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Everton
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 27
Nott'm Forest

Head-to-head overview

8 meetings
EvertonWins
5
Draws25.0% of meetings
2
Nott'm ForestWins
1
Goals per match
2.12
Over 2.5 goals
25.0%
Both teams scored
25.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-12-30 England, Premier League 25/26 Nott'm Forest0–2Everton
2025-12-06 England, Premier League 25/26 Everton3–0Nott'm Forest
2025-04-12 England, Premier League 24/25 Nott'm Forest0–1Everton
2024-12-29 England, Premier League 24/25 Everton0–2Nott'm Forest
2024-04-21 England, Premier League 23/24 Everton2–0Nott'm Forest
2023-12-02 England, Premier League 23/24 Nott'm Forest0–1Everton
2023-03-05 England, Premier League 22/23 Nott'm Forest2–2Everton
2022-08-20 England, Premier League 22/23 Everton1–1Nott'm Forest
Recent matches

Everton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Everton1–0Ipswich
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Tottenham0–0Everton
2026-09-12 England, Premier League 26/27 Tottenham0–0Everton
2026-09-06 England, Premier League 26/27 Everton2–2Man United
2026-08-29 England, Premier League 26/27 Bournemouth1–1Everton
2026-08-22 England, Premier League 26/27 Everton2–0Crystal Palace
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Tottenham1–0Everton
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Everton1–3Sunderland

Nott'm Forest

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Nott'm Forest0–1Coventry
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest
2026-09-12 England, Premier League 26/27 Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Nott'm Forest0–0Tottenham
2026-08-29 England, Premier League 26/27 Liverpool2–2Nott'm Forest
2026-08-22 England, Premier League 26/27 Nott'm Forest0–1Leeds
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Nott'm Forest1–1Bournemouth
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Man United3–2Nott'm Forest
Everton Nott'm Forest

Wins

25%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%
50%

Both teams scored

38%
62%

Clean sheets

50%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Everton

Home · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
6 Everton Man City 1
6 Everton Arsenal 2
6 Everton Brighton 3
6 Everton Brentford 4
6 Everton Liverpool 5
6 · Everton
6 Everton Leeds 7
6 Everton Hull 8
6 Everton 1–0 Ipswich 9 11′ Home
6 Everton Newcastle 10
6 Everton Nott'm Forest 11
6 Everton Chelsea 12
6 Everton 2–2 Man United 13 46′ Away
6 Everton Bournemouth 14
6 Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace 15 42′ Home
6 Everton Sunderland 16
6 Everton Aston Villa 17
6 Everton Fulham 18
6 Everton Tottenham 19
6 Everton Coventry 20
Everton Home Nott'm Forest Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Everton

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.331.001.67
Draws33.3%100.0%66.7%
Goals scored / match1.670.331.00
Goals conceded / match0.670.330.50
Total goals / match2.330.671.50
Failed to score0.0%66.7%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%100.0%83.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3000
31–4510
46–6011
61–7500
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nott'm Forest

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.332.331.33
Draws33.3%33.3%33.3%
Goals scored / match0.002.001.00
Goals conceded / match0.671.331.00
Total goals / match0.673.332.00
Failed to score100.0%0.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%0.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelEvertonDraw Nott'm ForestHow it works
Strength (Elo) 42.7% 23.8% 33.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 25.1% 26.3% 48.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.98–1.48 Model expected goals
44.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
47.9% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 12.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-112.7%
1-112.4%
0-29.3%
1-29.2%
0-08.6%
1-08.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureEvertonNott'm Forest How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1528 1526 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -8 -3 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1535 1524 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 46.3% 49.7% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 53.1% 51.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 960 1079 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 30.2% 34.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.8% 73.2% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Everton 0.530.89 0.420.95
Nott'm Forest 0.580.89 0.420.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Everton 8%18%32%22%20%
Nott'm Forest 10%15%25%25%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Everton at home, 10 matches
1.70 Nott'm Forest away, 10 matches
161d Days of rest for Everton
161d Days of rest for Nott'm Forest
— Manager of Everton
— Manager of Nott'm Forest
0 Matches for Everton in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Nott'm Forest in the last 14 days
8 Points for Everton behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Nott'm Forest behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.84 League goals per match
26.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Everton, the right bar represents Nott'm Forest.

On the ball

20 matches
12.53
shots
13.53
5.06
shots on target
4.41
40.4%
accuracy
32.6%
4.74
corners
4.58
9.95
fouls
12.0
2.11
yellow cards
1.94

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Everton WDDDDWLLDD 1.20 1.20–1.20 1W
Nott'm Forest LWWDDLDLDW 1.30 1.30–1.20 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Everton7 75 12
Nott'm Forest5 95 12
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Everton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nott'm Forest

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams