Head-to-head overview
14 meetings- Man CityWins
- 9
- Draws7.1% of meetings
- 1
- Aston VillaWins
- 4
- Goals per match
- 3.21
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71.4%
- Both teams scored
- 71.4%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Man City1–2Aston Villa |
| 2025-10-26 |
25/26
|
Aston Villa1–0Man City |
| 2025-04-22 |
24/25
|
Man City2–1Aston Villa |
| 2024-12-21 |
24/25
|
Aston Villa2–1Man City |
| 2024-04-03 |
23/24
|
Man City4–1Aston Villa |
| 2023-12-06 |
23/24
|
Aston Villa1–0Man City |
| 2023-02-12 |
22/23
|
Man City3–1Aston Villa |
| 2022-09-03 |
22/23
|
Aston Villa1–1Man City |
| 2022-05-22 |
21/22
|
Man City3–2Aston Villa |
| 2021-12-01 |
21/22
|
Aston Villa1–2Man City |
| 2021-04-21 |
20/21
|
Aston Villa1–2Man City |
| 2021-01-20 |
20/21
|
Man City2–0Aston Villa |
| 2020-01-12 |
19/20
|
Aston Villa1–6Man City |
| 2019-10-26 |
19/20
|
Man City3–0Aston Villa |
Recent matches
Man City
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Man City5–3Sunderland |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Man United0–1Man City |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Man United0–1Man City |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Man City1–0Coventry |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Crystal Palace1–4Man City |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Man City2–1Bournemouth |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Man City1–2Aston Villa |
| 2026-05-19 |
25/26
|
Bournemouth1–1Man City |
Aston Villa
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Tottenham2–3Aston Villa |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa1–2Nott'm Forest |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Hull0–0Aston Villa |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Aston Villa0–1Arsenal |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Brighton4–0Aston Villa |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Man City1–2Aston Villa |
| 2026-05-15 |
25/26
|
Aston Villa4–2Liverpool |
Man City
Aston Villa
Wins
75%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
75%
Both teams scored
62%
62%
Clean sheets
38%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Man City
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Man City | |||||
| 1 | Man City | Arsenal | 2 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Brighton | 3 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Brentford | 4 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Liverpool | 5 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Everton | 6 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Leeds | 7 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Hull | 8 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Ipswich | 9 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Newcastle | 10 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Nott'm Forest | 11 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Chelsea | 12 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Man United | 13 | ||
| 1 | Man City | 2–1 | Bournemouth | 14 | 26′ Away |
| 1 | Man City | Crystal Palace | 15 | ||
| 1 | Man City | 5–3 | Sunderland | 16 | 9′ Home |
| 1 | Man City | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Fulham | 18 | ||
| 1 | Man City | Tottenham | 19 | ||
| 1 | Man City | 1–0 | Coventry | 20 | 26′ Home |
Aston Villa
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 2 | Arsenal | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 3 | Brighton | 4–0 | Aston Villa | 17 | — |
| 4 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 5 | Liverpool | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 6 | Everton | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 7 | Leeds | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 8 | Hull | 0–0 | Aston Villa | 17 | – |
| 9 | Ipswich | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 10 | Newcastle | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 12 | Chelsea | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 13 | Man United | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 14 | Bournemouth | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 15 | Crystal Palace | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 16 | Sunderland | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 17 · Aston Villa | |||||
| 18 | Fulham | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
| 19 | Tottenham | 2–3 | Aston Villa | 17 | 45+4′ Away |
| 20 | Coventry | Aston Villa | 17 | ||
Man City Home
Aston Villa Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Man City
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.67 | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.33 | 0.33 | 0.83 |
| Total goals / match | 4.00 | 2.33 | 3.17 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 66.7% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 25 of 5 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 6/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 2 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 3 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Aston Villa
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.00 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 33.3% | 16.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Total goals / match | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Failed to score | 33.3% | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 3/3 away.Scoring order known: 5/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Man City | Draw | Aston Villa | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 66.1% | 15.1% | 18.8% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 68.0% | 17.2% | 11.5% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
2.36–0.84
Model expected goals
58.5%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
49.4%
Both teams to score
2-0
Most likely score, at 11.4%
Most likely scores
2-011.4%
1-09.7%
2-19.5%
3-09.0%
1-18.1%
3-17.5%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Man City | Aston Villa | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1704 | 1527 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -13 | -48 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1538 | 1525 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 64.3% | 47.6% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 66.2% | 43.8% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1072 | 988 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 33.7% | 33.3% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 73.6% | 65.4% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | 1.00 | 1.16 | 0.37 | 0.53 |
| Aston Villa | 0.47 | 0.84 | 0.74 | 0.95 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | 2% | 18% | 20% | 38% | 22% |
| Aston Villa | 5% | 18% | 20% | 25% | 32% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.50
Man City at home, 10 matches
1.00
Aston Villa away, 10 matches
245d
Days of rest for Man City
246d
Days of rest for Aston Villa
—
Manager of Man City
—
Manager of Aston Villa
0
Matches for Man City in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Aston Villa in the last 14 days
0
Points for Man City behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
14
Points for Aston Villa behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.84
League goals per match
26.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Man City, the right bar represents Aston Villa.
On the ball
17.76
12.06
shots
6.12
3.71
shots on target
34.4%
30.7%
accuracy
7.47
4.53
corners
9.53
10.21
fouls
1.71
1.72
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | WWWWWWLDWW | 2.50 | 2.20–0.80 | 6W |
| Aston Villa | WLLDLLWWDL | 1.10 | 1.40–1.80 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Aston Villa | 5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Man City
No absences reported.
Aston Villa
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
WSL roundup: Arsenal rue misses in Palace draw, Manchester City crush Villa
The Guardian
09-13
'Superb strike' - Fowler doubles Man City's lead against Aston Villa
Sky Sports
09-13
Emery left searching for answers after another Villa loss
BBC Sport
09-12
Emery takes responsibility as Forest strike late at winless Aston Villa
The Guardian
09-12
Maresca is 'perfect person' for Man City job - Dias
BBC Sport
09-12