Lincoln

Lincoln

VS Scheduled Saturday 21 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 16

Wrexham

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Lincoln1–2Swansea
2026-09-15	26/27	Bristol City0–1Lincoln
2026-09-13	26/27	Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-12	26/27	Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-05	26/27	Lincoln1–1Southampton
2026-09-01	26/27	Lincoln0–0Blackburn
2026-08-29	26/27	Bolton0–1Lincoln
2026-08-22	26/27	Lincoln1–3Portsmouth

Wrexham

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Wrexham2–1Southampton
2026-09-11	26/27	West Ham6–0Wrexham
2026-09-08	26/27	Wrexham1–1Burnley
2026-09-05	26/27	Swansea0–0Wrexham
2026-09-02	26/27	Millwall0–3Wrexham
2026-08-28	26/27	Wrexham1–2Birmingham
2026-08-22	26/27	Wrexham1–1Watford
2026-08-17	26/27	Cardiff1–1Wrexham

Lincoln Wrexham

Wins

50%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

50%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

62%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lincoln

Home · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Lincoln	1–2	Swansea	1	39′ Home
10	Lincoln		Middlesbrough	2
10	Lincoln	1–1	Southampton	3	44′ Away
10	Lincoln		Wolves	4
10	Lincoln		Stoke	5
10	Lincoln		West Ham	6
10	Lincoln		West Brom	7
10	Lincoln		QPR	8
10	Lincoln		Birmingham	9
10 · Lincoln
10	Lincoln		Bolton	11
10	Lincoln		Charlton	12
10	Lincoln		Bristol City	13
10	Lincoln	0–0	Blackburn	14	–
10	Lincoln		Millwall	15
10	Lincoln		Wrexham	16
10	Lincoln	1–3	Portsmouth	17	7′ Away
10	Lincoln		Norwich	18
10	Lincoln		Sheffield United	19
10	Lincoln		Watford	20
10	Lincoln		Cardiff	21
10	Lincoln		Derby	22
10	Lincoln		Preston	23
10	Lincoln		Burnley	24

Wrexham

Away · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Swansea	0–0	Wrexham	16	–
2	Middlesbrough		Wrexham	16
3	Southampton		Wrexham	16
4	Wolves		Wrexham	16
5	Stoke		Wrexham	16
6	West Ham	6–0	Wrexham	16	28′ Home
7	West Brom		Wrexham	16
8	QPR		Wrexham	16
9	Birmingham		Wrexham	16
10	Lincoln		Wrexham	16
11	Bolton		Wrexham	16
12	Charlton		Wrexham	16
13	Bristol City		Wrexham	16
14	Blackburn		Wrexham	16
15	Millwall	0–3	Wrexham	16	—
16 · Wrexham
17	Portsmouth		Wrexham	16
18	Norwich		Wrexham	16
19	Sheffield United		Wrexham	16
20	Watford		Wrexham	16
21	Cardiff	1–1	Wrexham	16	3′ Away
22	Derby		Wrexham	16
23	Preston		Wrexham	16
24	Burnley		Wrexham	16

Lincoln Home Wrexham Away

Wins

0%

25%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

25%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Scores first

25%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lincoln

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.50	2.40	1.56
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.00	0.89
Goals conceded / match	1.50	0.40	0.89
Total goals / match	2.25	1.40	1.78
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	80.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	2	1
46–60	0	2
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wrexham

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.25	1.25
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.00	1.12
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.75	1.50
Total goals / match	2.50	2.75	2.62
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lincoln	Draw	Wrexham	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.5%	26.1%	34.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	35.0%	31.1%	33.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.00–0.98 Model expected goals

31.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

39.3% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 13.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-013.9%

1-013.9%

0-113.5%

1-113.5%

2-06.9%

2-16.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lincoln	Wrexham	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1507	1527	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	14	-15	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1522	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	46.4%	47.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	35.0%	42.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1055	1083	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	28.6%	40.4%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	76.9%	67.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lincoln	0.38	0.50	0.38	0.62
Wrexham	0.65	0.60	0.75	0.85

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lincoln	11%	44%	11%	22%	11%
Wrexham	5%	10%	32%	25%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.50 Lincoln at home, 4 matches

1.36 Wrexham away, 11 matches

63d Days of rest for Lincoln

63d Days of rest for Wrexham

— Manager of Lincoln

— Manager of Wrexham

0 Matches for Lincoln in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Wrexham in the last 14 days

6 Points for Lincoln behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Wrexham behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

27.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lincoln, the right bar represents Wrexham.

On the ball

20 matches

14.0

shots

11.06

2.8

shots on target

3.17

20.0%

accuracy

28.6%

4.29

corners

4.6

13.5

fouls

10.6

2.71

yellow cards

1.32

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lincoln	LWWWDDWLL	1.56	0.89–0.89	1L
Wrexham	WLDDWLDDDL	1.10	1.20–1.70	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lincoln	2	4	2	0	2
Wrexham	7	6	7	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lincoln

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wrexham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Wrexham boss Parkinson says Swansea captain should have seen red BBC Sport 09-05

Football transfer rumours: Manchester United and Liverpool eye Kroupi? Vardy to Wrexham? The Guardian 09-01