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Aston Villa
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 21
Man United

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
Aston VillaWins
3
Draws21.4% of meetings
3
Man UnitedWins
8
Goals per match
2.93
Over 2.5 goals
71.4%
Both teams scored
64.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-03-15 England, Premier League 25/26 Man United3–1Aston Villa
2025-12-21 England, Premier League 25/26 Aston Villa2–1Man United
2025-05-25 England, Premier League 24/25 Man United2–0Aston Villa
2024-10-06 England, Premier League 24/25 Aston Villa0–0Man United
2024-02-11 England, Premier League 23/24 Aston Villa1–2Man United
2023-12-26 England, Premier League 23/24 Man United3–2Aston Villa
2023-04-30 England, Premier League 22/23 Man United1–0Aston Villa
2022-11-06 England, Premier League 22/23 Aston Villa3–1Man United
Recent matches

Aston Villa

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Tottenham2–3Aston Villa
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest
2026-09-12 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Hull0–0Aston Villa
2026-08-31 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa0–1Arsenal
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton4–0Aston Villa
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Man City1–2Aston Villa
2026-05-15 England, Premier League 25/26 Aston Villa4–2Liverpool

Man United

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Premier League 26/27 Fulham1–1Man United
2026-09-14 England, Premier League 26/27 Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-06 England, Premier League 26/27 Everton2–2Man United
2026-08-30 England, Premier League 26/27 Man United5–2Ipswich
2026-08-22 England, Premier League 26/27 Hull2–0Man United
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Brighton0–3Man United
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Man United3–2Nott'm Forest
Aston Villa Man United

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Aston Villa

Home · Premier League

Man United

Away · Premier League
Aston Villa Home Man United Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Aston Villa

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.001.330.67
Draws0.0%33.3%16.7%
Goals scored / match0.671.000.83
Goals conceded / match1.672.001.83
Total goals / match2.333.002.67
Failed to score33.3%66.7%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%33.3%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Man United

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.000.670.83
Draws0.0%66.7%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.671.001.33
Goals conceded / match1.331.671.50
Total goals / match3.002.672.83
Failed to score66.7%33.3%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAston VillaDraw Man UnitedHow it works
Strength (Elo) 37.3% 24.3% 38.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 16.5% 20.0% 61.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.99–2.12 Model expected goals
57.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
53.8% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 10.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-210.0%
1-29.9%
0-19.5%
1-19.3%
0-37.1%
1-37.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAston VillaMan United How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1527 1573 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -48 -30 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1525 1541 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 47.6% 57.5% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 43.8% 60.2% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 988 1017 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 33.3% 32.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.4% 69.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Aston Villa 0.470.84 0.740.95
Man United 0.581.16 0.370.79

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Aston Villa 5%18%20%25%32%
Man United 2%15%22%22%38%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Aston Villa at home, 10 matches
1.40 Man United away, 10 matches
119d Days of rest for Aston Villa
118d Days of rest for Man United
— Manager of Aston Villa
— Manager of Man United
0 Matches for Aston Villa in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Man United in the last 14 days
14 Points for Aston Villa behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
13 Points for Man United behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.84 League goals per match
26.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Aston Villa, the right bar represents Man United.

On the ball

20 matches
12.06
shots
16.41
3.71
shots on target
5.88
30.7%
accuracy
35.8%
4.53
corners
5.89
10.21
fouls
10.16
1.72
yellow cards
2.12

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Aston Villa WLLDLLWWDL 1.10 1.40–1.80 1W
Man United DLLDWLWWDW 1.50 1.70–1.30 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Aston Villa5 86 11
Man United6 103 10
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Aston Villa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Man United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams