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West Ham
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 18
Stoke
Recent matches

West Ham

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Millwall2–2West Ham
2026-09-11 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham6–0Wrexham
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton2–3West Ham
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham3–0Derby
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham4–2Wolves
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–1West Ham
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham1–2Charlton
2026-08-16 England, Championship 26/27 Burnley2–2West Ham

Stoke

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Stoke2–1Sheffield United
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Cardiff1–1Stoke
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Stoke4–0Charlton
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Stoke1–0Norwich
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Wolves4–1Stoke
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Southampton3–1Stoke
West Ham Stoke

Wins

50%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
75%

Both teams scored

75%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

West Ham

Home · Championship

Stoke

Away · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
1 Swansea Stoke 5
2 Middlesbrough Stoke 5
3 Southampton 3–1 Stoke 5 8′ Home
4 Wolves 4–1 Stoke 5 2′ Away
5 · Stoke
6 West Ham Stoke 5
7 West Brom Stoke 5
8 QPR Stoke 5
9 Birmingham Stoke 5
10 Lincoln Stoke 5
11 Bolton Stoke 5
12 Charlton Stoke 5
13 Bristol City Stoke 5
14 Blackburn Stoke 5
15 Millwall Stoke 5
16 Wrexham Stoke 5
17 Portsmouth Stoke 5
18 Norwich Stoke 5
19 Sheffield United Stoke 5
20 Watford 1–2 Stoke 5 45+4′ Away
20 Watford 1–2 Stoke 5 —
21 Cardiff 1–1 Stoke 5 22′ Away
22 Derby Stoke 5
23 Preston Stoke 5
24 Burnley Stoke 5
West Ham Home Stoke Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

West Ham

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match2.251.501.88
Draws0.0%75.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match3.502.002.75
Goals conceded / match1.001.751.38
Total goals / match4.503.754.12
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Stoke

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.251.401.78
Draws0.0%20.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match2.001.401.67
Goals conceded / match0.752.001.44
Total goals / match2.753.403.11
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%20.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWest HamDraw StokeHow it works
Strength (Elo) 51.7% 22.7% 25.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 58.4% 13.8% 14.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
3.38–1.63 Model expected goals
74.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
67.0% Both teams to score
3-1 Most likely score, at 7.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
3-17.0%
2-16.2%
4-15.9%
3-25.7%
2-25.1%
4-24.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWest HamStoke How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1552 1474 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 47 48 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1515 1491 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 54.8% 43.5% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 56.1% 44.9% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1078 918 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 43.8% 34.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 64.0% 57.3% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
West Ham 1.121.62 0.880.50
Stoke 0.790.53 0.581.21

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
West Ham 0%0%12%25%62%
Stoke 8%12%25%30%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.25 West Ham at home, 4 matches
0.70 Stoke away, 10 matches
70d Days of rest for West Ham
70d Days of rest for Stoke
— Manager of West Ham
— Manager of Stoke
0 Matches for West Ham in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Stoke in the last 14 days
5 Points for West Ham behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
4 Points for Stoke behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents West Ham, the right bar represents Stoke.

On the ball

20 matches
15.33
shots
11.59
5.33
shots on target
3.59
34.8%
accuracy
31.0%
6.38
corners
5.94
8.75
fouls
12.53
2.29
yellow cards
2.05

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
West Ham DWWWWDLD 1.88 2.75–1.38 1D
Stoke WWWDWWLLLL 1.60 1.50–1.50 3W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
West Ham4 22 01
Stoke7 66 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

West Ham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Stoke

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams