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West Brom
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 9
Birmingham

Head-to-head overview

12 meetings
West BromWins
4
Draws33.3% of meetings
4
BirminghamWins
4
Goals per match
2.33
Over 2.5 goals
33.3%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-10 England, Championship 25/26 Birmingham0–0West Brom
2025-11-26 England, Championship 25/26 West Brom1–1Birmingham
2024-02-03 England, Championship 23/24 West Brom1–0Birmingham
2023-10-06 England, Championship 23/24 Birmingham3–1West Brom
2023-02-10 England, Championship 22/23 Birmingham2–0West Brom
2022-09-14 England, Championship 22/23 West Brom2–3Birmingham
2022-04-03 England, Championship 21/22 Birmingham1–0West Brom
2021-10-15 England, Championship 21/22 West Brom1–0Birmingham
Recent matches

West Brom

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Championship 26/27 Wolves1–0West Brom
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom1–1QPR
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom1–1QPR
2026-09-09 England, Championship 26/27 Derby0–1West Brom
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom1–0Watford
2026-09-02 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom1–1Charlton
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Middlesbrough3–1West Brom
2026-08-23 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom3–1Burnley

Birmingham

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Middlesbrough
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-09 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich2–1Birmingham
2026-09-06 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Wolves
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham1–1Southampton
2026-08-28 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham1–2Birmingham
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Bristol City
West Brom Birmingham

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

25%
88%

Both teams scored

62%
100%

Clean sheets

25%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

West Brom

Home · Championship

Birmingham

Away · Championship
West Brom Home Birmingham Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

West Brom

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.801.501.67
Draws60.0%0.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.401.001.22
Goals conceded / match0.801.251.00
Total goals / match2.202.252.22
Failed to score0.0%25.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%50.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Birmingham

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.002.001.56
Draws100.0%20.0%55.6%
Goals scored / match1.751.401.56
Goals conceded / match1.751.001.33
Total goals / match3.502.402.89
Failed to score0.0%20.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%20.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWest BromDraw BirminghamHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.0% 26.0% 34.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 37.4% 32.9% 29.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.96–0.82 Model expected goals
26.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
34.6% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 16.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-016.8%
1-016.2%
0-113.8%
1-113.3%
2-07.8%
2-16.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWest BromBirmingham How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1507 1523 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 15 27 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1511 1512 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 52.9% 52.2% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 60.2% 54.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1066 969 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 31.1% 26.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 75.5% 70.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
West Brom 0.630.63 0.210.53
Birmingham 0.680.53 0.790.32

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
West Brom 12%15%28%22%22%
Birmingham 5%10%32%35%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.73 West Brom at home, 11 matches
1.20 Birmingham away, 10 matches
20d Days of rest for West Brom
21d Days of rest for Birmingham
— Manager of West Brom
— Manager of Birmingham
0 Matches for West Brom in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Birmingham in the last 14 days
5 Points for West Brom behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Birmingham behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents West Brom, the right bar represents Birmingham.

On the ball

20 matches
12.24
shots
12.35
4.35
shots on target
4.24
35.6%
accuracy
34.3%
4.84
corners
5.95
9.63
fouls
12.68
1.84
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
West Brom LDDWWDLWWL 1.50 1.20–1.10 1L
Birmingham DWWLDDWDDD 1.50 1.50–1.30 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
West Brom8 101 02
Birmingham4 96 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

West Brom

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Birmingham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams