Head-to-head overview
13 meetings- SwindonWins
- 4
- Draws30.8% of meetings
- 4
- Crawley TownWins
- 5
- Goals per match
- 3.08
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61.5%
- Both teams scored
- 53.8%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 |
25/26
|
Crawley Town2–2Swindon |
| 2025-12-20 |
25/26
|
Swindon1–0Crawley Town |
| 2024-01-01 |
23/24
|
Crawley Town3–1Swindon |
| 2023-08-26 |
23/24
|
Swindon6–0Crawley Town |
| 2023-05-08 |
22/23
|
Swindon2–1Crawley Town |
| 2022-12-03 |
22/23
|
Crawley Town2–0Swindon |
| 2022-03-19 |
21/22
|
Crawley Town3–1Swindon |
| 2022-02-01 |
21/22
|
Swindon1–1Crawley Town |
| 2019-10-26 |
19/20
|
Crawley Town0–4Swindon |
| 2019-01-26 |
18/19
|
Swindon0–1Crawley Town |
| 2018-08-21 |
18/19
|
Crawley Town2–2Swindon |
| 2018-04-02 |
17/18
|
Crawley Town1–1Swindon |
| 2017-08-26 |
17/18
|
Swindon0–3Crawley Town |
Recent matches
Swindon
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Swindon1–1Accrington |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Salford1–0Swindon |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
York4–0Swindon |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
York4–0Swindon |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Swindon3–1Colchester |
| 2026-09-01 |
26/27
|
Swindon3–1Port Vale |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Oldham3–0Swindon |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Swindon2–1Cheltenham |
Crawley Town
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Grimsby2–0Crawley Town |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Crawley Town1–3Cheltenham |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Crawley Town1–3Cheltenham |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Accrington3–2Crawley Town |
| 2026-09-01 |
26/27
|
Northampton1–1Crawley Town |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Crawley Town0–2Bristol Rvs |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Rochdale1–2Crawley Town |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Crawley Town0–1Crewe |
Swindon
Crawley Town
Wins
38%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
50%
Both teams scored
50%
62%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Swindon
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Swindon | Barnet | 1 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | 2–1 | Cheltenham | 2 | 17′ Home |
| 17 | Swindon | York | 3 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Grimsby | 4 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Walsall | 5 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Gillingham | 6 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Bristol Rvs | 7 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Salford | 8 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Chesterfield | 9 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Crewe | 10 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Rotherham | 11 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Fleetwood Town | 12 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Tranmere | 13 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | 3–1 | Colchester | 14 | 13′ Away |
| 17 | Swindon | Rochdale | 15 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Shrewsbury | 16 | ||
| 17 · Swindon | |||||
| 17 | Swindon | Newport County | 18 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | 3–1 | Port Vale | 19 | 2′ Away |
| 17 | Swindon | 1–1 | Accrington | 20 | 1′ Away |
| 17 | Swindon | Oldham | 21 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Exeter | 22 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Northampton | 23 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
Crawley Town
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 2 | Cheltenham | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 3 | York | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 4 | Grimsby | 2–0 | Crawley Town | 24 | 30′ Home |
| 5 | Walsall | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 6 | Gillingham | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 7 | Bristol Rvs | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 8 | Salford | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 9 | Chesterfield | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 10 | Crewe | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 11 | Rotherham | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 12 | Fleetwood Town | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 13 | Tranmere | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 14 | Colchester | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 15 | Rochdale | 1–2 | Crawley Town | 24 | 8′ Away |
| 16 | Shrewsbury | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 17 | Swindon | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 18 | Newport County | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 19 | Port Vale | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 20 | Accrington | 3–2 | Crawley Town | 24 | 4′ Home |
| 21 | Oldham | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 22 | Exeter | Crawley Town | 24 | ||
| 23 | Northampton | 1–1 | Crawley Town | 24 | 38′ Home |
| 24 · Crawley Town | |||||
Swindon Home
Crawley Town Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
League Two · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Swindon
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.50 | 0.20 | 1.22 |
| Draws | 25.0% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.25 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 2.40 | 1.78 |
| Total goals / match | 3.25 | 2.40 | 2.78 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 100.0% | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 40.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 2 of 32 of 7 | 67%29% |
Scoring order known: 4/4 home.Scoring order known: 9/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 3 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 2 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 3 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Crawley Town
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away4 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 25.0% | 12.5% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.50 | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.25 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Total goals / match | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| Failed to score | 50.0% | 25.0% | 37.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 3— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 4/4 away.Scoring order known: 7/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 2 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 2 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Swindon | Draw | Crawley Town | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 55.0% | 21.7% | 23.2% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 33.0% | 26.8% | 39.9% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.19–1.33
Model expected goals
45.8%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.9%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 12.7%
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
0-110.7%
1-09.5%
1-28.5%
0-08.0%
2-17.6%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Swindon | Crawley Town | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1488 | 1383 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -37 | -23 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1501 | 1485 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 35.3% | 51.1% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 40.1% | 48.8% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1086 | 921 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 36.8% | 25.4% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 71.8% | 66.7% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon | 0.37 | 0.79 | 0.68 | 0.89 |
| Crawley Town | 0.21 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon | 2% | 15% | 22% | 32% | 28% |
| Crawley Town | 12% | 12% | 32% | 15% | 28% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.67
Swindon at home, 9 matches
0.90
Crawley Town away, 10 matches
97d
Days of rest for Swindon
104d
Days of rest for Crawley Town
—
Manager of Swindon
—
Manager of Crawley Town
0
Matches for Swindon in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Crawley Town in the last 14 days
7
Points for Swindon behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
14
Points for Crawley Town behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
2.54
League goals per match
27.8%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Swindon, the right bar represents Crawley Town.
On the ball
8.44
12.71
shots
3.56
3.71
shots on target
42.2%
29.2%
accuracy
4.58
4.58
corners
8.79
10.05
fouls
1.59
2.05
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon | DLLLWWLWDL | 1.10 | 1.00–1.80 | 1D |
| Crawley Town | LLLLDLWLDD | 0.60 | 1.00–1.90 | 4L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon | 3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Crawley Town | 1 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Swindon
No absences reported.
Crawley Town
No absences reported.
Newsroom