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Derby
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 14
Norwich

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings
DerbyWins
4
Draws30.0% of meetings
3
NorwichWins
3
Goals per match
2.70
Over 2.5 goals
40.0%
Both teams scored
70.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-21 England, Championship 25/26 Norwich2–1Derby
2025-10-21 England, Championship 25/26 Derby1–0Norwich
2025-02-08 England, Championship 24/25 Norwich1–1Derby
2024-09-28 England, Championship 24/25 Derby2–3Norwich
2021-04-10 England, Championship 20/21 Derby0–1Norwich
2020-10-03 England, Championship 20/21 Norwich0–1Derby
2018-12-29 England, Championship 18/19 Norwich3–4Derby
2018-10-03 England, Championship 18/19 Derby1–1Norwich
Recent matches

Derby

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Burnley1–1Derby
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-09 England, Championship 26/27 Derby0–1West Brom
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham3–0Derby
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Portsmouth0–2Derby
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Derby0–3Swansea
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Derby2–2Cardiff

Norwich

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich3–4Bolton
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Middlesbrough4–3Norwich
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Middlesbrough4–3Norwich
2026-09-09 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich2–1Birmingham
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Sheffield United1–3Norwich
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Stoke1–0Norwich
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich4–1Burnley
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Millwall3–0Norwich
Derby Norwich

Wins

12%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
88%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

12%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Derby

Home · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
22 Derby 0–3 Swansea 1 2′ Away
22 Derby Middlesbrough 2
22 Derby Southampton 3
22 Derby Wolves 4
22 Derby Stoke 5
22 Derby West Ham 6
22 Derby 0–1 West Brom 7 16′ Away
22 Derby QPR 8
22 Derby 1–2 Birmingham 9 40′ Home
22 Derby 1–2 Birmingham 9 —
22 Derby Lincoln 10
22 Derby Bolton 11
22 Derby Charlton 12
22 Derby Bristol City 13
22 Derby Blackburn 14
22 Derby Millwall 15
22 Derby Wrexham 16
22 Derby Portsmouth 17
22 Derby Norwich 18
22 Derby Sheffield United 19
22 Derby Watford 20
22 Derby 2–2 Cardiff 21 19′ Away
22 · Derby
22 Derby Preston 23
22 Derby Burnley 24

Norwich

Away · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
1 Swansea Norwich 18
2 Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich 18 1′ Away
2 Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich 18 —
3 Southampton Norwich 18
4 Wolves Norwich 18
5 Stoke 1–0 Norwich 18 13′ Home
6 West Ham Norwich 18
7 West Brom Norwich 18
8 QPR Norwich 18
9 Birmingham Norwich 18
10 Lincoln Norwich 18
11 Bolton Norwich 18
12 Charlton Norwich 18
13 Bristol City Norwich 18
14 Blackburn Norwich 18
15 Millwall 3–0 Norwich 18 18′ Home
16 Wrexham Norwich 18
17 Portsmouth Norwich 18
18 · Norwich
19 Sheffield United 1–3 Norwich 18 8′ Away
20 Watford Norwich 18
21 Cardiff Norwich 18
22 Derby Norwich 18
23 Preston Norwich 18
24 Burnley Norwich 18
Derby Home Norwich Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Derby

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.201.000.56
Draws20.0%25.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match0.801.000.89
Goals conceded / match2.001.501.78
Total goals / match2.802.502.67
Failed to score40.0%25.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%50.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Norwich

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.500.601.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.501.802.11
Goals conceded / match2.002.602.33
Total goals / match4.504.404.44
Failed to score0.0%40.0%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%20.0%11.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelDerbyDraw NorwichHow it works
Strength (Elo) 35.9% 26.2% 37.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 22.0% 20.1% 55.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.33–2.22 Model expected goals
66.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
63.5% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 9.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-29.4%
1-18.5%
0-27.1%
1-37.0%
0-16.4%
2-26.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureDerbyNorwich How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1461 1515 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -77 -42 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1524 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 45.8% 58.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 41.7% 58.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1045 961 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 31.7% 28.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 72.7% 68.2% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Derby 0.680.47 0.680.74
Norwich 0.840.84 0.790.74

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Derby 0%18%22%40%20%
Norwich 0%15%28%32%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Derby at home, 10 matches
1.20 Norwich away, 10 matches
45d Days of rest for Derby
44d Days of rest for Norwich
— Manager of Derby
— Manager of Norwich
0 Matches for Derby in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Norwich in the last 14 days
15 Points for Derby behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
11 Points for Norwich behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Derby, the right bar represents Norwich.

On the ball

20 matches
12.29
shots
14.71
3.71
shots on target
5.47
30.1%
accuracy
37.2%
5.21
corners
6.0
12.79
fouls
10.68
2.67
yellow cards
2.61

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Derby DLLLLWLDLL 0.50 0.90–1.80 1D
Norwich LLLWWLWLLL 0.90 2.00–2.30 3L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Derby8 47 03
Norwich7 57 21
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Derby

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Norwich

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams