Burnley

Burnley

VS Scheduled Friday 16 Oct 202620:00

England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 11

Wolves

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Burnley1–1Derby
2026-09-13	26/27	Swansea3–1Burnley
2026-09-12	26/27	Swansea3–1Burnley
2026-09-08	26/27	Wrexham1–1Burnley
2026-09-05	26/27	Burnley1–2Bristol City
2026-09-02	26/27	Burnley1–1Middlesbrough
2026-08-29	26/27	Norwich4–1Burnley
2026-08-23	26/27	West Brom3–1Burnley

Wolves

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Wolves1–0West Brom
2026-09-14	26/27	Sheffield United0–1Wolves
2026-09-13	26/27	Sheffield United0–1Wolves
2026-09-06	26/27	Birmingham2–2Wolves
2026-09-01	26/27	West Ham4–2Wolves
2026-08-29	26/27	Wolves4–1Stoke
2026-08-22	26/27	Preston1–3Wolves
2026-08-14	26/27	Wolves2–2Blackburn

Burnley Wolves

Wins

0%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

100%

62%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Burnley

Home · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
24	Burnley		Swansea	1
24	Burnley	1–1	Middlesbrough	2	23′ Away
24	Burnley		Southampton	3
24	Burnley		Wolves	4
24	Burnley		Stoke	5
24	Burnley	2–2	West Ham	6	10′ Away
24	Burnley		West Brom	7
24	Burnley		QPR	8
24	Burnley		Birmingham	9
24	Burnley		Lincoln	10
24	Burnley		Bolton	11
24	Burnley		Charlton	12
24	Burnley	1–2	Bristol City	13	56′ Home
24	Burnley		Blackburn	14
24	Burnley		Millwall	15
24	Burnley		Wrexham	16
24	Burnley		Portsmouth	17
24	Burnley		Norwich	18
24	Burnley		Sheffield United	19
24	Burnley		Watford	20
24	Burnley		Cardiff	21
24	Burnley	1–1	Derby	22	34′ Home
24	Burnley		Preston	23
24 · Burnley

Wolves

Away · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Swansea		Wolves	4
2	Middlesbrough		Wolves	4
3	Southampton		Wolves	4
4 · Wolves
5	Stoke		Wolves	4
6	West Ham	4–2	Wolves	4	—
7	West Brom		Wolves	4
8	QPR		Wolves	4
9	Birmingham	2–2	Wolves	4	—
10	Lincoln		Wolves	4
11	Bolton		Wolves	4
12	Charlton		Wolves	4
13	Bristol City		Wolves	4
14	Blackburn		Wolves	4
15	Millwall		Wolves	4
16	Wrexham		Wolves	4
17	Portsmouth		Wolves	4
18	Norwich		Wolves	4
19	Sheffield United	0–1	Wolves	4	90′ Away
19	Sheffield United	0–1	Wolves	4	—
20	Watford		Wolves	4
21	Cardiff		Wolves	4
22	Derby		Wolves	4
23	Preston	1–3	Wolves	4	8′ Away
24	Burnley		Wolves	4

Burnley Home Wolves Away

Wins

0%

60%

Over 1.5

100%

60%

Over 2.5

50%

60%

Over 3.5

25%

60%

Both teams scored

100%

60%

Clean sheets

0%

40%

Scores first

50%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Burnley

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.75	0.20	0.44
Draws	75.0%	20.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.00	1.11
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.80	2.22
Total goals / match	2.75	3.80	3.33
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	20.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	0 of 2	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	2	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wolves

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.00	2.12
Draws	33.3%	20.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	1.80	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.40	1.25
Total goals / match	3.33	3.20	3.25
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Burnley	Draw	Wolves	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.8%	25.9%	33.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.5%	19.9%	56.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.25–2.22 Model expected goals

64.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.7% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.6%

1-18.6%

0-27.6%

1-37.1%

0-16.9%

2-26.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Burnley	Wolves	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1540	1549	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-186	-119	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1510	1484	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	54.9%	58.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	57.7%	63.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1068	993	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	41.3%	40.4%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	65.5%	58.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Burnley	1.05	0.68	0.68	0.53
Wolves	1.05	0.95	0.58	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Burnley	20%	10%	25%	20%	25%
Wolves	8%	20%	20%	20%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Burnley at home, 10 matches

2.00 Wolves away, 11 matches

27d Days of rest for Burnley

26d Days of rest for Wolves

— Manager of Burnley

— Manager of Wolves

0 Matches for Burnley in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Wolves in the last 14 days

16 Points for Burnley behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

3 Points for Wolves behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

27.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Burnley, the right bar represents Wolves.

On the ball

20 matches

13.12

shots

14.0

4.41

shots on target

5.24

33.6%

accuracy

37.4%

4.89

corners

5.67

10.26

fouls

11.84

1.84

yellow cards

1.16

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Burnley	DLLDLDLLDW	0.70	1.30–2.10	1D
Wolves	WWWDLWWDLD	1.80	1.60–1.30	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Burnley	8	7	4	0	2
Wolves	9	8	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Burnley

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wolves

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

'I thought I was going to die' - Burnley boss on sepsis scare BBC Sport 09-13

‘A dream come true’: behind the scenes with Wolves Women as they enter new era The Guardian 09-09

Jamie Vardy takes party to Burnley after signing deal with Championship strugglers The Guardian 09-06

Ex-Leicester striker Vardy joins Burnley BBC Sport 09-06

Armstrong spurns golden chance to win derby as Birmingham and Wolves draw The Guardian 09-06

Foxes pain and Burnley suffer hangover - Aaron McLean's EFL takeaways BBC Sport 09-05