Arsenal

Arsenal

VS Scheduled Saturday 12 Dec 202615:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 15

Bournemouth

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings

ArsenalWins: 9
Draws7.1% of meetings: 1
BournemouthWins: 4

Goals per match: 3.29
Over 2.5 goals: 78.6%
Both teams scored: 57.1%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-11	25/26	Arsenal1–2Bournemouth
2026-01-03	25/26	Bournemouth2–3Arsenal
2025-05-03	24/25	Arsenal1–2Bournemouth
2024-10-19	24/25	Bournemouth2–0Arsenal
2024-05-04	23/24	Arsenal3–0Bournemouth
2023-09-30	23/24	Bournemouth0–4Arsenal
2023-03-04	22/23	Arsenal3–2Bournemouth
2022-08-20	22/23	Bournemouth0–3Arsenal
2019-12-26	19/20	Bournemouth1–1Arsenal
2019-10-06	19/20	Arsenal1–0Bournemouth
2019-02-27	18/19	Arsenal5–1Bournemouth
2018-11-25	18/19	Bournemouth1–2Arsenal
2018-01-14	17/18	Bournemouth2–1Arsenal
2017-09-09	17/18	Arsenal3–0Bournemouth

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Brighton3–0Arsenal
2026-09-13	26/27	Sunderland0–2Arsenal
2026-09-12	26/27	Sunderland0–2Arsenal
2026-09-06	26/27	Arsenal2–1Chelsea
2026-08-31	26/27	Aston Villa0–1Arsenal
2026-08-21	26/27	Arsenal3–0Coventry
2026-05-24	25/26	Crystal Palace1–2Arsenal
2026-05-18	25/26	Arsenal1–0Burnley

Bournemouth

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Bournemouth0–1Liverpool
2026-09-13	26/27	Bournemouth2–2Brentford
2026-09-12	26/27	Bournemouth2–2Brentford
2026-09-05	26/27	Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
2026-08-29	26/27	Bournemouth1–1Everton
2026-08-23	26/27	Man City2–1Bournemouth
2026-05-24	25/26	Nott'm Forest1–1Bournemouth
2026-05-19	25/26	Bournemouth1–1Man City

Arsenal Bournemouth

Wins

88%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

25%

88%

Clean sheets

62%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Arsenal

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Arsenal		Man City	1
2 · Arsenal
2	Arsenal		Brighton	3
2	Arsenal		Brentford	4
2	Arsenal		Liverpool	5
2	Arsenal		Everton	6
2	Arsenal		Leeds	7
2	Arsenal		Hull	8
2	Arsenal		Ipswich	9
2	Arsenal		Newcastle	10
2	Arsenal		Nott'm Forest	11
2	Arsenal	2–1	Chelsea	12	2′ Away
2	Arsenal		Man United	13
2	Arsenal		Bournemouth	14
2	Arsenal		Crystal Palace	15
2	Arsenal		Sunderland	16
2	Arsenal		Aston Villa	17
2	Arsenal		Fulham	18
2	Arsenal		Tottenham	19
2	Arsenal	3–0	Coventry	20	15′ Home

Bournemouth

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Man City	2–1	Bournemouth	14	26′ Away
2	Arsenal		Bournemouth	14
3	Brighton		Bournemouth	14
4	Brentford		Bournemouth	14
5	Liverpool		Bournemouth	14
6	Everton		Bournemouth	14
7	Leeds		Bournemouth	14
8	Hull		Bournemouth	14
9	Ipswich		Bournemouth	14
10	Newcastle	2–2	Bournemouth	14	—
11	Nott'm Forest		Bournemouth	14
12	Chelsea		Bournemouth	14
13	Man United		Bournemouth	14
14 · Bournemouth
15	Crystal Palace		Bournemouth	14
16	Sunderland		Bournemouth	14
17	Aston Villa		Bournemouth	14
18	Fulham		Bournemouth	14
19	Tottenham		Bournemouth	14
20	Coventry		Bournemouth	14

Arsenal Home Bournemouth Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

100%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

50%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Arsenal

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.25	2.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.25	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.50	0.75	0.67
Total goals / match	3.00	2.00	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	2	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bournemouth

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.75	0.50	0.67
Draws	75.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.50	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.00	1.67
Total goals / match	2.75	3.50	3.00
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 1/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Arsenal	Draw	Bournemouth	How it works
Strength (Elo)	61.7%	17.1%	21.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	48.6%	30.3%	21.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.21–0.69 Model expected goals

29.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

34.9% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 18.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-018.1%

0-014.9%

1-112.5%

2-011.0%

0-110.3%

2-17.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Arsenal	Bournemouth	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1694	1548	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-26	-20	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1523	1557	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	61.5%	54.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	64.1%	54.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1139	1036	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	37.8%	28.9%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	76.1%	74.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Arsenal	0.84	0.89	0.37	0.37
Bournemouth	0.53	0.74	0.37	0.63

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Arsenal	5%	20%	22%	32%	20%
Bournemouth	12%	8%	22%	12%	45%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.67 Arsenal at home, 9 matches

1.78 Bournemouth away, 9 matches

84d Days of rest for Arsenal

83d Days of rest for Bournemouth

— Manager of Arsenal

— Manager of Bournemouth

0 Matches for Arsenal in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Bournemouth in the last 14 days

3 Points for Arsenal behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Bournemouth behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.84 League goals per match

26.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Arsenal, the right bar represents Bournemouth.

On the ball

20 matches

14.0

shots

14.24

4.82

shots on target

4.47

34.5%

accuracy

31.4%

4.89

corners

5.11

10.26

fouls

11.47

1.32

yellow cards

2.17

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Arsenal	LWWWWWWWWW	2.70	1.70–0.50	1L
Bournemouth	LDDDDLDDWW	1.20	1.40–1.20	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Arsenal	8	10	1	0	1
Bournemouth	6	9	4	1	4

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Arsenal

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bournemouth

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Arteta embraces perfect storm to play the victim in game of his own making | Barney Ronay The Guardian 09-13

Bayern monitoring Wirtz - Monday's gossip BBC Sport 09-13

WSL roundup: Arsenal rue misses in Palace draw, Manchester City crush Villa The Guardian 09-13

Referee 'completely wrong' to award penalty - Williams BBC Sport 09-12

'Today the game was unprotected' - Arteta fumes but Arsenal survive BBC Sport 09-12

Arteta 'very worried & very sad' over penalty incident BBC Sport 09-12

Schade double denies Bournemouth first league win as Brentford rescue draw The Guardian 09-12

Why Kai Havertz’s dummy was perhaps more pleasing than a Lionel Messi waltz | Max Rushden The Guardian 09-10

Chelsea’s midfield a headache for Alonso after Arsenal press advantage | Jacob Steinberg The Guardian 09-07

Fitter, happier, more productive: Arsenal could hardly have started better | Jonathan Wilson The Guardian 09-07

WSL talking points: Palace result in doubt after substitution nightmare, while Arsenal signings shine The Guardian 09-07

‘Relief’ of Premier League title has given Arsenal confidence, says David Raya The Guardian 09-07