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Newcastle
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 13
Man United

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
NewcastleWins
7
Draws11.1% of meetings
2
Man UnitedWins
9
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
55.6%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-03-04 England, Premier League 25/26 Newcastle2–1Man United
2025-12-26 England, Premier League 25/26 Man United1–0Newcastle
2025-04-13 England, Premier League 24/25 Newcastle4–1Man United
2024-12-30 England, Premier League 24/25 Man United0–2Newcastle
2024-05-15 England, Premier League 23/24 Man United3–2Newcastle
2023-12-02 England, Premier League 23/24 Newcastle1–0Man United
2023-04-02 England, Premier League 22/23 Newcastle2–0Man United
2022-10-16 England, Premier League 22/23 Man United0–0Newcastle
Recent matches

Newcastle

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–1Hull
2026-09-14 England, Premier League 26/27 Leeds4–1Newcastle
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
2026-08-29 England, Premier League 26/27 Tottenham0–2Newcastle
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–2Liverpool
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Fulham2–0Newcastle
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Newcastle3–1West Ham
2026-05-10 England, Premier League 25/26 Nott'm Forest1–1Newcastle

Man United

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Premier League 26/27 Fulham1–1Man United
2026-09-14 England, Premier League 26/27 Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-06 England, Premier League 26/27 Everton2–2Man United
2026-08-30 England, Premier League 26/27 Man United5–2Ipswich
2026-08-22 England, Premier League 26/27 Hull2–0Man United
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Brighton0–3Man United
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Man United3–2Nott'm Forest
Newcastle Man United

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
50%

Both teams scored

75%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Newcastle

Home · Premier League

Man United

Away · Premier League
Newcastle Home Man United Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Newcastle

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.671.501.60
Draws66.7%0.0%40.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.80
Goals conceded / match1.672.001.80
Total goals / match3.673.503.60
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Man United

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.000.670.83
Draws0.0%66.7%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.671.001.33
Goals conceded / match1.331.671.50
Total goals / match3.002.672.83
Failed to score66.7%33.3%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNewcastleDraw Man UnitedHow it works
Strength (Elo) 37.8% 24.3% 38.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 18.8% 19.9% 58.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.14–2.18 Model expected goals
62.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.6% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 9.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-29.8%
1-19.0%
0-28.6%
0-17.9%
1-37.1%
0-36.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNewcastleMan United How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1531 1573 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 7 -30 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1558 1541 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 44.4% 57.5% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 44.8% 60.2% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1035 1017 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 35.1% 32.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 68.4% 69.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Newcastle 0.850.65 0.850.90
Man United 0.581.16 0.370.79

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Newcastle 5%12%15%30%38%
Man United 2%15%22%22%38%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Newcastle at home, 10 matches
1.40 Man United away, 10 matches
74d Days of rest for Newcastle
73d Days of rest for Man United
Matthias Jaissle Manager of Newcastle, since 31/07/26
— Manager of Man United
0 Matches for Newcastle in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Man United in the last 14 days
10 Points for Newcastle behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
13 Points for Man United behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.84 League goals per match
26.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Newcastle, the right bar represents Man United.

On the ball

20 matches
12.5
shots
16.41
4.28
shots on target
5.88
34.2%
accuracy
35.8%
5.2
corners
5.89
11.1
fouls
10.16
2.2
yellow cards
2.12

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Newcastle WLDWDLWDWL 1.50 1.60–1.50 1W
Man United DLLDWLWWDW 1.50 1.70–1.30 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Newcastle8 39 03
Man United6 103 10
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Newcastle

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Man United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams