Brighton

Brighton

VS Scheduled Saturday 6 Feb 202715:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 24

Hull

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Brighton3–0Arsenal
2026-09-14	26/27	Coventry0–5Brighton
2026-09-13	26/27	Coventry0–5Brighton
2026-09-05	26/27	Brighton1–1Leeds
2026-08-30	26/27	Chelsea4–3Brighton
2026-08-23	26/27	Brighton4–0Aston Villa
2026-05-24	25/26	Brighton0–3Man United
2026-05-17	25/26	Leeds1–0Brighton

Hull

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Newcastle2–1Hull
2026-09-13	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-12	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-05	26/27	Hull0–0Aston Villa
2026-08-29	26/27	Coventry0–1Hull
2026-08-22	26/27	Hull2–0Man United

Brighton Hull

Wins

50%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

50%

Both teams scored

25%

50%

Clean sheets

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Brighton

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Brighton		Man City	1
3	Brighton	3–0	Arsenal	2	31′ Home
3 · Brighton
3	Brighton		Brentford	4
3	Brighton		Liverpool	5
3	Brighton		Everton	6
3	Brighton	1–1	Leeds	7	15′ Away
3	Brighton		Hull	8
3	Brighton		Ipswich	9
3	Brighton		Newcastle	10
3	Brighton		Nott'm Forest	11
3	Brighton		Chelsea	12
3	Brighton		Man United	13
3	Brighton		Bournemouth	14
3	Brighton		Crystal Palace	15
3	Brighton		Sunderland	16
3	Brighton	4–0	Aston Villa	17	—
3	Brighton		Fulham	18
3	Brighton		Tottenham	19
3	Brighton		Coventry	20

Hull

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Man City		Hull	8
2	Arsenal		Hull	8
3	Brighton		Hull	8
4	Brentford		Hull	8
5	Liverpool		Hull	8
6	Everton		Hull	8
7	Leeds		Hull	8
8 · Hull
9	Ipswich		Hull	8
10	Newcastle	2–1	Hull	8	3′ Home
11	Nott'm Forest		Hull	8
12	Chelsea	2–2	Hull	8	7′ Home
12	Chelsea	2–2	Hull	8	—
13	Man United		Hull	8
14	Bournemouth		Hull	8
15	Crystal Palace		Hull	8
16	Sunderland		Hull	8
17	Aston Villa		Hull	8
18	Fulham		Hull	8
19	Tottenham		Hull	8
20	Coventry	0–1	Hull	8	82′ Away

Brighton Home Hull Away

Wins

67%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

67%

75%

Over 3.5

33%

50%

Both teams scored

33%

75%

Clean sheets

67%

25%

Scores first

67%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Brighton

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.00	2.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.67	4.33	3.50
Goals conceded / match	0.33	1.33	0.83
Total goals / match	3.00	5.67	4.33
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hull

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.25	1.50
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.50	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	1.00	3.00	2.33
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	25.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Brighton	Draw	Hull	How it works
Strength (Elo)	53.0%	20.9%	26.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	43.9%	28.3%	27.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.29–0.96 Model expected goals

38.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.4% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 13.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-013.7%

1-113.1%

0-010.6%

0-110.1%

2-08.8%

2-18.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Brighton	Hull	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1603	1521	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	14	4	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1536	1540	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	56.6%	35.7%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	59.5%	52.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	979	1300	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	29.5%	30.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	68.3%	100.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Brighton	0.95	0.84	0.63	0.37
Hull	0.80	0.40	0.60	0.20

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Brighton	5%	12%	28%	28%	28%
Hull	17%	17%	17%	17%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Brighton at home, 10 matches

1.25 Hull away, 4 matches

140d Days of rest for Brighton

140d Days of rest for Hull

— Manager of Brighton

— Manager of Hull

0 Matches for Brighton in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Hull in the last 14 days

5 Points for Brighton behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Hull behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.84 League goals per match

26.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Brighton, the right bar represents Hull.

On the ball

20 matches

13.71

shots

8.33

5.18

shots on target

3.33

37.8%

accuracy

40.0%

4.79

corners

3.4

12.21

fouls

9.4

2.17

yellow cards

3.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Brighton	WWWDLWLLWL	1.60	2.50–1.20	3W
Hull	LDDDWW	1.50	1.33–1.00	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Brighton	8	6	5	0	0
Hull	2	2	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Brighton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hull

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

'Why not have go?!' - Dunk's wonder goal against Coventry BBC Sport 09-13

Dunk scores screamer as Brighton thrash 10-man Coventry BBC Sport 09-13

Lewis Dunk’s showstopper helps five-star Brighton to rout 10-man Coventry The Guardian 09-13

Chelsea's defence looks 'weak & disjointed' - analysis BBC Sport 09-12

New system, same problems - Alonso not happy with 'soft' Chelsea BBC Sport 09-12

We got what we deserved - Alonso on draw with Hull BBC Sport 09-12

Hull stun Chelsea with Mohamed Belloumi double before João Pedro rescues a point The Guardian 09-12

Baum scores on debut as Arsenal edge Brighton BBC Sport 09-06

Seven points from three games - are Hull on track to avoid relegation? BBC Sport 09-05

Aston Villa still winless after stalemate at Hull BBC Sport 09-05

Late Vuskovic header rescues point for Brighton against Leeds BBC Sport 09-05