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Nott'm Forest
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 10
Man City

Head-to-head overview

8 meetings
Nott'm ForestWins
1
Draws25.0% of meetings
2
Man CityWins
5
Goals per match
2.88
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
37.5%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-03-04 England, Premier League 25/26 Man City2–2Nott'm Forest
2025-12-27 England, Premier League 25/26 Nott'm Forest1–2Man City
2025-03-08 England, Premier League 24/25 Nott'm Forest1–0Man City
2024-12-04 England, Premier League 24/25 Man City3–0Nott'm Forest
2024-04-28 England, Premier League 23/24 Nott'm Forest0–2Man City
2023-09-23 England, Premier League 23/24 Man City2–0Nott'm Forest
2023-02-18 England, Premier League 22/23 Nott'm Forest1–1Man City
2022-08-31 England, Premier League 22/23 Man City6–0Nott'm Forest
Recent matches

Nott'm Forest

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Nott'm Forest0–1Coventry
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest
2026-09-12 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Nott'm Forest0–0Tottenham
2026-08-29 England, Premier League 26/27 Liverpool2–2Nott'm Forest
2026-08-22 England, Premier League 26/27 Nott'm Forest0–1Leeds
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Nott'm Forest1–1Bournemouth
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Man United3–2Nott'm Forest

Man City

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Premier League 26/27 Man City5–3Sunderland
2026-09-14 England, Premier League 26/27 Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Man City1–0Coventry
2026-08-28 England, Premier League 26/27 Crystal Palace1–4Man City
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Man City2–1Bournemouth
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Man City1–2Aston Villa
2026-05-19 England, Premier League 25/26 Bournemouth1–1Man City
Nott'm Forest Man City

Wins

25%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
62%

Clean sheets

12%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Man City

Away · Premier League
Nott'm Forest Home Man City Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nott'm Forest

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.332.331.33
Draws33.3%33.3%33.3%
Goals scored / match0.002.001.00
Goals conceded / match0.671.331.00
Total goals / match0.673.332.00
Failed to score100.0%0.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%0.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4500
46–6001
61–7500
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Man City

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.003.003.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.672.002.33
Goals conceded / match1.330.330.83
Total goals / match4.002.333.17
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%66.7%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNott'm ForestDraw Man CityHow it works
Strength (Elo) 24.9% 20.1% 55.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 17.8% 23.3% 57.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.84–1.75 Model expected goals
47.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
46.5% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-113.1%
0-211.5%
1-111.0%
1-29.7%
0-07.5%
0-36.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNott'm ForestMan City How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1526 1704 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -3 -13 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1524 1538 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 49.7% 64.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 51.4% 66.2% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1079 1072 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 34.7% 33.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 73.2% 73.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Nott'm Forest 0.580.89 0.420.68
Man City 1.001.16 0.370.53

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Nott'm Forest 10%15%25%25%25%
Man City 2%18%20%38%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.90 Nott'm Forest at home, 10 matches
2.40 Man City away, 10 matches
49d Days of rest for Nott'm Forest
48d Days of rest for Man City
— Manager of Nott'm Forest
— Manager of Man City
0 Matches for Nott'm Forest in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Man City in the last 14 days
10 Points for Nott'm Forest behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Man City behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
2.84 League goals per match
26.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nott'm Forest, the right bar represents Man City.

On the ball

20 matches
13.53
shots
17.76
4.41
shots on target
6.12
32.6%
accuracy
34.4%
4.58
corners
7.47
12.0
fouls
9.53
1.94
yellow cards
1.71

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Nott'm Forest LWWDDLDLDW 1.30 1.30–1.20 1L
Man City WWWWWWLDWW 2.50 2.20–0.80 6W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Nott'm Forest5 95 12
Man City11 62 13
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nott'm Forest

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Man City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams