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Watford
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 14
Lincoln
Recent matches

Watford

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 England, Championship 26/27 Bristol City1–0Watford
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Watford2–1Preston
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom1–0Watford
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Swansea2–0Watford
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–1West Ham
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham1–1Watford

Lincoln

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–2Swansea
2026-09-15 England, Championship 26/27 Bristol City0–1Lincoln
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–1Southampton
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln0–0Blackburn
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton0–1Lincoln
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–3Portsmouth
Watford Lincoln

Wins

12%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
25%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

0%
62%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Watford

Home · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
20 Watford Swansea 1
20 Watford Middlesbrough 2
20 Watford 2–1 Southampton 3 12′ Home
20 Watford Wolves 4
20 Watford 1–2 Stoke 5 45+4′ Away
20 Watford 1–2 Stoke 5 —
20 Watford 1–1 West Ham 6 —
20 Watford West Brom 7
20 Watford QPR 8
20 Watford Birmingham 9
20 Watford Lincoln 10
20 Watford Bolton 11
20 Watford Charlton 12
20 Watford Bristol City 13
20 Watford Blackburn 14
20 Watford Millwall 15
20 Watford Wrexham 16
20 Watford Portsmouth 17
20 Watford Norwich 18
20 Watford Sheffield United 19
20 · Watford
20 Watford Cardiff 21
20 Watford Derby 22
20 Watford 2–1 Preston 23 5′ Away
20 Watford Burnley 24

Lincoln

Away · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
1 Swansea Lincoln 10
2 Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln 10 12′ Away
3 Southampton Lincoln 10
4 Wolves Lincoln 10
5 Stoke Lincoln 10
6 West Ham Lincoln 10
7 West Brom Lincoln 10
8 QPR Lincoln 10
9 Birmingham Lincoln 10
10 · Lincoln
11 Bolton 0–1 Lincoln 10 66′ Away
12 Charlton Lincoln 10
13 Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln 10 53′ Away
14 Blackburn Lincoln 10
15 Millwall Lincoln 10
16 Wrexham Lincoln 10
17 Portsmouth Lincoln 10
18 Norwich Lincoln 10
19 Sheffield United Lincoln 10
20 Watford Lincoln 10
21 Cardiff Lincoln 10
22 Derby Lincoln 10
23 Preston 0–1 Lincoln 10 81′ Away
23 Preston 0–1 Lincoln 10 —
24 Burnley Lincoln 10
Watford Home Lincoln Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Watford

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.400.250.89
Draws20.0%25.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.400.250.89
Goals conceded / match1.401.251.33
Total goals / match2.801.502.22
Failed to score0.0%75.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%100.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lincoln

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.502.401.56
Draws50.0%0.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match0.751.000.89
Goals conceded / match1.500.400.89
Total goals / match2.251.401.78
Failed to score25.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%80.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 4 of 5 80%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWatfordDraw LincolnHow it works
Strength (Elo) 32.7% 25.8% 41.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 15.1% 27.4% 57.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.57–1.40 Model expected goals
31.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
32.6% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 19.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-119.5%
0-013.9%
0-213.7%
1-111.1%
1-07.9%
1-27.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWatfordLincoln How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1421 1507 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -13 14 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1492 1499 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 47.9% 46.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 43.5% 35.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 859 1055 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 20.0% 28.6% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.9% 76.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Watford 0.320.47 0.890.89
Lincoln 0.380.50 0.380.62

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Watford 5%12%38%25%20%
Lincoln 11%44%11%22%11%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 Watford at home, 10 matches
2.40 Lincoln away, 5 matches
46d Days of rest for Watford
45d Days of rest for Lincoln
— Manager of Watford
— Manager of Lincoln
0 Matches for Watford in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Lincoln in the last 14 days
12 Points for Watford behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Lincoln behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Watford, the right bar represents Lincoln.

On the ball

20 matches
13.35
shots
14.0
4.12
shots on target
2.8
30.8%
accuracy
20.0%
4.68
corners
4.29
12.05
fouls
13.5
2.63
yellow cards
2.71

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Watford LLLWLLDDWL 0.80 0.80–1.60 3L
Lincoln LWWWDDWLL 1.56 0.89–0.89 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Watford2 611 10
Lincoln2 42 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Watford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lincoln

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.