Chelsea

Chelsea

VS Scheduled Saturday 20 Feb 202715:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 26

Ipswich

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

ChelseaWins: 0
Draws50.0% of meetings: 1
IpswichWins: 1

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2025-04-13	24/25	Chelsea2–2Ipswich
2024-12-30	24/25	Ipswich2–0Chelsea

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Brentford3–0Chelsea
2026-09-13	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-12	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-06	26/27	Arsenal2–1Chelsea
2026-08-30	26/27	Chelsea4–3Brighton
2026-08-24	26/27	Fulham2–3Chelsea
2026-05-24	25/26	Sunderland2–1Chelsea
2026-05-19	25/26	Chelsea2–1Tottenham

Ipswich

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Everton1–0Ipswich
2026-09-13	26/27	Crystal Palace2–3Ipswich
2026-09-12	26/27	Crystal Palace2–3Ipswich
2026-09-04	26/27	Ipswich0–2Liverpool
2026-08-30	26/27	Man United5–2Ipswich
2026-08-22	26/27	Ipswich2–1Sunderland
2025-05-25	24/25	Ipswich1–3West Ham
2025-05-18	24/25	Leicester2–0Ipswich

Chelsea Ipswich

Wins

38%

Over 2.5 goals

100%

62%

Both teams scored

88%

62%

Clean sheets

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Chelsea

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Chelsea		Man City	1
12	Chelsea		Arsenal	2
12	Chelsea	4–3	Brighton	3	—
12	Chelsea		Brentford	4
12	Chelsea		Liverpool	5
12	Chelsea		Everton	6
12	Chelsea		Leeds	7
12	Chelsea	2–2	Hull	8	7′ Home
12	Chelsea	2–2	Hull	8	—
12	Chelsea		Ipswich	9
12	Chelsea		Newcastle	10
12	Chelsea		Nott'm Forest	11
12 · Chelsea
12	Chelsea		Man United	13
12	Chelsea		Bournemouth	14
12	Chelsea		Crystal Palace	15
12	Chelsea		Sunderland	16
12	Chelsea		Aston Villa	17
12	Chelsea		Fulham	18
12	Chelsea		Tottenham	19
12	Chelsea		Coventry	20

Ipswich

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Man City		Ipswich	9
2	Arsenal		Ipswich	9
3	Brighton		Ipswich	9
4	Brentford		Ipswich	9
5	Liverpool		Ipswich	9
6	Everton	1–0	Ipswich	9	11′ Home
7	Leeds		Ipswich	9
8	Hull		Ipswich	9
9 · Ipswich
10	Newcastle		Ipswich	9
11	Nott'm Forest		Ipswich	9
12	Chelsea		Ipswich	9
13	Man United	5–2	Ipswich	9	—
14	Bournemouth		Ipswich	9
15	Crystal Palace	2–3	Ipswich	9	14′ Home
15	Crystal Palace	2–3	Ipswich	9	—
16	Sunderland		Ipswich	9
17	Aston Villa		Ipswich	9
18	Fulham		Ipswich	9
19	Tottenham		Ipswich	9
20	Coventry		Ipswich	9

Chelsea Home Ipswich Away

Wins

33%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

100%

75%

Both teams scored

100%

75%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Chelsea

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.00	1.33
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.33	2.00
Goals conceded / match	2.33	2.33	2.33
Total goals / match	5.00	3.67	4.33
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 1/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ipswich

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.50	1.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	2.00	1.67
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.50	2.17
Total goals / match	2.50	4.50	3.83
Failed to score	50.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Chelsea	Draw	Ipswich	How it works
Strength (Elo)	54.9%	20.1%	25.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	44.4%	20.7%	31.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.13–1.77 Model expected goals

71.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

70.5% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 8.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-18.1%

1-17.6%

2-27.2%

1-26.8%

3-15.8%

3-25.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Chelsea	Ipswich	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1524	1428	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-29	48	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1549	1532	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	55.5%	38.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	44.3%	36.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	978	903	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	36.4%	30.5%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	61.4%	59.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved