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QPR
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 15
Lincoln
Recent matches

QPR

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 QPR2–2Preston
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom1–1QPR
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom1–1QPR
2026-09-09 England, Championship 26/27 Charlton0–0QPR
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 QPR0–1Middlesbrough
2026-09-02 England, Championship 26/27 QPR2–1Cardiff
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Blackburn1–2QPR
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 QPR0–0Bolton

Lincoln

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–2Swansea
2026-09-15 England, Championship 26/27 Bristol City0–1Lincoln
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–1Southampton
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln0–0Blackburn
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton0–1Lincoln
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–3Portsmouth
QPR Lincoln

Wins

25%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
25%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

25%
62%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

QPR

Home · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
8 QPR Swansea 1
8 QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough 2 20′ Away
8 QPR Southampton 3
8 QPR Wolves 4
8 QPR Stoke 5
8 QPR West Ham 6
8 QPR West Brom 7
8 · QPR
8 QPR Birmingham 9
8 QPR Lincoln 10
8 QPR 0–0 Bolton 11 –
8 QPR Charlton 12
8 QPR Bristol City 13
8 QPR Blackburn 14
8 QPR Millwall 15
8 QPR Wrexham 16
8 QPR Portsmouth 17
8 QPR Norwich 18
8 QPR Sheffield United 19
8 QPR Watford 20
8 QPR 2–1 Cardiff 21 36′ Home
8 QPR Derby 22
8 QPR 2–2 Preston 23 1′ Away
8 QPR Burnley 24

Lincoln

Away · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
1 Swansea Lincoln 10
2 Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln 10 12′ Away
3 Southampton Lincoln 10
4 Wolves Lincoln 10
5 Stoke Lincoln 10
6 West Ham Lincoln 10
7 West Brom Lincoln 10
8 QPR Lincoln 10
9 Birmingham Lincoln 10
10 · Lincoln
11 Bolton 0–1 Lincoln 10 66′ Away
12 Charlton Lincoln 10
13 Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln 10 53′ Away
14 Blackburn Lincoln 10
15 Millwall Lincoln 10
16 Wrexham Lincoln 10
17 Portsmouth Lincoln 10
18 Norwich Lincoln 10
19 Sheffield United Lincoln 10
20 Watford Lincoln 10
21 Cardiff Lincoln 10
22 Derby Lincoln 10
23 Preston 0–1 Lincoln 10 81′ Away
23 Preston 0–1 Lincoln 10 —
24 Burnley Lincoln 10
QPR Home Lincoln Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

QPR

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.251.801.56
Draws50.0%60.0%55.6%
Goals scored / match1.001.401.22
Goals conceded / match1.000.800.89
Total goals / match2.002.202.11
Failed to score50.0%20.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%60.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3002
31–4510
46–6010
61–7511
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lincoln

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.502.401.56
Draws50.0%0.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match0.751.000.89
Goals conceded / match1.500.400.89
Total goals / match2.251.401.78
Failed to score25.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%80.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 4 of 5 80%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelQPRDraw LincolnHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.0% 26.0% 33.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 27.6% 31.8% 40.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.81–1.05 Model expected goals
28.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
36.1% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 16.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-116.3%
0-015.5%
1-113.2%
1-012.6%
0-28.6%
1-27.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureQPRLincoln How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1491 1507 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 32 14 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1503 1499 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 52.9% 46.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 53.1% 35.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 952 1055 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 25.9% 28.6% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 69.3% 76.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
QPR 0.580.74 0.790.58
Lincoln 0.380.50 0.380.62

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
QPR 15%8%15%25%38%
Lincoln 11%44%11%22%11%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 QPR at home, 10 matches
2.40 Lincoln away, 5 matches
49d Days of rest for QPR
49d Days of rest for Lincoln
— Manager of QPR
— Manager of Lincoln
0 Matches for QPR in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Lincoln in the last 14 days
6 Points for QPR behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Lincoln behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents QPR, the right bar represents Lincoln.

On the ball

20 matches
14.06
shots
14.0
5.0
shots on target
2.8
35.6%
accuracy
20.0%
5.37
corners
4.29
10.63
fouls
13.5
2.16
yellow cards
2.71

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
QPR DDDDLWWDWL 1.40 1.10–1.10 4D
Lincoln LWWWDDWLL 1.56 0.89–0.89 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
QPR4 87 00
Lincoln2 42 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

QPR

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lincoln

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.