Bournemouth

Bournemouth

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Apr 202715:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 31

Man City

Head-to-head overview

15 meetings

BournemouthWins: 1
Draws6.7% of meetings: 1
Man CityWins: 13

Goals per match: 3.47
Over 2.5 goals: 80.0%
Both teams scored: 73.3%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-23	26/27	Man City2–1Bournemouth
2026-05-19	25/26	Bournemouth1–1Man City
2025-11-02	25/26	Man City3–1Bournemouth
2025-05-20	24/25	Man City3–1Bournemouth
2024-11-02	24/25	Bournemouth2–1Man City
2024-02-24	23/24	Bournemouth0–1Man City
2023-11-04	23/24	Man City6–1Bournemouth
2023-02-25	22/23	Bournemouth1–4Man City
2022-08-13	22/23	Man City4–0Bournemouth
2020-07-15	19/20	Man City2–1Bournemouth
2019-08-25	19/20	Bournemouth1–3Man City
2019-03-02	18/19	Bournemouth0–1Man City
2018-12-01	18/19	Man City3–1Bournemouth
2017-12-23	17/18	Man City4–0Bournemouth
2017-08-26	17/18	Bournemouth1–2Man City

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Bournemouth0–1Liverpool
2026-09-13	26/27	Bournemouth2–2Brentford
2026-09-12	26/27	Bournemouth2–2Brentford
2026-09-05	26/27	Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
2026-08-29	26/27	Bournemouth1–1Everton
2026-08-23	26/27	Man City2–1Bournemouth
2026-05-24	25/26	Nott'm Forest1–1Bournemouth
2026-05-19	25/26	Bournemouth1–1Man City

Man City

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Man City5–3Sunderland
2026-09-14	26/27	Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-13	26/27	Man United0–1Man City
2026-09-05	26/27	Man City1–0Coventry
2026-08-28	26/27	Crystal Palace1–4Man City
2026-08-23	26/27	Man City2–1Bournemouth
2026-05-24	25/26	Man City1–2Aston Villa
2026-05-19	25/26	Bournemouth1–1Man City

Bournemouth Man City

Wins

0%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

88%

62%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Bournemouth

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Bournemouth		Man City	1
14	Bournemouth		Arsenal	2
14	Bournemouth		Brighton	3
14	Bournemouth	2–2	Brentford	4	34′ Away
14	Bournemouth	2–2	Brentford	4	—
14	Bournemouth	0–1	Liverpool	5	57′ Away
14	Bournemouth	1–1	Everton	6	41′ Home
14	Bournemouth		Leeds	7
14	Bournemouth		Hull	8
14	Bournemouth		Ipswich	9
14	Bournemouth		Newcastle	10
14	Bournemouth		Nott'm Forest	11
14	Bournemouth		Chelsea	12
14	Bournemouth		Man United	13
14 · Bournemouth
14	Bournemouth		Crystal Palace	15
14	Bournemouth		Sunderland	16
14	Bournemouth		Aston Villa	17
14	Bournemouth		Fulham	18
14	Bournemouth		Tottenham	19
14	Bournemouth		Coventry	20

Man City

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Man City
2	Arsenal		Man City	1
3	Brighton		Man City	1
4	Brentford		Man City	1
5	Liverpool		Man City	1
6	Everton		Man City	1
7	Leeds		Man City	1
8	Hull		Man City	1
9	Ipswich		Man City	1
10	Newcastle		Man City	1
11	Nott'm Forest		Man City	1
12	Chelsea		Man City	1
13	Man United	0–1	Man City	1	60′ Away
13	Man United	0–1	Man City	1	—
14	Bournemouth		Man City	1
15	Crystal Palace	1–4	Man City	1	—
16	Sunderland		Man City	1
17	Aston Villa		Man City	1
18	Fulham		Man City	1
19	Tottenham		Man City	1
20	Coventry		Man City	1

Bournemouth Home Man City Away

Wins

0%

100%

Over 1.5

75%

33%

Over 2.5

50%

33%

Over 3.5

50%

33%

Both teams scored

75%

33%

Clean sheets

0%

67%

Scores first

N/A

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Bournemouth

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.75	0.50	0.67
Draws	75.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.50	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.00	1.67
Total goals / match	2.75	3.50	3.00
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Man City

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	2.00	2.33
Goals conceded / match	1.33	0.33	0.83
Total goals / match	4.00	2.33	3.17
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Bournemouth	Draw	Man City	How it works
Strength (Elo)	26.8%	21.3%	52.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	16.1%	24.0%	59.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.73–1.67 Model expected goals

42.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

41.6% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 15.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-115.2%

0-212.6%

1-111.1%

1-29.2%

0-09.1%

0-37.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Bournemouth	Man City	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1548	1704	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-20	-13	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1557	1538	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	54.0%	64.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	54.7%	66.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1036	1072	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	28.9%	33.7%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	74.6%	73.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Bournemouth	0.53	0.74	0.37	0.63
Man City	1.00	1.16	0.37	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Bournemouth	12%	8%	22%	12%	45%
Man City	2%	18%	20%	38%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.09 Bournemouth at home, 11 matches

2.40 Man City away, 10 matches

202d Days of rest for Bournemouth

202d Days of rest for Man City

— Manager of Bournemouth

— Manager of Man City

0 Matches for Bournemouth in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Man City in the last 14 days

14 Points for Bournemouth behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Man City behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.84 League goals per match

26.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bournemouth, the right bar represents Man City.

On the ball

20 matches

14.24

shots

17.76

4.47

shots on target

6.12

31.4%

accuracy

34.4%

5.11

corners

7.47

11.47

fouls

9.53

2.17

yellow cards

1.71

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Bournemouth	LDDDDLDDWW	1.20	1.40–1.20	1L
Man City	WWWWWWLDWW	2.50	2.20–0.80	6W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Bournemouth	6	9	4	1	4
Man City	11	6	2	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bournemouth

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Man City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

'Their intelligence & resilience was key' - how Man City earned 'statement win' BBC Sport 09-13

Awarding Man City's winner at Man Utd an error, admits refereeing body Sky Sports 09-13

Bayern monitoring Wirtz - Monday's gossip BBC Sport 09-13

'Superb strike' - Fowler doubles Man City's lead against Aston Villa Sky Sports 09-13

Haaland scores controversial winner as Man City win derby despite Foden red BBC Sport 09-13

Haaland scores controversial derby winner for Man City after Foden red Sky Sports 09-13

Carrick 'baffled' by decision to award controversial Man City goal BBC Sport 09-13

Keane disagrees with Foden red card as pundits criticise Fernandes' role Sky Sports 09-13

Schade double denies Bournemouth first league win as Brentford rescue draw The Guardian 09-12

Maresca is 'perfect person' for Man City job - Dias BBC Sport 09-12

Man City latest: Ndiaye says next move 'was always going to be City' Sky Sports 09-06

When Man City call you don't say no - Ndiaye BBC Sport 09-06