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Brighton
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 32
Chelsea

Head-to-head overview

19 meetings
BrightonWins
5
Draws21.1% of meetings
4
ChelseaWins
10
Goals per match
3.32
Over 2.5 goals
68.4%
Both teams scored
63.2%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-30 England, Premier League 26/27 Chelsea4–3Brighton
2026-04-21 England, Premier League 25/26 Brighton3–0Chelsea
2025-09-27 England, Premier League 25/26 Chelsea1–3Brighton
2025-02-14 England, Premier League 24/25 Brighton3–0Chelsea
2024-09-28 England, Premier League 24/25 Chelsea4–2Brighton
2024-05-15 England, Premier League 23/24 Brighton1–2Chelsea
2023-12-03 England, Premier League 23/24 Chelsea3–2Brighton
2023-04-15 England, Premier League 22/23 Chelsea1–2Brighton
Recent matches

Brighton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton3–0Arsenal
2026-09-14 England, Premier League 26/27 Coventry0–5Brighton
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Coventry0–5Brighton
2026-09-05 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton1–1Leeds
2026-08-30 England, Premier League 26/27 Chelsea4–3Brighton
2026-08-23 England, Premier League 26/27 Brighton4–0Aston Villa
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Brighton0–3Man United
2026-05-17 England, Premier League 25/26 Leeds1–0Brighton

Chelsea

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 England, Premier League 26/27 Brentford3–0Chelsea
2026-09-13 England, Premier League 26/27 Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-12 England, Premier League 26/27 Chelsea2–2Hull
2026-09-06 England, Premier League 26/27 Arsenal2–1Chelsea
2026-08-30 England, Premier League 26/27 Chelsea4–3Brighton
2026-08-24 England, Premier League 26/27 Fulham2–3Chelsea
2026-05-24 England, Premier League 25/26 Sunderland2–1Chelsea
2026-05-19 England, Premier League 25/26 Chelsea2–1Tottenham
Brighton Chelsea

Wins

50%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
100%

Both teams scored

25%
88%

Clean sheets

50%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Brighton

Home · Premier League

Chelsea

Away · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Man City Chelsea 12
2 Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea 12 2′ Away
3 Brighton Chelsea 12
4 Brentford 3–0 Chelsea 12 61′ Home
5 Liverpool Chelsea 12
6 Everton Chelsea 12
7 Leeds Chelsea 12
8 Hull Chelsea 12
9 Ipswich Chelsea 12
10 Newcastle Chelsea 12
11 Nott'm Forest Chelsea 12
12 · Chelsea
13 Man United Chelsea 12
14 Bournemouth Chelsea 12
15 Crystal Palace Chelsea 12
16 Sunderland Chelsea 12
17 Aston Villa Chelsea 12
18 Fulham 2–3 Chelsea 12 1′ Away
19 Tottenham Chelsea 12
20 Coventry Chelsea 12
Brighton Home Chelsea Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Brighton

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.332.002.17
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match2.674.333.50
Goals conceded / match0.331.330.83
Total goals / match3.005.674.33
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%0.0%16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Chelsea

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.671.001.33
Draws66.7%0.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match2.671.332.00
Goals conceded / match2.332.332.33
Total goals / match5.003.674.33
Failed to score0.0%33.3%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1520
16–3002
31–4510
46–6012
61–7501
76–9002

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBrightonDraw ChelseaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 52.6% 21.0% 26.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 65.8% 16.8% 13.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.51–1.01 Model expected goals
63.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
55.5% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 9.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-19.4%
2-09.4%
3-17.9%
3-07.8%
1-17.5%
1-07.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBrightonChelsea How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1603 1524 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 14 -29 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1536 1549 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 56.6% 55.5% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 59.5% 44.3% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 979 978 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.5% 36.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 68.3% 61.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Brighton 0.950.84 0.630.37
Chelsea 0.890.47 0.791.16

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Brighton 5%12%28%28%28%
Chelsea 2%8%18%38%35%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Brighton at home, 10 matches
1.00 Chelsea away, 10 matches
210d Days of rest for Brighton
211d Days of rest for Chelsea
— Manager of Brighton
— Manager of Chelsea
0 Matches for Brighton in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Chelsea in the last 14 days
5 Points for Brighton behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Chelsea behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.84 League goals per match
26.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Brighton, the right bar represents Chelsea.

On the ball

20 matches
13.71
shots
13.94
5.18
shots on target
3.88
37.8%
accuracy
27.8%
4.79
corners
6.47
12.21
fouls
10.47
2.17
yellow cards
2.39

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Brighton WWWDLWLLWL 1.60 2.50–1.20 3W
Chelsea LDDLWWLWDL 1.20 1.70–2.10 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Brighton8 65 00
Chelsea7 57 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Brighton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Chelsea

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams