For the love of the game. Find your next match
Bournemouth
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 29
Newcastle

Head-to-head overview

15 meetings
BournemouthWins
4
Draws53.3% of meetings
8
NewcastleWins
3
Goals per match
2.93
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%
Both teams scored
80.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
2026-04-18 England, Premier League 25/26 Newcastle1–2Bournemouth
2025-09-21 England, Premier League 25/26 Bournemouth0–0Newcastle
2025-01-18 England, Premier League 24/25 Newcastle1–4Bournemouth
2024-08-25 England, Premier League 24/25 Bournemouth1–1Newcastle
2024-02-17 England, Premier League 23/24 Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
2023-11-11 England, Premier League 23/24 Bournemouth2–0Newcastle
2023-02-11 England, Premier League 22/23 Bournemouth1–1Newcastle
Recent matches

Bournemouth

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Premier League 26/27 Bournemouth0–1Liverpool
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Bournemouth2–2Brentford
2026-09-12 England, Premier League 26/27 Bournemouth2–2Brentford
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
2026-08-29 England, Premier League 26/27 Bournemouth1–1Everton
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Man City2–1Bournemouth
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Nott'm Forest1–1Bournemouth
2026-05-19 England, Premier League 25/26 Bournemouth1–1Man City

Newcastle

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–1Hull
2026-09-14 England, Premier League 26/27 Leeds4–1Newcastle
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
2026-08-29 England, Premier League 26/27 Tottenham0–2Newcastle
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Newcastle2–2Liverpool
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Fulham2–0Newcastle
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Newcastle3–1West Ham
2026-05-10 England, Premier League 25/26 Nott'm Forest1–1Newcastle
Bournemouth Newcastle

Wins

0%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
62%

Both teams scored

88%
75%

Clean sheets

0%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Bournemouth

Home · Premier League

Newcastle

Away · Premier League
Bournemouth Home Newcastle Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Bournemouth

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway2 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.750.500.67
Draws75.0%50.0%66.7%
Goals scored / match1.251.501.33
Goals conceded / match1.502.001.67
Total goals / match2.753.503.00
Failed to score25.0%0.0%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%0.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Newcastle

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.671.501.60
Draws66.7%0.0%40.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.80
Goals conceded / match1.672.001.80
Total goals / match3.673.503.60
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBournemouthDraw NewcastleHow it works
Strength (Elo) 44.5% 23.5% 32.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 44.0% 25.5% 30.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.50–1.19 Model expected goals
49.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
53.7% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.1%
1-010.2%
2-19.1%
0-18.1%
2-07.6%
1-27.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBournemouthNewcastle How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1548 1531 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -20 7 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1557 1558 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 54.0% 44.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 54.7% 44.8% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1036 1035 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 28.9% 35.1% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 74.6% 68.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Bournemouth 0.530.74 0.370.63
Newcastle 0.850.65 0.850.90

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Bournemouth 12%8%22%12%45%
Newcastle 5%12%15%30%38%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.09 Bournemouth at home, 11 matches
1.00 Newcastle away, 10 matches
174d Days of rest for Bournemouth
175d Days of rest for Newcastle
— Manager of Bournemouth
Matthias Jaissle Manager of Newcastle, since 31/07/26
0 Matches for Bournemouth in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Newcastle in the last 14 days
14 Points for Bournemouth behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Newcastle behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.84 League goals per match
26.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bournemouth, the right bar represents Newcastle.

On the ball

20 matches
14.24
shots
12.5
4.47
shots on target
4.28
31.4%
accuracy
34.2%
5.11
corners
5.2
11.47
fouls
11.1
2.17
yellow cards
2.2

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Bournemouth LDDDDLDDWW 1.20 1.40–1.20 1L
Newcastle WLDWDLWDWL 1.50 1.60–1.50 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Bournemouth6 94 14
Newcastle8 39 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bournemouth

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newcastle

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams