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Gillingham
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 20
Cheltenham

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
GillinghamWins
0
Draws75.0% of meetings
3
CheltenhamWins
1
Goals per match
2.75
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-14 England, League Two 25/26 Cheltenham2–1Gillingham
2025-10-11 England, League Two 25/26 Gillingham1–1Cheltenham
2025-04-18 England, League Two 24/25 Cheltenham1–1Gillingham
2024-12-20 England, League Two 24/25 Gillingham2–2Cheltenham
Recent matches

Gillingham

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 York3–0Gillingham
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Gillingham3–0Bristol Rvs
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Gillingham2–0Tranmere
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Gillingham2–0Tranmere
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Rochdale1–4Gillingham
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Chesterfield1–1Gillingham
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Gillingham1–1Northampton
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Fleetwood Town0–0Gillingham

Cheltenham

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League Two 26/27 Cheltenham2–1Chesterfield
2026-09-19 England, League Two 26/27 Colchester1–1Cheltenham
2026-09-13 England, League Two 26/27 Crawley Town1–3Cheltenham
2026-09-12 England, League Two 26/27 Crawley Town1–3Cheltenham
2026-09-05 England, League Two 26/27 Cheltenham2–2Grimsby
2026-09-01 England, League Two 26/27 Cheltenham3–2York
2026-08-29 England, League Two 26/27 Barnet2–2Cheltenham
2026-08-22 England, League Two 26/27 Swindon2–1Cheltenham
Gillingham Cheltenham

Wins

50%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
88%

Both teams scored

38%
100%

Clean sheets

50%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Gillingham Home Cheltenham Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Gillingham

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.001.251.67
Draws20.0%50.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.601.251.44
Goals conceded / match0.801.251.00
Total goals / match2.402.502.44
Failed to score20.0%50.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%50.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 3 of 4 75%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Cheltenham

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.501.602.00
Draws25.0%40.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match2.252.002.11
Goals conceded / match1.501.401.44
Total goals / match3.753.403.56
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%20.0%11.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelGillinghamDraw CheltenhamHow it works
Strength (Elo) 37.8% 27.2% 35.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 19.1% 18.1% 58.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.37–2.52 Model expected goals
69.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
65.0% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 8.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-28.9%
1-37.5%
1-17.1%
0-26.5%
2-26.1%
0-35.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureGillinghamCheltenham How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1473 1504 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 76 64 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1494 1496 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 43.8% 43.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 39.5% 45.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 913 1017 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 32.7% 46.3% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 58.7% 55.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Gillingham 0.320.79 0.631.16
Cheltenham 0.581.05 0.740.95

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Gillingham 8%12%30%22%28%
Cheltenham 2%10%25%18%45%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Gillingham at home, 10 matches
1.40 Cheltenham away, 10 matches
84d Days of rest for Gillingham
84d Days of rest for Cheltenham
— Manager of Gillingham
— Manager of Cheltenham
0 Matches for Gillingham in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Cheltenham in the last 14 days
3 Points for Gillingham behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Cheltenham behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
2.54 League goals per match
27.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Gillingham, the right bar represents Cheltenham.

On the ball

20 matches
10.31
shots
9.81
3.06
shots on target
3.38
29.7%
accuracy
34.4%
4.22
corners
4.37
12.74
fouls
9.95
2.16
yellow cards
1.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Gillingham LWWWWDDDLW 1.80 1.40–0.90 1L
Cheltenham WDWWDWDLWL 1.80 2.00–1.70 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Gillingham4 96 02
Cheltenham5 77 12
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Gillingham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Cheltenham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.