Wolves

Wolves

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202615:00

England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 12

Watford

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Wolves1–0West Brom
2026-09-14	26/27	Sheffield United0–1Wolves
2026-09-13	26/27	Sheffield United0–1Wolves
2026-09-06	26/27	Birmingham2–2Wolves
2026-09-01	26/27	West Ham4–2Wolves
2026-08-29	26/27	Wolves4–1Stoke
2026-08-22	26/27	Preston1–3Wolves
2026-08-14	26/27	Wolves2–2Blackburn

Watford

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Bristol City1–0Watford
2026-09-13	26/27	Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-12	26/27	Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-08	26/27	Watford2–1Preston
2026-09-05	26/27	West Brom1–0Watford
2026-09-01	26/27	Swansea2–0Watford
2026-08-29	26/27	Watford1–1West Ham
2026-08-22	26/27	Wrexham1–1Watford

Wolves Watford

Wins

62%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Wolves

Home · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Wolves		Swansea	1
4	Wolves		Middlesbrough	2
4	Wolves		Southampton	3
4 · Wolves
4	Wolves	4–1	Stoke	5	2′ Away
4	Wolves		West Ham	6
4	Wolves	1–0	West Brom	7	50′ Home
4	Wolves		QPR	8
4	Wolves		Birmingham	9
4	Wolves		Lincoln	10
4	Wolves		Bolton	11
4	Wolves		Charlton	12
4	Wolves		Bristol City	13
4	Wolves	2–2	Blackburn	14	18′ Home
4	Wolves		Millwall	15
4	Wolves		Wrexham	16
4	Wolves		Portsmouth	17
4	Wolves		Norwich	18
4	Wolves		Sheffield United	19
4	Wolves		Watford	20
4	Wolves		Cardiff	21
4	Wolves		Derby	22
4	Wolves		Preston	23
4	Wolves		Burnley	24

Watford

Away · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Swansea	2–0	Watford	20	8′ Home
2	Middlesbrough		Watford	20
3	Southampton		Watford	20
4	Wolves		Watford	20
5	Stoke		Watford	20
6	West Ham		Watford	20
7	West Brom	1–0	Watford	20	36′ Home
8	QPR		Watford	20
9	Birmingham		Watford	20
10	Lincoln		Watford	20
11	Bolton		Watford	20
12	Charlton		Watford	20
13	Bristol City	1–0	Watford	20	31′ Home
14	Blackburn		Watford	20
15	Millwall		Watford	20
16	Wrexham	1–1	Watford	20	14′ Away
17	Portsmouth		Watford	20
18	Norwich		Watford	20
19	Sheffield United		Watford	20
20 · Watford
21	Cardiff		Watford	20
22	Derby		Watford	20
23	Preston		Watford	20
24	Burnley		Watford	20

Wolves Home Watford Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

50%

Over 2.5

67%

0%

Over 3.5

67%

0%

Both teams scored

67%

25%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

67%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Wolves

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.00	2.12
Draws	33.3%	20.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	1.80	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.40	1.25
Total goals / match	3.33	3.20	3.25
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	3	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Watford

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.25	0.89
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.40	0.25	0.89
Goals conceded / match	1.40	1.25	1.33
Total goals / match	2.80	1.50	2.22
Failed to score	0.0%	75.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	100.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Wolves	Draw	Watford	How it works
Strength (Elo)	58.8%	19.5%	21.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	71.3%	15.6%	9.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.46–0.74 Model expected goals

58.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.6% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 12.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-012.4%

3-010.2%

1-010.1%

2-19.1%

3-17.5%

1-17.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Wolves	Watford	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1549	1421	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-119	-13	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1484	1492	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	58.3%	47.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	63.6%	43.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	993	859	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	40.4%	20.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	58.8%	65.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Wolves	1.05	0.95	0.58	0.53
Watford	0.32	0.47	0.89	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Wolves	8%	20%	20%	20%	32%
Watford	5%	12%	38%	25%	20%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Wolves at home, 9 matches

0.20 Watford away, 10 matches

34d Days of rest for Wolves

36d Days of rest for Watford

— Manager of Wolves

— Manager of Watford

0 Matches for Wolves in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Watford in the last 14 days

3 Points for Wolves behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Watford behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

27.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Wolves, the right bar represents Watford.

On the ball

20 matches

14.0

shots

13.35

5.24

shots on target

4.12

37.4%

accuracy

30.8%

5.67

corners

4.68

11.84

fouls

12.05

1.16

yellow cards

2.63

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Wolves	WWWDLWWDLD	1.80	1.60–1.30	3W
Watford	LLLWLLDDWL	0.80	0.80–1.60	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Wolves	9	8	2	0	0
Watford	2	6	11	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Wolves

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Watford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

‘A dream come true’: behind the scenes with Wolves Women as they enter new era The Guardian 09-09

Armstrong spurns golden chance to win derby as Birmingham and Wolves draw The Guardian 09-06