Leeds

Leeds

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Apr 202715:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 33

Liverpool

Head-to-head overview

8 meetings

LeedsWins: 1
Draws37.5% of meetings: 3
LiverpoolWins: 4

Goals per match: 4.25
Over 2.5 goals: 75.0%
Both teams scored: 62.5%

Date	Season	Match
2026-01-01	25/26	Liverpool0–0Leeds
2025-12-06	25/26	Leeds3–3Liverpool
2023-04-17	22/23	Leeds1–6Liverpool
2022-10-29	22/23	Liverpool1–2Leeds
2022-02-23	21/22	Liverpool6–0Leeds
2021-09-12	21/22	Leeds0–3Liverpool
2021-04-19	20/21	Leeds1–1Liverpool
2020-09-12	20/21	Liverpool4–3Leeds

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Leeds0–0Crystal Palace
2026-09-14	26/27	Leeds4–1Newcastle
2026-09-05	26/27	Brighton1–1Leeds
2026-08-30	26/27	Leeds1–1Brentford
2026-08-22	26/27	Nott'm Forest0–1Leeds
2026-05-24	25/26	West Ham3–0Leeds
2026-05-17	25/26	Leeds1–0Brighton
2026-05-11	25/26	Tottenham1–1Leeds

Liverpool

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Bournemouth0–1Liverpool
2026-09-13	26/27	Liverpool0–0Fulham
2026-09-12	26/27	Liverpool0–0Fulham
2026-09-04	26/27	Ipswich0–2Liverpool
2026-08-29	26/27	Liverpool2–2Nott'm Forest
2026-08-23	26/27	Newcastle2–2Liverpool
2026-05-24	25/26	Liverpool1–1Brentford
2026-05-15	25/26	Aston Villa4–2Liverpool

Leeds Liverpool

Wins

38%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

38%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Leeds

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Leeds		Man City	1
7	Leeds		Arsenal	2
7	Leeds		Brighton	3
7	Leeds	1–1	Brentford	4	41′ Away
7	Leeds		Liverpool	5
7	Leeds		Everton	6
7 · Leeds
7	Leeds		Hull	8
7	Leeds		Ipswich	9
7	Leeds	4–1	Newcastle	10	—
7	Leeds		Nott'm Forest	11
7	Leeds		Chelsea	12
7	Leeds		Man United	13
7	Leeds		Bournemouth	14
7	Leeds	0–0	Crystal Palace	15	–
7	Leeds		Sunderland	16
7	Leeds		Aston Villa	17
7	Leeds		Fulham	18
7	Leeds		Tottenham	19
7	Leeds		Coventry	20

Liverpool

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Man City		Liverpool	5
2	Arsenal		Liverpool	5
3	Brighton		Liverpool	5
4	Brentford		Liverpool	5
5 · Liverpool
6	Everton		Liverpool	5
7	Leeds		Liverpool	5
8	Hull		Liverpool	5
9	Ipswich	0–2	Liverpool	5	6′ Away
10	Newcastle	2–2	Liverpool	5	5′ Home
11	Nott'm Forest		Liverpool	5
12	Chelsea		Liverpool	5
13	Man United		Liverpool	5
14	Bournemouth	0–1	Liverpool	5	57′ Away
15	Crystal Palace		Liverpool	5
16	Sunderland		Liverpool	5
17	Aston Villa		Liverpool	5
18	Fulham		Liverpool	5
19	Tottenham		Liverpool	5
20	Coventry		Liverpool	5

Leeds Home Liverpool Away

Wins

33%

67%

Over 1.5

67%

Over 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

33%

Both teams scored

67%

33%

Clean sheets

33%

67%

Scores first

33%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Leeds

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.67	2.00	1.80
Draws	66.7%	50.0%	60.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.00	1.40
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.50	0.60
Total goals / match	2.33	1.50	2.00
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Liverpool

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.00	2.33	1.67
Draws	100.0%	33.3%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	0.67	1.67	1.17
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.67	0.67
Total goals / match	1.33	2.33	1.83
Failed to score	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Leeds	Draw	Liverpool	How it works
Strength (Elo)	36.2%	24.2%	39.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	29.6%	28.7%	41.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.99–1.23 Model expected goals

38.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.3%

1-113.2%

0-010.8%

1-010.7%

0-28.2%

1-28.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Leeds	Liverpool	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1534	1591	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	24	-50	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1538	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	45.5%	54.6%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	44.3%	52.4%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1077	1041	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	31.8%	34.5%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	75.9%	69.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Leeds	0.60	0.65	0.25	0.80
Liverpool	0.68	0.95	0.37	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Leeds	10%	15%	22%	18%	35%
Liverpool	10%	8%	25%	30%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Leeds at home, 11 matches

1.60 Liverpool away, 10 matches

216d Days of rest for Leeds

216d Days of rest for Liverpool

— Manager of Leeds

— Manager of Liverpool

0 Matches for Leeds in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Liverpool in the last 14 days

9 Points for Leeds behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Liverpool behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

2.84 League goals per match

26.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Leeds, the right bar represents Liverpool.

On the ball

20 matches

11.94

shots

15.65

3.67

shots on target

5.12

30.7%

accuracy

32.7%

4.2

corners

6.16

10.95

fouls

11.53

1.7

yellow cards

1.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Leeds	DWDDWLWDWD	1.70	1.40–1.00	1D
Liverpool	WDDWDDDLDL	1.20	1.30–1.30	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Leeds	7	9	4	0	2
Liverpool	6	9	4	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Leeds

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Liverpool

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Bayern monitoring Wirtz - Monday's gossip BBC Sport 09-13

More dropped points at Anfield - is it too early for Liverpool to worry? BBC Sport 09-12

Farke’s blueprint for revitalised Leeds continues upward trajectory The Guardian 09-12

Frustrated Liverpool lack any spark as Fulham claim deserved first point The Guardian 09-12

Who will be new Liverpool sporting director - and what issues do they face? BBC Sport 09-07

Richard Hughes confirmed as Al-Hilal sporting director after Liverpool departure The Guardian 09-06

Liverpool beat newly-promoted Charlton 4-0 BBC Sport 09-06

Women’s Super League: Shaw doubles up to give Manchester City winning start The Guardian 09-06

Late Vuskovic header rescues point for Brighton against Leeds BBC Sport 09-05

Football transfer rumours: Manchester United and Liverpool eye Kroupi? Vardy to Wrexham? The Guardian 09-01

Premier League: 10 talking points from the weekend’s action The Guardian 08-31