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Brighton
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 12
Newcastle

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
BrightonWins
7
Draws44.4% of meetings
8
NewcastleWins
3
Goals per match
2.00
Over 2.5 goals
38.9%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-05-02 England, Premier League 25/26 Newcastle3–1Brighton
2025-10-18 England, Premier League 25/26 Brighton2–1Newcastle
2025-05-04 England, Premier League 24/25 Brighton1–1Newcastle
2024-10-19 England, Premier League 24/25 Newcastle0–1Brighton
2024-05-11 England, Premier League 23/24 Newcastle1–1Brighton
2023-09-02 England, Premier League 23/24 Brighton3–1Newcastle
2023-05-18 England, Premier League 22/23 Newcastle4–1Brighton
2022-08-13 England, Premier League 22/23 Brighton0–0Newcastle
Recent matches

Brighton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton3–0Arsenal
2026-09-14 England, Premier League 26/27 Coventry0–5Brighton
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Coventry0–5Brighton
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton1–1Leeds
2026-08-30 England, Premier League 26/27 Chelsea4–3Brighton
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton4–0Aston Villa
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Brighton0–3Man United
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Leeds1–0Brighton

Newcastle

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–1Hull
2026-09-14 England, Premier League 26/27 Leeds4–1Newcastle
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
2026-08-29 England, Premier League 26/27 Tottenham0–2Newcastle
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–2Liverpool
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Fulham2–0Newcastle
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Newcastle3–1West Ham
2026-05-10 England, Premier League 25/26 Nott'm Forest1–1Newcastle
Brighton Newcastle

Wins

50%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
62%

Both teams scored

25%
75%

Clean sheets

50%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Brighton

Home · Premier League

Newcastle

Away · Premier League
Brighton Home Newcastle Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Brighton

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.332.002.17
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match2.674.333.50
Goals conceded / match0.331.330.83
Total goals / match3.005.674.33
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%0.0%16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Newcastle

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.671.501.60
Draws66.7%0.0%40.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.80
Goals conceded / match1.672.001.80
Total goals / match3.673.503.60
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBrightonDraw NewcastleHow it works
Strength (Elo) 51.6% 21.4% 27.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 61.1% 19.2% 16.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.25–1.08 Model expected goals
61.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
57.2% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 9.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-19.8%
2-09.1%
1-18.7%
1-08.1%
3-17.3%
3-06.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBrightonNewcastle How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1603 1531 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 14 7 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1536 1558 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 56.6% 44.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 59.5% 44.8% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 979 1035 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.5% 35.1% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 68.3% 68.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Brighton 0.950.84 0.630.37
Newcastle 0.850.65 0.850.90

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Brighton 5%12%28%28%28%
Newcastle 5%12%15%30%38%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Brighton at home, 10 matches
1.00 Newcastle away, 10 matches
71d Days of rest for Brighton
71d Days of rest for Newcastle
— Manager of Brighton
Matthias Jaissle Manager of Newcastle, since 31/07/26
0 Matches for Brighton in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Newcastle in the last 14 days
5 Points for Brighton behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Newcastle behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.84 League goals per match
26.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Brighton, the right bar represents Newcastle.

On the ball

20 matches
13.71
shots
12.5
5.18
shots on target
4.28
37.8%
accuracy
34.2%
4.79
corners
5.2
12.21
fouls
11.1
2.17
yellow cards
2.2

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Brighton WWWDLWLLWL 1.60 2.50–1.20 3W
Newcastle WLDWDLWDWL 1.50 1.60–1.50 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Brighton8 65 00
Newcastle8 39 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Brighton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newcastle

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams