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Cardiff
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 19
Lincoln
Recent matches

Cardiff

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Cardiff3–1Charlton
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton1–0Cardiff
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton1–0Cardiff
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Cardiff1–1Stoke
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Portsmouth2–0Cardiff
2026-09-02 England, Championship 26/27 QPR2–1Cardiff
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Cardiff2–2Sheffield United
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Derby2–2Cardiff

Lincoln

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–2Swansea
2026-09-15 England, Championship 26/27 Bristol City0–1Lincoln
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Preston0–1Lincoln
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–1Southampton
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln0–0Blackburn
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton0–1Lincoln
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Lincoln1–3Portsmouth
Cardiff Lincoln

Wins

12%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
25%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

0%
62%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cardiff

Home · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
21 Cardiff Swansea 1
21 Cardiff Middlesbrough 2
21 Cardiff Southampton 3
21 Cardiff Wolves 4
21 Cardiff 1–1 Stoke 5 22′ Away
21 Cardiff West Ham 6
21 Cardiff West Brom 7
21 Cardiff QPR 8
21 Cardiff Birmingham 9
21 Cardiff Lincoln 10
21 Cardiff Bolton 11
21 Cardiff 3–1 Charlton 12 8′ Home
21 Cardiff Bristol City 13
21 Cardiff Blackburn 14
21 Cardiff Millwall 15
21 Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham 16 3′ Away
21 Cardiff Portsmouth 17
21 Cardiff Norwich 18
21 Cardiff 2–2 Sheffield United 19 2′ Home
21 Cardiff Watford 20
21 · Cardiff
21 Cardiff Derby 22
21 Cardiff Preston 23
21 Cardiff Burnley 24

Lincoln

Away · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
1 Swansea Lincoln 10
2 Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln 10 12′ Away
3 Southampton Lincoln 10
4 Wolves Lincoln 10
5 Stoke Lincoln 10
6 West Ham Lincoln 10
7 West Brom Lincoln 10
8 QPR Lincoln 10
9 Birmingham Lincoln 10
10 · Lincoln
11 Bolton 0–1 Lincoln 10 66′ Away
12 Charlton Lincoln 10
13 Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln 10 53′ Away
14 Blackburn Lincoln 10
15 Millwall Lincoln 10
16 Wrexham Lincoln 10
17 Portsmouth Lincoln 10
18 Norwich Lincoln 10
19 Sheffield United Lincoln 10
20 Watford Lincoln 10
21 Cardiff Lincoln 10
22 Derby Lincoln 10
23 Preston 0–1 Lincoln 10 81′ Away
23 Preston 0–1 Lincoln 10 —
24 Burnley Lincoln 10
Cardiff Home Lincoln Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cardiff

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.500.200.78
Draws75.0%20.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match1.750.601.11
Goals conceded / match1.251.601.44
Total goals / match3.002.202.56
Failed to score0.0%60.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%60.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1523
16–3012
31–4510
46–6000
61–7520
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lincoln

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.502.401.56
Draws50.0%0.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match0.751.000.89
Goals conceded / match1.500.400.89
Total goals / match2.251.401.78
Failed to score25.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%80.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 4 of 5 80%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCardiffDraw LincolnHow it works
Strength (Elo) 33.5% 26.0% 40.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 20.3% 31.8% 47.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.62–1.13 Model expected goals
25.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
31.4% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 19.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-119.5%
0-017.3%
1-112.2%
0-211.1%
1-010.8%
1-26.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCardiffLincoln How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1429 1507 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 14 14 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1485 1499 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 52.8% 46.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 50.6% 35.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 876 1055 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 21.8% 28.6% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.8% 76.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Cardiff 0.470.58 0.790.68
Lincoln 0.380.50 0.380.62

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Cardiff 5%10%38%22%25%
Lincoln 11%44%11%22%11%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Cardiff at home, 9 matches
2.40 Lincoln away, 5 matches
77d Days of rest for Cardiff
77d Days of rest for Lincoln
— Manager of Cardiff
— Manager of Lincoln
0 Matches for Cardiff in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Lincoln in the last 14 days
13 Points for Cardiff behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Lincoln behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cardiff, the right bar represents Lincoln.

On the ball

20 matches
14.76
shots
14.0
4.59
shots on target
2.8
31.1%
accuracy
20.0%
6.11
corners
4.29
10.79
fouls
13.5
1.74
yellow cards
2.71

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Cardiff WLLDLLDDDL 0.70 1.20–1.70 1W
Lincoln LWWWDDWLL 1.56 0.89–0.89 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Cardiff3 97 02
Lincoln2 42 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cardiff

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lincoln

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Hampshire Police investigating Bielik incident at Portsmouth Sky Sports 09-07
Police investigate Bielik fan clash at Portsmouth BBC Sport 09-06