Arsenal

Arsenal

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 10

Hull

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Brighton3–0Arsenal
2026-09-13	26/27	Sunderland0–2Arsenal
2026-09-12	26/27	Sunderland0–2Arsenal
2026-09-06	26/27	Arsenal2–1Chelsea
2026-08-31	26/27	Aston Villa0–1Arsenal
2026-08-21	26/27	Arsenal3–0Coventry
2026-05-24	25/26	Crystal Palace1–2Arsenal
2026-05-18	25/26	Arsenal1–0Burnley

Hull

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Newcastle2–1Hull
2026-09-13	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-12	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-05	26/27	Hull0–0Aston Villa
2026-08-29	26/27	Coventry0–1Hull
2026-08-22	26/27	Hull2–0Man United

Arsenal Hull

Wins

88%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

25%

50%

Clean sheets

62%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Arsenal

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Arsenal		Man City	1
2 · Arsenal
2	Arsenal		Brighton	3
2	Arsenal		Brentford	4
2	Arsenal		Liverpool	5
2	Arsenal		Everton	6
2	Arsenal		Leeds	7
2	Arsenal		Hull	8
2	Arsenal		Ipswich	9
2	Arsenal		Newcastle	10
2	Arsenal		Nott'm Forest	11
2	Arsenal	2–1	Chelsea	12	2′ Away
2	Arsenal		Man United	13
2	Arsenal		Bournemouth	14
2	Arsenal		Crystal Palace	15
2	Arsenal		Sunderland	16
2	Arsenal		Aston Villa	17
2	Arsenal		Fulham	18
2	Arsenal		Tottenham	19
2	Arsenal	3–0	Coventry	20	15′ Home

Hull

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Man City		Hull	8
2	Arsenal		Hull	8
3	Brighton		Hull	8
4	Brentford		Hull	8
5	Liverpool		Hull	8
6	Everton		Hull	8
7	Leeds		Hull	8
8 · Hull
9	Ipswich		Hull	8
10	Newcastle	2–1	Hull	8	3′ Home
11	Nott'm Forest		Hull	8
12	Chelsea	2–2	Hull	8	7′ Home
12	Chelsea	2–2	Hull	8	—
13	Man United		Hull	8
14	Bournemouth		Hull	8
15	Crystal Palace		Hull	8
16	Sunderland		Hull	8
17	Aston Villa		Hull	8
18	Fulham		Hull	8
19	Tottenham		Hull	8
20	Coventry	0–1	Hull	8	82′ Away

Arsenal Home Hull Away

Wins

100%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

75%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Scores first

50%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Arsenal

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.25	2.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.25	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.50	0.75	0.67
Total goals / match	3.00	2.00	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	2	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hull

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.25	1.50
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.50	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	1.00	3.00	2.33
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	25.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Arsenal	Draw	Hull	How it works
Strength (Elo)	65.4%	15.4%	19.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	46.4%	31.1%	22.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.16–0.70 Model expected goals

28.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

34.6% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 18.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-018.0%

0-015.6%

1-112.7%

0-111.0%

2-010.4%

2-17.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Arsenal	Hull	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1694	1521	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-26	4	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1523	1540	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	61.5%	35.7%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	64.1%	52.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1139	1300	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	37.8%	30.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	76.1%	100.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved