Head-to-head overview
8 meetings- BrightonWins
- 4
- Draws25.0% of meetings
- 2
- Nott'm ForestWins
- 2
- Goals per match
- 3.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62.5%
- Both teams scored
- 50.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 |
25/26
|
Brighton2–1Nott'm Forest |
| 2025-11-30 |
25/26
|
Nott'm Forest0–2Brighton |
| 2025-02-01 |
24/25
|
Nott'm Forest7–0Brighton |
| 2024-09-22 |
24/25
|
Brighton2–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2024-03-10 |
23/24
|
Brighton1–0Nott'm Forest |
| 2023-11-25 |
23/24
|
Nott'm Forest2–3Brighton |
| 2023-04-26 |
22/23
|
Nott'm Forest3–1Brighton |
| 2022-10-18 |
22/23
|
Brighton0–0Nott'm Forest |
Recent matches
Brighton
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Brighton3–0Arsenal |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Coventry0–5Brighton |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Coventry0–5Brighton |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Brighton1–1Leeds |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Chelsea4–3Brighton |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Brighton4–0Aston Villa |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Brighton0–3Man United |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Leeds1–0Brighton |
Nott'm Forest
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Nott'm Forest0–1Coventry |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Nott'm Forest0–0Tottenham |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Liverpool2–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Nott'm Forest0–1Leeds |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Nott'm Forest1–1Bournemouth |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Man United3–2Nott'm Forest |
Brighton
Nott'm Forest
Wins
50%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
50%
Both teams scored
25%
62%
Clean sheets
50%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Brighton
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | Man City | 1 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | 3–0 | Arsenal | 2 | 31′ Home |
| 3 · Brighton | |||||
| 3 | Brighton | Brentford | 4 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Liverpool | 5 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Everton | 6 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | 1–1 | Leeds | 7 | 15′ Away |
| 3 | Brighton | Hull | 8 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Ipswich | 9 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Newcastle | 10 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Man United | 13 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Bournemouth | 14 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Crystal Palace | 15 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Sunderland | 16 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | 4–0 | Aston Villa | 17 | — |
| 3 | Brighton | Fulham | 18 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Tottenham | 19 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Coventry | 20 | ||
Nott'm Forest
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 2 | Arsenal | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 4 | Brentford | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 5 | Liverpool | 2–2 | Nott'm Forest | 11 | 24′ Away |
| 6 | Everton | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 7 | Leeds | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 8 | Hull | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 9 | Ipswich | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 10 | Newcastle | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 11 · Nott'm Forest | |||||
| 12 | Chelsea | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 13 | Man United | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 14 | Bournemouth | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 15 | Crystal Palace | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 16 | Sunderland | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 17 | Aston Villa | 1–2 | Nott'm Forest | 11 | 46′ Away |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 1–2 | Nott'm Forest | 11 | — |
| 18 | Fulham | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 19 | Tottenham | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 20 | Coventry | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
Brighton Home
Nott'm Forest Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Brighton
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.33 | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 0.0% | 16.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.67 | 4.33 | 3.50 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Total goals / match | 3.00 | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 0.0% | 16.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 5/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Nott'm Forest
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.33 | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Total goals / match | 0.67 | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| Failed to score | 100.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/3 away.Scoring order known: 5/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Brighton | Draw | Nott'm Forest | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 52.3% | 21.1% | 26.6% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 44.4% | 26.6% | 28.6% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.42–1.08
Model expected goals
45.1%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
49.7%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 12.6%
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-011.7%
2-18.9%
0-18.9%
2-08.3%
0-08.3%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Brighton | Nott'm Forest | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1603 | 1526 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 14 | -3 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1536 | 1524 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 56.6% | 49.7% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 59.5% | 51.4% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 979 | 1079 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 29.5% | 34.7% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 68.3% | 73.2% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 0.95 | 0.84 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| Nott'm Forest | 0.58 | 0.89 | 0.42 | 0.68 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 5% | 12% | 28% | 28% | 28% |
| Nott'm Forest | 10% | 15% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.90
Brighton at home, 10 matches
1.70
Nott'm Forest away, 10 matches
224d
Days of rest for Brighton
224d
Days of rest for Nott'm Forest
—
Manager of Brighton
—
Manager of Nott'm Forest
0
Matches for Brighton in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Nott'm Forest in the last 14 days
5
Points for Brighton behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
10
Points for Nott'm Forest behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.84
League goals per match
26.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Brighton, the right bar represents Nott'm Forest.
On the ball
13.71
13.53
shots
5.18
4.41
shots on target
37.8%
32.6%
accuracy
4.79
4.58
corners
12.21
12.0
fouls
2.17
1.94
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | WWWDLWLLWL | 1.60 | 2.50–1.20 | 3W |
| Nott'm Forest | LWWDDLDLDW | 1.30 | 1.30–1.20 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nott'm Forest | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Brighton
No absences reported.
Nott'm Forest
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
'Why not have go?!' - Dunk's wonder goal against Coventry
BBC Sport
09-13
Dunk scores screamer as Brighton thrash 10-man Coventry
BBC Sport
09-13
Lewis Dunk’s showstopper helps five-star Brighton to rout 10-man Coventry
The Guardian
09-13
Baum scores on debut as Arsenal edge Brighton
BBC Sport
09-06
Late Vuskovic header rescues point for Brighton against Leeds
BBC Sport
09-05