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Middlesbrough
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 19
Derby

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
MiddlesbroughWins
5
Draws28.6% of meetings
4
DerbyWins
5
Goals per match
2.36
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-01 England, Championship 25/26 Derby1–0Middlesbrough
2025-11-29 England, Championship 25/26 Middlesbrough2–1Derby
2025-03-01 England, Championship 24/25 Middlesbrough1–0Derby
2024-08-17 England, Championship 24/25 Derby1–0Middlesbrough
2022-02-12 England, Championship 21/22 Middlesbrough4–1Derby
2021-08-21 England, Championship 21/22 Derby0–0Middlesbrough
2021-02-13 England, Championship 20/21 Derby2–1Middlesbrough
2020-11-25 England, Championship 20/21 Middlesbrough3–0Derby
Recent matches

Middlesbrough

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Middlesbrough
2026-09-15 England, Championship 26/27 Middlesbrough2–2Millwall
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Middlesbrough4–3Norwich
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Middlesbrough4–3Norwich
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 QPR0–1Middlesbrough
2026-09-02 England, Championship 26/27 Burnley1–1Middlesbrough
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Middlesbrough3–1West Brom
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Blackburn2–1Middlesbrough

Derby

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Burnley1–1Derby
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-09 England, Championship 26/27 Derby0–1West Brom
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham3–0Derby
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Portsmouth0–2Derby
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Derby0–3Swansea
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Derby2–2Cardiff
Middlesbrough Derby

Wins

50%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
62%

Both teams scored

88%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Middlesbrough

Home · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
2 Middlesbrough Swansea 1
2 · Middlesbrough
2 Middlesbrough Southampton 3
2 Middlesbrough Wolves 4
2 Middlesbrough Stoke 5
2 Middlesbrough West Ham 6
2 Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom 7 48′ Home
2 Middlesbrough QPR 8
2 Middlesbrough Birmingham 9
2 Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln 10 12′ Away
2 Middlesbrough Bolton 11
2 Middlesbrough Charlton 12
2 Middlesbrough Bristol City 13
2 Middlesbrough Blackburn 14
2 Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall 15 11′ Away
2 Middlesbrough Wrexham 16
2 Middlesbrough Portsmouth 17
2 Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich 18 1′ Away
2 Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich 18 —
2 Middlesbrough Sheffield United 19
2 Middlesbrough Watford 20
2 Middlesbrough Cardiff 21
2 Middlesbrough Derby 22
2 Middlesbrough Preston 23
2 Middlesbrough Burnley 24

Derby

Away · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
1 Swansea Derby 22
2 Middlesbrough Derby 22
3 Southampton Derby 22
4 Wolves Derby 22
5 Stoke Derby 22
6 West Ham 3–0 Derby 22 6′ Home
7 West Brom Derby 22
8 QPR Derby 22
9 Birmingham Derby 22
10 Lincoln Derby 22
11 Bolton Derby 22
12 Charlton 2–1 Derby 22 23′ Away
13 Bristol City Derby 22
14 Blackburn Derby 22
15 Millwall Derby 22
16 Wrexham Derby 22
17 Portsmouth 0–2 Derby 22 16′ Away
18 Norwich Derby 22
19 Sheffield United Derby 22
20 Watford Derby 22
21 Cardiff Derby 22
22 · Derby
23 Preston Derby 22
24 Burnley 1–1 Derby 22 34′ Home
Middlesbrough Home Derby Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Middlesbrough

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.601.252.00
Draws20.0%50.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match3.001.252.22
Goals conceded / match2.001.251.67
Total goals / match5.002.503.89
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Derby

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.201.000.56
Draws20.0%25.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match0.801.000.89
Goals conceded / match2.001.501.78
Total goals / match2.802.502.67
Failed to score40.0%25.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%50.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3020
31–4501
46–6000
61–7511
76–9013

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMiddlesbroughDraw DerbyHow it works
Strength (Elo) 58.3% 19.7% 22.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 49.4% 22.1% 26.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.93–1.36 Model expected goals
62.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
62.3% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 9.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-19.8%
2-19.4%
1-07.2%
2-06.9%
1-26.6%
2-26.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMiddlesbroughDerby How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1586 1461 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 13 -77 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1498 1500 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 66.0% 45.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 64.4% 41.7% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 950 1045 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 27.7% 31.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 67.3% 72.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Middlesbrough 0.840.95 0.470.79
Derby 0.680.47 0.680.74

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Middlesbrough 8%18%12%18%45%
Derby 0%18%22%40%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.82 Middlesbrough at home, 11 matches
1.00 Derby away, 10 matches
77d Days of rest for Middlesbrough
77d Days of rest for Derby
— Manager of Middlesbrough
— Manager of Derby
0 Matches for Middlesbrough in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Derby in the last 14 days
2 Points for Middlesbrough behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
15 Points for Derby behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Middlesbrough, the right bar represents Derby.

On the ball

20 matches
19.5
shots
12.29
5.88
shots on target
3.71
30.1%
accuracy
30.1%
7.74
corners
5.21
8.84
fouls
12.79
1.28
yellow cards
2.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Middlesbrough DDWWWDWLWD 1.90 2.20–1.70 2D
Derby DLLLLWLDLL 0.50 0.90–1.80 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Middlesbrough9 73 14
Derby8 47 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Middlesbrough

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Derby

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Getting goal decision so wrong is 'baffling' - Rooney BBC Sport 09-13
Watch: Match of the Day BBC Sport 09-13
Watch: Match of the Day BBC Sport 09-13
‘An error of judgement’: Pro Ref admits mistake in awarding Haaland’s derby winner The Guardian 09-13
Refereeing body admits judgement error over Haaland derby winner BBC Sport 09-13
Italians in the Premier League: Donnarumma the derby hero as Tonali’s Spurs misery continues Football Italia 09-13
Joint-worst start since 1992 and fan protests - Man Utd's day to forget BBC Sport 09-13
Deja vu for Pro Ref? Neville slams 'shocker' VAR decision to give Haaland goal Sky Sports 09-13
Haaland scores controversial winner as Man City win derby despite Foden red BBC Sport 09-13
Haaland scores controversial derby winner for Man City after Foden red Sky Sports 09-13
Fernandes and Foden should have been sent off - Maresca BBC Sport 09-13
Carrick 'baffled' by decision to award controversial Man City goal BBC Sport 09-13