Leeds

Leeds

VS Scheduled Saturday 23 Jan 202715:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 22

Chelsea

Head-to-head overview

8 meetings

LeedsWins: 2
Draws25.0% of meetings: 2
ChelseaWins: 4

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 75.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-10	25/26	Chelsea2–2Leeds
2025-12-03	25/26	Leeds3–1Chelsea
2023-03-04	22/23	Chelsea1–0Leeds
2022-08-21	22/23	Leeds3–0Chelsea
2022-05-11	21/22	Leeds0–3Chelsea
2021-12-11	21/22	Chelsea3–2Leeds
2021-03-13	20/21	Leeds0–0Chelsea
2020-12-05	20/21	Chelsea3–1Leeds

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Leeds0–0Crystal Palace
2026-09-14	26/27	Leeds4–1Newcastle
2026-09-05	26/27	Brighton1–1Leeds
2026-08-30	26/27	Leeds1–1Brentford
2026-08-22	26/27	Nott'm Forest0–1Leeds
2026-05-24	25/26	West Ham3–0Leeds
2026-05-17	25/26	Leeds1–0Brighton
2026-05-11	25/26	Tottenham1–1Leeds

Chelsea

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Brentford3–0Chelsea
2026-09-13	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-12	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-06	26/27	Arsenal2–1Chelsea
2026-08-30	26/27	Chelsea4–3Brighton
2026-08-24	26/27	Fulham2–3Chelsea
2026-05-24	25/26	Sunderland2–1Chelsea
2026-05-19	25/26	Chelsea2–1Tottenham

Leeds Chelsea

Wins

38%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

100%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Leeds

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Leeds		Man City	1
7	Leeds		Arsenal	2
7	Leeds		Brighton	3
7	Leeds	1–1	Brentford	4	41′ Away
7	Leeds		Liverpool	5
7	Leeds		Everton	6
7 · Leeds
7	Leeds		Hull	8
7	Leeds		Ipswich	9
7	Leeds	4–1	Newcastle	10	—
7	Leeds		Nott'm Forest	11
7	Leeds		Chelsea	12
7	Leeds		Man United	13
7	Leeds		Bournemouth	14
7	Leeds	0–0	Crystal Palace	15	–
7	Leeds		Sunderland	16
7	Leeds		Aston Villa	17
7	Leeds		Fulham	18
7	Leeds		Tottenham	19
7	Leeds		Coventry	20

Chelsea

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Man City		Chelsea	12
2	Arsenal	2–1	Chelsea	12	2′ Away
3	Brighton		Chelsea	12
4	Brentford	3–0	Chelsea	12	61′ Home
5	Liverpool		Chelsea	12
6	Everton		Chelsea	12
7	Leeds		Chelsea	12
8	Hull		Chelsea	12
9	Ipswich		Chelsea	12
10	Newcastle		Chelsea	12
11	Nott'm Forest		Chelsea	12
12 · Chelsea
13	Man United		Chelsea	12
14	Bournemouth		Chelsea	12
15	Crystal Palace		Chelsea	12
16	Sunderland		Chelsea	12
17	Aston Villa		Chelsea	12
18	Fulham	2–3	Chelsea	12	1′ Away
19	Tottenham		Chelsea	12
20	Coventry		Chelsea	12

Leeds Home Chelsea Away

Wins

33%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

33%

100%

Over 3.5

33%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

33%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Leeds

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.67	2.00	1.80
Draws	66.7%	50.0%	60.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.00	1.40
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.50	0.60
Total goals / match	2.33	1.50	2.00
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Chelsea

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.00	1.33
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.33	2.00
Goals conceded / match	2.33	2.33	2.33
Total goals / match	5.00	3.67	4.33
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	2
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Leeds	Draw	Chelsea	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.7%	23.7%	32.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	48.3%	24.8%	26.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.61–1.11 Model expected goals

50.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

53.2% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.8%

1-010.6%

2-19.5%

2-08.5%

0-17.3%

0-06.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Leeds	Chelsea	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1534	1524	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	24	-29	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1538	1549	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	45.5%	55.5%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	44.3%	44.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1077	978	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	31.8%	36.4%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	75.9%	61.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved