Head-to-head overview
8 meetings- Man CityWins
- 5
- Draws25.0% of meetings
- 2
- Nott'm ForestWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 2.88
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.0%
- Both teams scored
- 37.5%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 |
25/26
|
Man City2–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2025-12-27 |
25/26
|
Nott'm Forest1–2Man City |
| 2025-03-08 |
24/25
|
Nott'm Forest1–0Man City |
| 2024-12-04 |
24/25
|
Man City3–0Nott'm Forest |
| 2024-04-28 |
23/24
|
Nott'm Forest0–2Man City |
| 2023-09-23 |
23/24
|
Man City2–0Nott'm Forest |
| 2023-02-18 |
22/23
|
Nott'm Forest1–1Man City |
| 2022-08-31 |
22/23
|
Man City6–0Nott'm Forest |
Recent matches
Man City
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Man City5–3Sunderland |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Man United0–1Man City |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Man United0–1Man City |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Man City1–0Coventry |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Crystal Palace1–4Man City |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Man City2–1Bournemouth |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Man City1–2Aston Villa |
| 2026-05-19 |
25/26
|
Bournemouth1–1Man City |
Nott'm Forest
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Nott'm Forest0–1Coventry |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Nott'm Forest0–0Tottenham |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Liverpool2–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Nott'm Forest0–1Leeds |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Nott'm Forest1–1Bournemouth |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Man United3–2Nott'm Forest |
Man City
Nott'm Forest
Wins
75%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Both teams scored
62%
62%
Clean sheets
38%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Man City
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Man City | |||||
| 1 | Man City | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Brighton | 3 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Brentford | 4 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Liverpool | 5 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Everton | 6 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Leeds | 7 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Hull | 8 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Ipswich | 9 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Newcastle | 10 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Man United | 13 | ||
| 1 | Man City | 2–1 | Bournemouth | 14 | 26′ Away |
| 1 | Man City | Crystal Palace | 15 | ||
| 1 | Man City | 5–3 | Sunderland | 16 | 9′ Home |
| 1 | Man City | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Fulham | 18 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Tottenham | 19 | ||
| 1 | Man City | 1–0 | Coventry | 20 | 26′ Home |
Nott'm Forest
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 2 | Arsenal | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 4 | Brentford | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 5 | Liverpool | 2–2 | Nott'm Forest | 11 | 24′ Away |
| 6 | Everton | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 7 | Leeds | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 8 | Hull | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 9 | Ipswich | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 10 | Newcastle | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 11 · Nott'm Forest | |||||
| 12 | Chelsea | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 13 | Man United | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 14 | Bournemouth | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 15 | Crystal Palace | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 16 | Sunderland | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | 1–2 | Nott'm Forest | 11 | 46′ Away |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 1–2 | Nott'm Forest | 11 | — |
| 18 | Fulham | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 19 | Tottenham | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 20 | Coventry | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
Man City Home
Nott'm Forest Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Man City
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.67 | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.33 | 0.33 | 0.83 |
| Total goals / match | 4.00 | 2.33 | 3.17 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 66.7% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 25 of 5 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 6/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 2 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 3 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Nott'm Forest
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.33 | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Total goals / match | 0.67 | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| Failed to score | 100.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/3 away.Scoring order known: 5/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Man City | Draw | Nott'm Forest | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 66.2% | 15.0% | 18.8% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 49.8% | 25.8% | 23.8% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.53–0.96
Model expected goals
44.8%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.1%
Both teams to score
1-0
Most likely score, at 12.6%
Most likely scores
1-012.6%
1-112.2%
2-09.6%
2-19.3%
0-08.3%
0-18.0%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Man City | Nott'm Forest | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1704 | 1526 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -13 | -3 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1538 | 1524 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 64.3% | 49.7% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 66.2% | 51.4% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1072 | 1079 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 33.7% | 34.7% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 73.6% | 73.2% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | 1.00 | 1.16 | 0.37 | 0.53 |
| Nott'm Forest | 0.58 | 0.89 | 0.42 | 0.68 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | 2% | 18% | 20% | 38% | 22% |
| Nott'm Forest | 10% | 15% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.50
Man City at home, 10 matches
1.70
Nott'm Forest away, 10 matches
118d
Days of rest for Man City
119d
Days of rest for Nott'm Forest
—
Manager of Man City
—
Manager of Nott'm Forest
0
Matches for Man City in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Nott'm Forest in the last 14 days
0
Points for Man City behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
10
Points for Nott'm Forest behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.84
League goals per match
26.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Man City, the right bar represents Nott'm Forest.
On the ball
17.76
13.53
shots
6.12
4.41
shots on target
34.4%
32.6%
accuracy
7.47
4.58
corners
9.53
12.0
fouls
1.71
1.94
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | WWWWWWLDWW | 2.50 | 2.20–0.80 | 6W |
| Nott'm Forest | LWWDDLDLDW | 1.30 | 1.30–1.20 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Nott'm Forest | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Man City
No absences reported.
Nott'm Forest
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
'Superb strike' - Fowler doubles Man City's lead against Aston Villa
Sky Sports
09-13
Maresca is 'perfect person' for Man City job - Dias
BBC Sport
09-12
Man City latest: Ndiaye says next move 'was always going to be City'
Sky Sports
09-06
When Man City call you don't say no - Ndiaye
BBC Sport
09-06
Shaw double leads Man City to victory over Birmingham
BBC Sport
09-06
New contenders emerge on WSL return - but Man City start strong
BBC Sport
09-06