Ipswich

Ipswich

VS Scheduled Saturday 1 May 202715:00

England 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 34

Leeds

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Everton1–0Ipswich
2026-09-13	26/27	Crystal Palace2–3Ipswich
2026-09-12	26/27	Crystal Palace2–3Ipswich
2026-09-04	26/27	Ipswich0–2Liverpool
2026-08-30	26/27	Man United5–2Ipswich
2026-08-22	26/27	Ipswich2–1Sunderland
2025-05-25	24/25	Ipswich1–3West Ham
2025-05-18	24/25	Leicester2–0Ipswich

Leeds

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Leeds0–0Crystal Palace
2026-09-14	26/27	Leeds4–1Newcastle
2026-09-05	26/27	Brighton1–1Leeds
2026-08-30	26/27	Leeds1–1Brentford
2026-08-22	26/27	Nott'm Forest0–1Leeds
2026-05-24	25/26	West Ham3–0Leeds
2026-05-17	25/26	Leeds1–0Brighton
2026-05-11	25/26	Tottenham1–1Leeds

Ipswich Leeds

Wins

38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

25%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ipswich

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Ipswich		Man City	1
9	Ipswich		Arsenal	2
9	Ipswich		Brighton	3
9	Ipswich		Brentford	4
9	Ipswich	0–2	Liverpool	5	6′ Away
9	Ipswich		Everton	6
9	Ipswich		Leeds	7
9	Ipswich		Hull	8
9 · Ipswich
9	Ipswich		Newcastle	10
9	Ipswich		Nott'm Forest	11
9	Ipswich		Chelsea	12
9	Ipswich		Man United	13
9	Ipswich		Bournemouth	14
9	Ipswich		Crystal Palace	15
9	Ipswich	2–1	Sunderland	16	24′ Home
9	Ipswich		Aston Villa	17
9	Ipswich		Fulham	18
9	Ipswich		Tottenham	19
9	Ipswich		Coventry	20

Leeds

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Man City		Leeds	7
2	Arsenal		Leeds	7
3	Brighton	1–1	Leeds	7	15′ Away
4	Brentford		Leeds	7
5	Liverpool		Leeds	7
6	Everton		Leeds	7
7 · Leeds
8	Hull		Leeds	7
9	Ipswich		Leeds	7
10	Newcastle		Leeds	7
11	Nott'm Forest	0–1	Leeds	7	88′ Away
12	Chelsea		Leeds	7
13	Man United		Leeds	7
14	Bournemouth		Leeds	7
15	Crystal Palace		Leeds	7
16	Sunderland		Leeds	7
17	Aston Villa		Leeds	7
18	Fulham		Leeds	7
19	Tottenham		Leeds	7
20	Coventry		Leeds	7

Ipswich Home Leeds Away

Wins

50%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

50%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Scores first

50%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ipswich

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.50	1.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	2.00	1.67
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.50	2.17
Total goals / match	2.50	4.50	3.83
Failed to score	50.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Leeds

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.67	2.00	1.80
Draws	66.7%	50.0%	60.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.00	1.40
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.50	0.60
Total goals / match	2.33	1.50	2.00
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ipswich	Draw	Leeds	How it works
Strength (Elo)	31.3%	23.3%	45.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	13.0%	18.9%	65.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.83–2.18 Model expected goals

55.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

48.7% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.7%

0-110.8%

1-29.7%

1-18.9%

0-38.5%

1-37.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ipswich	Leeds	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1428	1534	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	48	24	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1532	1538	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	38.3%	45.5%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	36.6%	44.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	903	1077	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.5%	31.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	59.8%	75.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ipswich	0.63	0.47	1.11	1.21
Leeds	0.60	0.65	0.25	0.80

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ipswich	0%	15%	22%	20%	42%
Leeds	10%	15%	22%	18%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.38 Ipswich at home, 8 matches

1.33 Leeds away, 9 matches

224d Days of rest for Ipswich

223d Days of rest for Leeds

— Manager of Ipswich

— Manager of Leeds

0 Matches for Ipswich in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Leeds in the last 14 days

9 Points for Ipswich behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Leeds behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.84 League goals per match

26.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ipswich, the right bar represents Leeds.

On the ball

20 matches

10.94

shots

11.94

3.47

shots on target

3.67

31.7%

accuracy

30.7%

3.47

corners

4.2

10.68

fouls

10.95

2.0

yellow cards

1.7

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ipswich	LWWLLWLLLD	1.00	1.30–2.10	1L
Leeds	DWDDWLWDWD	1.70	1.40–1.00	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ipswich	4	5	10	0	2
Leeds	7	9	4	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ipswich

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Leeds

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Farke’s blueprint for revitalised Leeds continues upward trajectory The Guardian 09-12

Flemming and Ipswich floor 10-man Crystal Palace with 90th-minute winner The Guardian 09-12

Late Vuskovic header rescues point for Brighton against Leeds BBC Sport 09-05

Premier League: 10 talking points from the weekend’s action The Guardian 08-31