40 2.70–1.40 3W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Grimsby10 63 02
Barnet6 112 13
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Grimsby

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Barnet

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.