Head-to-head overview
14 meetings- Aston VillaWins
- 5
- Draws14.3% of meetings
- 2
- ChelseaWins
- 7
- Goals per match
- 2.93
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71.4%
- Both teams scored
- 64.3%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 |
25/26
|
Aston Villa1–4Chelsea |
| 2025-12-27 |
25/26
|
Chelsea1–2Aston Villa |
| 2025-02-22 |
24/25
|
Aston Villa2–1Chelsea |
| 2024-12-01 |
24/25
|
Chelsea3–0Aston Villa |
| 2024-04-27 |
23/24
|
Aston Villa2–2Chelsea |
| 2023-09-24 |
23/24
|
Chelsea0–1Aston Villa |
| 2023-04-01 |
22/23
|
Chelsea0–2Aston Villa |
| 2022-10-16 |
22/23
|
Aston Villa0–2Chelsea |
| 2021-12-26 |
21/22
|
Aston Villa1–3Chelsea |
| 2021-09-11 |
21/22
|
Chelsea3–0Aston Villa |
| 2021-05-23 |
20/21
|
Aston Villa2–1Chelsea |
| 2020-12-28 |
20/21
|
Chelsea1–1Aston Villa |
| 2020-06-21 |
19/20
|
Aston Villa1–2Chelsea |
| 2019-12-04 |
19/20
|
Chelsea2–1Aston Villa |
Recent matches
Aston Villa
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Tottenham2–3Aston Villa |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Hull0–0Aston Villa |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa0–1Arsenal |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Brighton4–0Aston Villa |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Man City1–2Aston Villa |
| 2026-05-15 |
25/26
|
Aston Villa4–2Liverpool |
Chelsea
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 |
26/27
|
Brentford3–0Chelsea |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Chelsea2–2Hull |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Chelsea2–2Hull |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Arsenal2–1Chelsea |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Chelsea4–3Brighton |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Fulham2–3Chelsea |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Sunderland2–1Chelsea |
| 2026-05-19 |
25/26
|
Chelsea2–1Tottenham |
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Wins
38%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
100%
Both teams scored
62%
88%
Clean sheets
12%
0%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Aston Villa
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Aston Villa | Man City | 1 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | 0–1 | Arsenal | 2 | 59′ Away |
| 17 | Aston Villa | Brighton | 3 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Brentford | 4 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Liverpool | 5 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Everton | 6 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Leeds | 7 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Hull | 8 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Ipswich | 9 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Newcastle | 10 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | 1–2 | Nott'm Forest | 11 | 46′ Away |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 1–2 | Nott'm Forest | 11 | — |
| 17 | Aston Villa | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Man United | 13 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Bournemouth | 14 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Crystal Palace | 15 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Sunderland | 16 | ||
| 17 · Aston Villa | |||||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Fulham | 18 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Tottenham | 19 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Coventry | 20 | ||
Chelsea
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 2 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Chelsea | 12 | 2′ Away |
| 3 | Brighton | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 4 | Brentford | 3–0 | Chelsea | 12 | 61′ Home |
| 5 | Liverpool | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 6 | Everton | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 7 | Leeds | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 8 | Hull | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 9 | Ipswich | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 10 | Newcastle | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 12 · Chelsea | |||||
| 13 | Man United | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 14 | Bournemouth | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 15 | Crystal Palace | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 16 | Sunderland | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 18 | Fulham | 2–3 | Chelsea | 12 | 1′ Away |
| 19 | Tottenham | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 20 | Coventry | Chelsea | 12 | ||
Aston Villa Home
Chelsea Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Aston Villa
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.00 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 33.3% | 16.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Total goals / match | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Failed to score | 33.3% | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/3 home.Scoring order known: 5/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Chelsea
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Draws | 66.7% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.67 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| Total goals / match | 5.00 | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 33.3% | 16.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 2— | 50%— |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 2— | 50%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 3/3 away.Scoring order known: 4/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 2 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Aston Villa | Draw | Chelsea | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 42.9% | 23.8% | 33.3% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 35.5% | 22.3% | 40.4% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.67–1.80
Model expected goals
65.7%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
66.4%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 9.3%
Most likely scores
1-19.3%
1-28.4%
2-17.8%
2-27.0%
0-15.6%
1-05.2%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Aston Villa | Chelsea | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1527 | 1524 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -48 | -29 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1525 | 1549 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 47.6% | 55.5% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 43.8% | 44.3% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 988 | 978 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 33.3% | 36.4% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 65.4% | 61.4% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 0.47 | 0.84 | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| Chelsea | 0.89 | 0.47 | 0.79 | 1.16 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 5% | 18% | 20% | 25% | 32% |
| Chelsea | 2% | 8% | 18% | 38% | 35% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.30
Aston Villa at home, 10 matches
1.00
Chelsea away, 10 matches
161d
Days of rest for Aston Villa
162d
Days of rest for Chelsea
—
Manager of Aston Villa
—
Manager of Chelsea
0
Matches for Aston Villa in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Chelsea in the last 14 days
14
Points for Aston Villa behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
10
Points for Chelsea behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.84
League goals per match
26.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Aston Villa, the right bar represents Chelsea.
On the ball
12.06
13.94
shots
3.71
3.88
shots on target
30.7%
27.8%
accuracy
4.53
6.47
corners
10.21
10.47
fouls
1.72
2.39
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | WLLDLLWWDL | 1.10 | 1.40–1.80 | 1W |
| Chelsea | LDDLWWLWDL | 1.20 | 1.70–2.10 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Chelsea | 7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Aston Villa
No absences reported.
Chelsea
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
Enzo Fernández’s fortitude shows Maresca was right to crave City reunion | Will Unwin
The Guardian
09-13
WSL roundup: Arsenal rue misses in Palace draw, Manchester City crush Villa
The Guardian
09-13
'Superb strike' - Fowler doubles Man City's lead against Aston Villa
Sky Sports
09-13
Lauren James revels in free role as Chelsea show ‘respect’ by scoring five past Manchester United
The Guardian
09-13
Chelsea's defence looks 'weak & disjointed' - analysis
BBC Sport
09-12
New system, same problems - Alonso not happy with 'soft' Chelsea
BBC Sport
09-12
Emery left searching for answers after another Villa loss
BBC Sport
09-12
We got what we deserved - Alonso on draw with Hull
BBC Sport
09-12
Emery takes responsibility as Forest strike late at winless Aston Villa
The Guardian
09-12
Can you make a case for Chelsea being stripped of 2016-17 title?
BBC Sport
09-10