Head-to-head overview
8 meetings- Nott'm ForestWins
- 1
- Draws25.0% of meetings
- 2
- ArsenalWins
- 5
- Goals per match
- 2.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62.5%
- Both teams scored
- 25.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 |
25/26
|
Nott'm Forest0–0Arsenal |
| 2025-09-13 |
25/26
|
Arsenal3–0Nott'm Forest |
| 2025-02-26 |
24/25
|
Nott'm Forest0–0Arsenal |
| 2024-11-23 |
24/25
|
Arsenal3–0Nott'm Forest |
| 2024-01-30 |
23/24
|
Nott'm Forest1–2Arsenal |
| 2023-08-12 |
23/24
|
Arsenal2–1Nott'm Forest |
| 2023-05-20 |
22/23
|
Nott'm Forest1–0Arsenal |
| 2022-10-30 |
22/23
|
Arsenal5–0Nott'm Forest |
Recent matches
Nott'm Forest
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Nott'm Forest0–1Coventry |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Nott'm Forest0–0Tottenham |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Liverpool2–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Nott'm Forest0–1Leeds |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Nott'm Forest1–1Bournemouth |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Man United3–2Nott'm Forest |
Arsenal
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Brighton3–0Arsenal |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Sunderland0–2Arsenal |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Sunderland0–2Arsenal |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Arsenal2–1Chelsea |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa0–1Arsenal |
| 2026-08-21 |
26/27
|
Arsenal3–0Coventry |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Crystal Palace1–2Arsenal |
| 2026-05-18 |
25/26
|
Arsenal1–0Burnley |
Nott'm Forest
Arsenal
Wins
25%
88%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Both teams scored
62%
25%
Clean sheets
12%
62%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Nott'm Forest
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Man City | 1 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Brighton | 3 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Brentford | 4 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Liverpool | 5 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Everton | 6 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | 0–1 | Leeds | 7 | 88′ Away |
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Hull | 8 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Ipswich | 9 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Newcastle | 10 | ||
| 11 · Nott'm Forest | |||||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Man United | 13 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Bournemouth | 14 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Crystal Palace | 15 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Sunderland | 16 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Fulham | 18 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | 0–0 | Tottenham | 19 | – |
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | 0–1 | Coventry | 20 | 55′ Away |
Arsenal
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 2 · Arsenal | |||||
| 3 | Brighton | 3–0 | Arsenal | 2 | 31′ Home |
| 4 | Brentford | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 5 | Liverpool | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 6 | Everton | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 7 | Leeds | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 8 | Hull | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 9 | Ipswich | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 10 | Newcastle | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 12 | Chelsea | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 13 | Man United | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 14 | Bournemouth | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 15 | Crystal Palace | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 16 | Sunderland | 0–2 | Arsenal | 2 | 58′ Away |
| 16 | Sunderland | 0–2 | Arsenal | 2 | — |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 0–1 | Arsenal | 2 | 59′ Away |
| 18 | Fulham | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 19 | Tottenham | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 20 | Coventry | Arsenal | 2 | ||
Nott'm Forest Home
Arsenal Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Nott'm Forest
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.33 | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Total goals / match | 0.67 | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| Failed to score | 100.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 0— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 0— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 2— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 5/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Arsenal
| Goals & results | Home2 matches | Away4 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 3.00 | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.50 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| Total goals / match | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 25.0% | 16.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 75.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | 3 of 34 of 4 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 11 of 2 | 0%50% |
Scoring order known: 4/4 away.Scoring order known: 6/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Nott'm Forest | Draw | Arsenal | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 25.8% | 20.7% | 53.5% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 17.8% | 26.7% | 55.1% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.69–1.46
Model expected goals
36.0%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
38.2%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 17.0%
Most likely scores
0-117.0%
0-212.4%
1-111.8%
0-011.6%
1-28.6%
1-08.1%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Nott'm Forest | Arsenal | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1526 | 1694 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -3 | -26 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1524 | 1523 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 49.7% | 61.5% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 51.4% | 64.1% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1079 | 1139 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 34.7% | 37.8% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 73.2% | 76.1% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest | 0.58 | 0.89 | 0.42 | 0.68 |
| Arsenal | 0.84 | 0.89 | 0.37 | 0.37 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest | 10% | 15% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Arsenal | 5% | 20% | 22% | 32% | 20% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.90
Nott'm Forest at home, 10 matches
2.09
Arsenal away, 11 matches
29d
Days of rest for Nott'm Forest
29d
Days of rest for Arsenal
—
Manager of Nott'm Forest
—
Manager of Arsenal
0
Matches for Nott'm Forest in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Arsenal in the last 14 days
10
Points for Nott'm Forest behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
3
Points for Arsenal behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
2.84
League goals per match
26.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nott'm Forest, the right bar represents Arsenal.
On the ball
13.53
14.0
shots
4.41
4.82
shots on target
32.6%
34.5%
accuracy
4.58
4.89
corners
12.0
10.26
fouls
1.94
1.32
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest | LWWDDLDLDW | 1.30 | 1.30–1.20 | 1L |
| Arsenal | LWWWWWWWWW | 2.70 | 1.70–0.50 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Arsenal | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Nott'm Forest
No absences reported.
Arsenal
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
Arteta embraces perfect storm to play the victim in game of his own making | Barney Ronay
The Guardian
09-13
WSL roundup: Arsenal rue misses in Palace draw, Manchester City crush Villa
The Guardian
09-13
Referee 'completely wrong' to award penalty - Williams
BBC Sport
09-12
Arteta 'very worried & very sad' over penalty incident
BBC Sport
09-12
Why Kai Havertz’s dummy was perhaps more pleasing than a Lionel Messi waltz | Max Rushden
The Guardian
09-10
Chelsea’s midfield a headache for Alonso after Arsenal press advantage | Jacob Steinberg
The Guardian
09-07
Fitter, happier, more productive: Arsenal could hardly have started better | Jonathan Wilson
The Guardian
09-07
WSL talking points: Palace result in doubt after substitution nightmare, while Arsenal signings shine
The Guardian
09-07
Official: Referee appointed for Napoli vs. Arsenal
Football Italia
09-07
Why is Sunderland vs Arsenal at 8pm on Saturday?
BBC Sport
09-07