Hull

Hull

VS Scheduled Saturday 20 Mar 202715:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 30

Chelsea

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

HullWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 2
ChelseaWins: 0

Goals per match: 4.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-12	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Newcastle2–1Hull
2026-09-13	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-12	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-05	26/27	Hull0–0Aston Villa
2026-08-29	26/27	Coventry0–1Hull
2026-08-22	26/27	Hull2–0Man United

Chelsea

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Brentford3–0Chelsea
2026-09-13	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-12	26/27	Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-06	26/27	Arsenal2–1Chelsea
2026-08-30	26/27	Chelsea4–3Brighton
2026-08-24	26/27	Fulham2–3Chelsea
2026-05-24	25/26	Sunderland2–1Chelsea
2026-05-19	25/26	Chelsea2–1Tottenham

Hull Chelsea

Wins

33%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

100%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hull

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Hull		Man City	1
8	Hull		Arsenal	2
8	Hull		Brighton	3
8	Hull		Brentford	4
8	Hull		Liverpool	5
8	Hull		Everton	6
8	Hull		Leeds	7
8 · Hull
8	Hull		Ipswich	9
8	Hull		Newcastle	10
8	Hull		Nott'm Forest	11
8	Hull		Chelsea	12
8	Hull	2–0	Man United	13	17′ Home
8	Hull		Bournemouth	14
8	Hull		Crystal Palace	15
8	Hull		Sunderland	16
8	Hull	0–0	Aston Villa	17	–
8	Hull		Fulham	18
8	Hull		Tottenham	19
8	Hull		Coventry	20

Chelsea

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Man City		Chelsea	12
2	Arsenal	2–1	Chelsea	12	2′ Away
3	Brighton		Chelsea	12
4	Brentford	3–0	Chelsea	12	61′ Home
5	Liverpool		Chelsea	12
6	Everton		Chelsea	12
7	Leeds		Chelsea	12
8	Hull		Chelsea	12
9	Ipswich		Chelsea	12
10	Newcastle		Chelsea	12
11	Nott'm Forest		Chelsea	12
12 · Chelsea
13	Man United		Chelsea	12
14	Bournemouth		Chelsea	12
15	Crystal Palace		Chelsea	12
16	Sunderland		Chelsea	12
17	Aston Villa		Chelsea	12
18	Fulham	2–3	Chelsea	12	1′ Away
19	Tottenham		Chelsea	12
20	Coventry		Chelsea	12

Hull Home Chelsea Away

Wins

50%

33%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

0%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

0%

67%

Clean sheets

100%

0%

Scores first

50%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hull

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.25	1.50
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.50	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	1.00	3.00	2.33
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	25.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Chelsea

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.00	1.33
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.33	2.00
Goals conceded / match	2.33	2.33	2.33
Total goals / match	5.00	3.67	4.33
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	2
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Hull	Draw	Chelsea	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.2%	23.9%	33.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	51.9%	23.9%	23.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.71–1.06 Model expected goals

51.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

52.9% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.3%

1-010.7%

2-19.7%

2-09.2%

0-16.6%

0-06.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Hull	Chelsea	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1521	1524	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	4	-29	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1540	1549	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	35.7%	55.5%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	52.6%	44.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1300	978	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.0%	36.4%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	100.0%	61.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved