Southampton

Southampton

VS Scheduled Wednesday 9 Dec 202620:00

England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 20

Burnley

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Wrexham2–1Southampton
2026-09-13	26/27	Southampton4–1Bristol City
2026-09-12	26/27	Southampton4–1Bristol City
2026-09-08	26/27	Southampton3–1Swansea
2026-09-05	26/27	Lincoln1–1Southampton
2026-09-01	26/27	Birmingham1–1Southampton
2026-08-29	26/27	Southampton5–1Millwall
2026-08-22	26/27	Southampton3–1Stoke

Burnley

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Burnley1–1Derby
2026-09-13	26/27	Swansea3–1Burnley
2026-09-12	26/27	Swansea3–1Burnley
2026-09-08	26/27	Wrexham1–1Burnley
2026-09-05	26/27	Burnley1–2Bristol City
2026-09-02	26/27	Burnley1–1Middlesbrough
2026-08-29	26/27	Norwich4–1Burnley
2026-08-23	26/27	West Brom3–1Burnley

Southampton Burnley

Wins

62%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

62%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Southampton

Home · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Southampton	3–1	Swansea	1	9′ Home
3	Southampton		Middlesbrough	2
3 · Southampton
3	Southampton		Wolves	4
3	Southampton	3–1	Stoke	5	8′ Home
3	Southampton		West Ham	6
3	Southampton		West Brom	7
3	Southampton		QPR	8
3	Southampton		Birmingham	9
3	Southampton		Lincoln	10
3	Southampton		Bolton	11
3	Southampton		Charlton	12
3	Southampton	4–1	Bristol City	13	38′ Home
3	Southampton	4–1	Bristol City	13	—
3	Southampton		Blackburn	14
3	Southampton	5–1	Millwall	15	15′ Away
3	Southampton		Wrexham	16
3	Southampton		Portsmouth	17
3	Southampton		Norwich	18
3	Southampton		Sheffield United	19
3	Southampton		Watford	20
3	Southampton		Cardiff	21
3	Southampton		Derby	22
3	Southampton		Preston	23
3	Southampton		Burnley	24

Burnley

Away · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Swansea	3–1	Burnley	24	14′ Home
1	Swansea	3–1	Burnley	24	—
2	Middlesbrough		Burnley	24
3	Southampton		Burnley	24
4	Wolves		Burnley	24
5	Stoke		Burnley	24
6	West Ham		Burnley	24
7	West Brom	3–1	Burnley	24	—
8	QPR		Burnley	24
9	Birmingham		Burnley	24
10	Lincoln		Burnley	24
11	Bolton		Burnley	24
12	Charlton		Burnley	24
13	Bristol City		Burnley	24
14	Blackburn		Burnley	24
15	Millwall		Burnley	24
16	Wrexham	1–1	Burnley	24	26′ Away
17	Portsmouth		Burnley	24
18	Norwich	4–1	Burnley	24	2′ Home
19	Sheffield United		Burnley	24
20	Watford		Burnley	24
21	Cardiff		Burnley	24
22	Derby		Burnley	24
23	Preston		Burnley	24
24 · Burnley

Southampton Home Burnley Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

80%

Over 3.5

100%

80%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Southampton

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.50	1.89
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.80	1.00	2.56
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.22
Total goals / match	4.80	2.50	3.78
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Burnley

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.75	0.20	0.44
Draws	75.0%	20.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.00	1.11
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.80	2.22
Total goals / match	2.75	3.80	3.33
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	20.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Southampton	Draw	Burnley	How it works
Strength (Elo)	53.0%	22.1%	24.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	49.5%	20.5%	27.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.19–1.56 Model expected goals

69.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

67.8% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 8.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-18.8%

1-18.0%

2-26.9%

3-16.4%

1-26.3%

2-05.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Southampton	Burnley	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1627	1540	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	1	-186	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1510	1510	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	53.2%	54.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	54.1%	57.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1223	1068	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	45.9%	41.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	76.4%	65.5%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Southampton	0.89	1.42	0.53	0.53
Burnley	1.05	0.68	0.68	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Southampton	2%	8%	22%	25%	42%
Burnley	20%	10%	25%	20%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.64 Southampton at home, 11 matches

1.40 Burnley away, 10 matches

81d Days of rest for Southampton

81d Days of rest for Burnley

— Manager of Southampton

— Manager of Burnley

0 Matches for Southampton in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Burnley in the last 14 days

3 Points for Southampton behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Burnley behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

27.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Southampton, the right bar represents Burnley.

On the ball

20 matches

15.24

shots

13.12

5.0

shots on target

4.41

32.8%

accuracy

33.6%

5.68

corners

4.89

8.32

fouls

10.26

1.67

yellow cards

1.84

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Southampton	LWWWDDWWLW	2.00	2.60–1.20	1L
Burnley	DLLDLDLLDW	0.70	1.30–2.10	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Southampton	10	4	5	2	2
Burnley	8	7	4	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Southampton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Burnley

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Spygate saga continues to haunt Southampton as case drags on The Guardian 09-13

'I thought I was going to die' - Burnley boss on sepsis scare BBC Sport 09-13

Jamie Vardy takes party to Burnley after signing deal with Championship strugglers The Guardian 09-06

Ex-Leicester striker Vardy joins Burnley BBC Sport 09-06

Foxes pain and Burnley suffer hangover - Aaron McLean's EFL takeaways BBC Sport 09-05