Stoke

Stoke

VS Scheduled Saturday 5 Dec 202615:00

England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 19

QPR

Head-to-head overview

16 meetings

StokeWins: 4
Draws37.5% of meetings: 6
QPRWins: 6

Goals per match: 2.06
Over 2.5 goals: 31.2%
Both teams scored: 37.5%

Date	Season	Match
2026-01-17	25/26	Stoke0–0QPR
2025-09-20	25/26	QPR1–0Stoke
2025-03-29	24/25	Stoke3–1QPR
2024-11-23	24/25	QPR1–1Stoke
2024-02-14	23/24	Stoke1–0QPR
2023-11-28	23/24	QPR4–2Stoke
2023-04-29	22/23	Stoke0–1QPR
2022-09-17	22/23	QPR0–0Stoke
2022-04-23	21/22	Stoke1–0QPR
2021-12-05	21/22	QPR0–2Stoke
2021-05-01	20/21	Stoke0–2QPR
2020-12-15	20/21	QPR0–0Stoke
2020-02-15	19/20	QPR4–2Stoke
2019-08-03	19/20	Stoke1–2QPR
2019-03-09	18/19	QPR0–0Stoke
2018-11-24	18/19	Stoke2–2QPR

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Stoke2–1Sheffield United
2026-09-13	26/27	Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-12	26/27	Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-08	26/27	Cardiff1–1Stoke
2026-09-05	26/27	Stoke4–0Charlton
2026-09-01	26/27	Stoke1–0Norwich
2026-08-29	26/27	Wolves4–1Stoke
2026-08-22	26/27	Southampton3–1Stoke

QPR

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	QPR2–2Preston
2026-09-13	26/27	West Brom1–1QPR
2026-09-12	26/27	West Brom1–1QPR
2026-09-09	26/27	Charlton0–0QPR
2026-09-05	26/27	QPR0–1Middlesbrough
2026-09-02	26/27	QPR2–1Cardiff
2026-08-29	26/27	Blackburn1–2QPR
2026-08-22	26/27	QPR0–0Bolton

Stoke QPR

Wins

62%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

38%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Stoke

Home · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Stoke	1–2	Swansea	1	10′ Home
5	Stoke		Middlesbrough	2
5	Stoke		Southampton	3
5	Stoke		Wolves	4
5 · Stoke
5	Stoke		West Ham	6
5	Stoke		West Brom	7
5	Stoke		QPR	8
5	Stoke		Birmingham	9
5	Stoke		Lincoln	10
5	Stoke		Bolton	11
5	Stoke	4–0	Charlton	12	15′ Home
5	Stoke		Bristol City	13
5	Stoke		Blackburn	14
5	Stoke		Millwall	15
5	Stoke		Wrexham	16
5	Stoke		Portsmouth	17
5	Stoke	1–0	Norwich	18	13′ Home
5	Stoke	2–1	Sheffield United	19	51′ Away
5	Stoke		Watford	20
5	Stoke		Cardiff	21
5	Stoke		Derby	22
5	Stoke		Preston	23
5	Stoke		Burnley	24

QPR

Away · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Swansea		QPR	8
2	Middlesbrough		QPR	8
3	Southampton		QPR	8
4	Wolves		QPR	8
5	Stoke		QPR	8
6	West Ham		QPR	8
7	West Brom	1–1	QPR	8	—
7	West Brom	1–1	QPR	8	—
8 · QPR
9	Birmingham		QPR	8
10	Lincoln		QPR	8
11	Bolton		QPR	8
12	Charlton	0–0	QPR	8	–
13	Bristol City		QPR	8
14	Blackburn	1–2	QPR	8	49′ Home
15	Millwall		QPR	8
16	Wrexham		QPR	8
17	Portsmouth	1–3	QPR	8	15′ Home
18	Norwich		QPR	8
19	Sheffield United		QPR	8
20	Watford		QPR	8
21	Cardiff		QPR	8
22	Derby		QPR	8
23	Preston		QPR	8
24	Burnley		QPR	8

Stoke Home QPR Away

Wins

75%

40%

Over 1.5

75%

80%

Over 2.5

75%

40%

Over 3.5

25%

20%

Both teams scored

50%

80%

Clean sheets

50%

20%

Scores first

75%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Stoke

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.25	1.40	1.78
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.40	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.75	2.00	1.44
Total goals / match	2.75	3.40	3.11
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	2	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

QPR

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.80	1.56
Draws	50.0%	60.0%	55.6%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.40	1.22
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.80	0.89
Total goals / match	2.00	2.20	2.11
Failed to score	50.0%	20.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	60.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Stoke	Draw	QPR	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.9%	26.1%	34.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.1%	21.7%	52.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.28–1.99 Model expected goals

61.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.0% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.7%

1-29.6%

0-17.6%

0-27.5%

1-36.4%

2-16.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Stoke	QPR	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1474	1491	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	48	32	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1491	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	43.5%	52.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	44.9%	53.1%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	918	952	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	34.4%	25.9%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	57.3%	69.3%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Stoke	0.79	0.53	0.58	1.21
QPR	0.58	0.74	0.79	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Stoke	8%	12%	25%	30%	25%
QPR	15%	8%	15%	25%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Stoke at home, 10 matches

1.30 QPR away, 10 matches

77d Days of rest for Stoke

77d Days of rest for QPR

— Manager of Stoke

— Manager of QPR

0 Matches for Stoke in the last 14 days

0 Matches for QPR in the last 14 days

4 Points for Stoke behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

6 Points for QPR behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

27.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Stoke, the right bar represents QPR.

On the ball

20 matches

11.59

shots

14.06

3.59

shots on target

5.0

31.0%

accuracy

35.6%

5.94

corners

5.37

12.53

fouls

10.63

2.05

yellow cards

2.16

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Stoke	WWWDWWLLLL	1.60	1.50–1.50	3W
QPR	DDDDLWWDWL	1.40	1.10–1.10	4D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Stoke	7	6	6	0	2
QPR	4	8	7	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Stoke

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

QPR

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Foxes pain and Burnley suffer hangover - Aaron McLean's EFL takeaways BBC Sport 09-05