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Brighton
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 7
Crystal Palace

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
BrightonWins
4
Draws44.4% of meetings
8
Crystal PalaceWins
6
Goals per match
2.33
Over 2.5 goals
38.9%
Both teams scored
72.2%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-08 England, Premier League 25/26 Brighton0–1Crystal Palace
2025-11-09 England, Premier League 25/26 Crystal Palace0–0Brighton
2025-04-05 England, Premier League 24/25 Crystal Palace2–1Brighton
2024-12-15 England, Premier League 24/25 Brighton1–3Crystal Palace
2024-02-03 England, Premier League 23/24 Brighton4–1Crystal Palace
2023-12-21 England, Premier League 23/24 Crystal Palace1–1Brighton
2023-03-15 England, Premier League 22/23 Brighton1–0Crystal Palace
2023-02-11 England, Premier League 22/23 Crystal Palace1–1Brighton
Recent matches

Brighton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton3–0Arsenal
2026-09-14 England, Premier League 26/27 Coventry0–5Brighton
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Coventry0–5Brighton
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton1–1Leeds
2026-08-30 England, Premier League 26/27 Chelsea4–3Brighton
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton4–0Aston Villa
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Brighton0–3Man United
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Leeds1–0Brighton

Crystal Palace

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Premier League 26/27 Leeds0–0Crystal Palace
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Crystal Palace2–3Ipswich
2026-09-12 England, Premier League 26/27 Crystal Palace2–3Ipswich
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Fulham2–3Crystal Palace
2026-08-28 England, Premier League 26/27 Crystal Palace1–4Man City
2026-08-22 England, Premier League 26/27 Everton2–0Crystal Palace
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Crystal Palace1–2Arsenal
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Brentford2–2Crystal Palace
Brighton Crystal Palace

Wins

50%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
75%

Both teams scored

25%
75%

Clean sheets

50%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Brighton

Home · Premier League
Brighton Home Crystal Palace Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Brighton

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.332.002.17
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match2.674.333.50
Goals conceded / match0.331.330.83
Total goals / match3.005.674.33
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%0.0%16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Crystal Palace

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.001.330.67
Draws0.0%33.3%16.7%
Goals scored / match1.671.001.33
Goals conceded / match3.331.332.33
Total goals / match5.002.333.67
Failed to score0.0%66.7%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%66.7%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3000
31–4512
46–6011
61–7500
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBrightonDraw Crystal PalaceHow it works
Strength (Elo) 60.9% 17.5% 21.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 66.9% 17.7% 12.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.32–0.86 Model expected goals
58.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.3% Both teams to score
2-0 Most likely score, at 11.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-011.2%
1-09.6%
2-19.6%
3-08.6%
1-18.3%
3-17.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBrightonCrystal Palace How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1603 1463 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 14 -42 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1536 1531 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 56.6% 45.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 59.5% 41.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 979 986 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.5% 33.9% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 68.3% 64.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Brighton 0.950.84 0.630.37
Crystal Palace 0.530.63 1.050.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Brighton 5%12%28%28%28%
Crystal Palace 12%12%15%30%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Brighton at home, 10 matches
1.10 Crystal Palace away, 10 matches
29d Days of rest for Brighton
28d Days of rest for Crystal Palace
— Manager of Brighton
— Manager of Crystal Palace
0 Matches for Brighton in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Crystal Palace in the last 14 days
5 Points for Brighton behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
14 Points for Crystal Palace behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.84 League goals per match
26.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Brighton, the right bar represents Crystal Palace.

On the ball

20 matches
13.71
shots
11.35
5.18
shots on target
3.47
37.8%
accuracy
30.6%
4.79
corners
3.89
12.21
fouls
10.63
2.17
yellow cards
1.79

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Brighton WWWDLWLLWL 1.60 2.50–1.20 3W
Crystal Palace DLLWLLLDLD 0.60 1.30–2.30 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Brighton8 65 00
Crystal Palace2 710 21
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Brighton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Crystal Palace

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams