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Lincoln
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 13
Birmingham
Recent matches

Lincoln

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–2Swansea
2026-09-15 England, Championship 26/27 Bristol City0–1Lincoln
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–1Southampton
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln0–0Blackburn
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton0–1Lincoln
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–3Portsmouth

Birmingham

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Middlesbrough
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-09 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich2–1Birmingham
2026-09-06 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Wolves
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham1–1Southampton
2026-08-28 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham1–2Birmingham
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Bristol City
Lincoln Birmingham

Wins

50%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

25%
88%

Both teams scored

38%
100%

Clean sheets

62%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lincoln

Home · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
10 Lincoln 1–2 Swansea 1 39′ Home
10 Lincoln Middlesbrough 2
10 Lincoln 1–1 Southampton 3 44′ Away
10 Lincoln Wolves 4
10 Lincoln Stoke 5
10 Lincoln West Ham 6
10 Lincoln West Brom 7
10 Lincoln QPR 8
10 Lincoln Birmingham 9
10 · Lincoln
10 Lincoln Bolton 11
10 Lincoln Charlton 12
10 Lincoln Bristol City 13
10 Lincoln 0–0 Blackburn 14 –
10 Lincoln Millwall 15
10 Lincoln Wrexham 16
10 Lincoln 1–3 Portsmouth 17 7′ Away
10 Lincoln Norwich 18
10 Lincoln Sheffield United 19
10 Lincoln Watford 20
10 Lincoln Cardiff 21
10 Lincoln Derby 22
10 Lincoln Preston 23
10 Lincoln Burnley 24

Birmingham

Away · Championship
Lincoln Home Birmingham Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lincoln

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.502.401.56
Draws50.0%0.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match0.751.000.89
Goals conceded / match1.500.400.89
Total goals / match2.251.401.78
Failed to score25.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%80.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3001
31–4521
46–6002
61–7501
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Birmingham

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.002.001.56
Draws100.0%20.0%55.6%
Goals scored / match1.751.401.56
Goals conceded / match1.751.001.33
Total goals / match3.502.402.89
Failed to score0.0%20.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%20.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLincolnDraw BirminghamHow it works
Strength (Elo) 39.9% 26.1% 34.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 24.9% 34.0% 41.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.69–0.98 Model expected goals
23.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
30.9% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 19.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-019.0%
0-118.5%
1-013.0%
1-112.7%
0-29.0%
1-26.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLincolnBirmingham How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1507 1523 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 14 27 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1499 1512 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 46.4% 52.2% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 35.0% 54.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1055 969 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 28.6% 26.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 76.9% 70.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Lincoln 0.380.50 0.380.62
Birmingham 0.680.53 0.790.32

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Lincoln 11%44%11%22%11%
Birmingham 5%10%32%35%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.50 Lincoln at home, 4 matches
1.20 Birmingham away, 10 matches
42d Days of rest for Lincoln
42d Days of rest for Birmingham
— Manager of Lincoln
— Manager of Birmingham
0 Matches for Lincoln in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Birmingham in the last 14 days
6 Points for Lincoln behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Birmingham behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lincoln, the right bar represents Birmingham.

On the ball

20 matches
14.0
shots
12.35
2.8
shots on target
4.24
20.0%
accuracy
34.3%
4.29
corners
5.95
13.5
fouls
12.68
2.71
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Lincoln LWWWDDWLL 1.56 0.89–0.89 1L
Birmingham DWWLDDWDDD 1.50 1.50–1.30 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Lincoln2 42 02
Birmingham4 96 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lincoln

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Birmingham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams