Oldham

Oldham

VS Scheduled Saturday 26 Dec 202615:00

England 26/27 League Two · Matchday 21

York

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Oldham1–4Salford
2026-09-19	26/27	Rochdale2–0Oldham
2026-09-13	26/27	Oldham1–2Chesterfield
2026-09-12	26/27	Oldham1–2Chesterfield
2026-09-05	26/27	Tranmere2–0Oldham
2026-09-01	26/27	Fleetwood Town1–1Oldham
2026-08-29	26/27	Oldham3–0Swindon
2026-08-22	26/27	Colchester2–1Oldham

York

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	York3–0Gillingham
2026-09-19	26/27	Chesterfield2–0York
2026-09-13	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-12	26/27	York4–0Swindon
2026-09-05	26/27	Crewe1–1York
2026-09-01	26/27	Cheltenham3–2York
2026-08-29	26/27	York2–1Exeter
2026-08-22	26/27	Rotherham1–1York

Oldham York

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Oldham

Home · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
21	Oldham		Barnet	1
21	Oldham		Cheltenham	2
21	Oldham		York	3
21	Oldham		Grimsby	4
21	Oldham		Walsall	5
21	Oldham		Gillingham	6
21	Oldham		Bristol Rvs	7
21	Oldham	1–4	Salford	8	5′ Away
21	Oldham	1–2	Chesterfield	9	18′ Away
21	Oldham	1–2	Chesterfield	9	—
21	Oldham		Crewe	10
21	Oldham		Rotherham	11
21	Oldham		Fleetwood Town	12
21	Oldham		Tranmere	13
21	Oldham		Colchester	14
21	Oldham		Rochdale	15
21	Oldham		Shrewsbury	16
21	Oldham	3–0	Swindon	17	41′ Home
21	Oldham		Newport County	18
21	Oldham	2–0	Port Vale	19	60′ Home
21	Oldham		Accrington	20
21 · Oldham
21	Oldham		Exeter	22
21	Oldham		Northampton	23
21	Oldham		Crawley Town	24

York

Away · League Two

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barnet		York	3
2	Cheltenham	3–2	York	3	12′ Away
3 · York
4	Grimsby		York	3
5	Walsall		York	3
6	Gillingham		York	3
7	Bristol Rvs		York	3
8	Salford		York	3
9	Chesterfield	2–0	York	3	57′ Home
10	Crewe	1–1	York	3	9′ Home
11	Rotherham	1–1	York	3	20′ Home
12	Fleetwood Town		York	3
13	Tranmere		York	3
14	Colchester		York	3
15	Rochdale		York	3
16	Shrewsbury		York	3
17	Swindon		York	3
18	Newport County		York	3
19	Port Vale		York	3
20	Accrington		York	3
21	Oldham		York	3
22	Exeter		York	3
23	Northampton		York	3
24	Crawley Town		York	3

Oldham Home York Away

Wins

40%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

80%

25%

Over 3.5

20%

25%

Both teams scored

60%

75%

Clean sheets

40%

0%

Scores first

N/A

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Oldham

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.20	0.25	0.78
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	1.60	0.50	1.11
Goals conceded / match	1.60	1.75	1.67
Total goals / match	3.20	2.25	2.78
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	75.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

York

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.50	1.89
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.20	1.00	2.22
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.75	1.11
Total goals / match	3.80	2.75	3.33
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	2
31–45	2	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Oldham	Draw	York	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.6%	27.0%	39.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	14.4%	16.2%	63.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.20–2.71 Model expected goals

68.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.0% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.8%

1-38.0%

0-27.4%

0-36.7%

1-16.5%

0-15.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Oldham	York	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1472	1544	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-52	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1490	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	52.2%	59.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.7%	61.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1085	866	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	37.5%	31.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	71.0%	55.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Oldham	0.63	0.89	0.58	0.79
York	0.88	1.12	0.50	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Oldham	8%	12%	22%	38%	20%
York	0%	0%	33%	22%	44%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Oldham at home, 10 matches

0.50 York away, 4 matches

91d Days of rest for Oldham

91d Days of rest for York

— Manager of Oldham

— Manager of York

0 Matches for Oldham in the last 14 days

0 Matches for York in the last 14 days

11 Points for Oldham behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

1 Points for York behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.54 League goals per match

27.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Oldham, the right bar represents York.

On the ball

20 matches

13.38

shots

18.2

4.5

shots on target

5.8

33.6%

accuracy

31.9%

5.44

corners

6.25

12.05

fouls

8.38

1.41

yellow cards

1.29

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Oldham	LLLLLDWLWW	1.00	1.30–1.50	5L
York	WLWWDLWDW	1.89	2.22–1.11	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Oldham	8	4	7	0	3
York	3	4	1	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Oldham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

York

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.