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Aston Villa
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 18
Liverpool

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
Aston VillaWins
2
Draws21.4% of meetings
3
LiverpoolWins
9
Goals per match
3.57
Over 2.5 goals
64.3%
Both teams scored
64.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-05-15 England, Premier League 25/26 Aston Villa4–2Liverpool
2025-11-01 England, Premier League 25/26 Liverpool2–0Aston Villa
2025-02-19 England, Premier League 24/25 Aston Villa2–2Liverpool
2024-11-09 England, Premier League 24/25 Liverpool2–0Aston Villa
2024-05-13 England, Premier League 23/24 Aston Villa3–3Liverpool
2023-09-03 England, Premier League 23/24 Liverpool3–0Aston Villa
2023-05-20 England, Premier League 22/23 Liverpool1–1Aston Villa
2022-12-26 England, Premier League 22/23 Aston Villa1–3Liverpool
Recent matches

Aston Villa

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Tottenham2–3Aston Villa
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest
2026-09-12 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Hull0–0Aston Villa
2026-08-31 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa0–1Arsenal
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton4–0Aston Villa
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Man City1–2Aston Villa
2026-05-15 England, Premier League 25/26 Aston Villa4–2Liverpool

Liverpool

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Premier League 26/27 Bournemouth0–1Liverpool
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Liverpool0–0Fulham
2026-09-12 England, Premier League 26/27 Liverpool0–0Fulham
2026-09-04 England, Premier League 26/27 Ipswich0–2Liverpool
2026-08-29 England, Premier League 26/27 Liverpool2–2Nott'm Forest
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–2Liverpool
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Liverpool1–1Brentford
2026-05-15 England, Premier League 25/26 Aston Villa4–2Liverpool
Aston Villa Liverpool

Wins

38%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
38%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Aston Villa

Home · Premier League

Liverpool

Away · Premier League
Aston Villa Home Liverpool Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Aston Villa

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.001.330.67
Draws0.0%33.3%16.7%
Goals scored / match0.671.000.83
Goals conceded / match1.672.001.83
Total goals / match2.333.002.67
Failed to score33.3%66.7%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%33.3%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Liverpool

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.002.331.67
Draws100.0%33.3%66.7%
Goals scored / match0.671.671.17
Goals conceded / match0.670.670.67
Total goals / match1.332.331.83
Failed to score66.7%0.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1521
16–3000
31–4500
46–6021
61–7500
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAston VillaDraw LiverpoolHow it works
Strength (Elo) 35.4% 24.2% 40.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 18.9% 21.3% 58.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.03–1.99 Model expected goals
56.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
54.4% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.0%
1-210.0%
0-19.7%
0-29.7%
1-36.6%
0-36.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAston VillaLiverpool How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1527 1591 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -48 -50 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1525 1519 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 47.6% 54.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 43.8% 52.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 988 1041 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 33.3% 34.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.4% 69.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Aston Villa 0.470.84 0.740.95
Liverpool 0.680.95 0.370.89

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Aston Villa 5%18%20%25%32%
Liverpool 10%8%25%30%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Aston Villa at home, 10 matches
1.60 Liverpool away, 10 matches
102d Days of rest for Aston Villa
101d Days of rest for Liverpool
— Manager of Aston Villa
— Manager of Liverpool
0 Matches for Aston Villa in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Liverpool in the last 14 days
14 Points for Aston Villa behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Liverpool behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.84 League goals per match
26.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Aston Villa, the right bar represents Liverpool.

On the ball

20 matches
12.06
shots
15.65
3.71
shots on target
5.12
30.7%
accuracy
32.7%
4.53
corners
6.16
10.21
fouls
11.53
1.72
yellow cards
1.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Aston Villa WLLDLLWWDL 1.10 1.40–1.80 1W
Liverpool WDDWDDDLDL 1.20 1.30–1.30 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Aston Villa5 86 11
Liverpool6 94 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Aston Villa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Liverpool

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams