Man City

Man City

VS Scheduled Saturday 19 Dec 202615:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 16

Hull

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Man City5–3Sunderland
2026-09-14	26/27	Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-13	26/27	Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-05	26/27	Man City1–0Coventry
2026-08-28	26/27	Crystal Palace1–4Man City
2026-08-23	26/27	Man City2–1Bournemouth
2026-05-24	25/26	Man City1–2Aston Villa
2026-05-19	25/26	Bournemouth1–1Man City

Hull

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Newcastle2–1Hull
2026-09-13	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-12	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-05	26/27	Hull0–0Aston Villa
2026-08-29	26/27	Coventry0–1Hull
2026-08-22	26/27	Hull2–0Man United

Man City Hull

Wins

75%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Man City

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Man City
1	Man City		Arsenal	2
1	Man City		Brighton	3
1	Man City		Brentford	4
1	Man City		Liverpool	5
1	Man City		Everton	6
1	Man City		Leeds	7
1	Man City		Hull	8
1	Man City		Ipswich	9
1	Man City		Newcastle	10
1	Man City		Nott'm Forest	11
1	Man City		Chelsea	12
1	Man City		Man United	13
1	Man City	2–1	Bournemouth	14	26′ Away
1	Man City		Crystal Palace	15
1	Man City	5–3	Sunderland	16	9′ Home
1	Man City		Aston Villa	17
1	Man City		Fulham	18
1	Man City		Tottenham	19
1	Man City	1–0	Coventry	20	26′ Home

Hull

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Man City		Hull	8
2	Arsenal		Hull	8
3	Brighton		Hull	8
4	Brentford		Hull	8
5	Liverpool		Hull	8
6	Everton		Hull	8
7	Leeds		Hull	8
8 · Hull
9	Ipswich		Hull	8
10	Newcastle	2–1	Hull	8	3′ Home
11	Nott'm Forest		Hull	8
12	Chelsea	2–2	Hull	8	7′ Home
12	Chelsea	2–2	Hull	8	—
13	Man United		Hull	8
14	Bournemouth		Hull	8
15	Crystal Palace		Hull	8
16	Sunderland		Hull	8
17	Aston Villa		Hull	8
18	Fulham		Hull	8
19	Tottenham		Hull	8
20	Coventry	0–1	Hull	8	82′ Away

Man City Home Hull Away

Wins

100%

25%

Over 1.5

67%

75%

Over 2.5

67%

75%

Over 3.5

33%

50%

Both teams scored

67%

75%

Clean sheets

33%

25%

Scores first

67%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Man City

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	2.00	2.33
Goals conceded / match	1.33	0.33	0.83
Total goals / match	4.00	2.33	3.17
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	2	1
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hull

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.25	1.50
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.50	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	1.00	3.00	2.33
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	25.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Man City	Draw	Hull	How it works
Strength (Elo)	66.9%	14.7%	18.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	49.1%	27.5%	23.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.39–0.86 Model expected goals

38.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

42.9% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.7%

1-112.6%

0-010.6%

2-010.2%

0-19.1%

2-18.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Man City	Hull	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1704	1521	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-13	4	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1538	1540	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	64.3%	35.7%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	66.2%	52.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1072	1300	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	33.7%	30.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	73.6%	100.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved