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Birmingham
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 22
West Ham
Recent matches

Birmingham

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Middlesbrough
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Derby1–2Birmingham
2026-09-09 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich2–1Birmingham
2026-09-06 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Wolves
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham1–1Southampton
2026-08-28 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham1–2Birmingham
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Birmingham2–2Bristol City

West Ham

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Millwall2–2West Ham
2026-09-11 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham6–0Wrexham
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton2–3West Ham
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham3–0Derby
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham4–2Wolves
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–1West Ham
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham1–2Charlton
2026-08-16 England, Championship 26/27 Burnley2–2West Ham
Birmingham West Ham

Wins

38%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
88%

Both teams scored

100%
75%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

West Ham

Away · Championship
Birmingham Home West Ham Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Birmingham

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.002.001.56
Draws100.0%20.0%55.6%
Goals scored / match1.751.401.56
Goals conceded / match1.751.001.33
Total goals / match3.502.402.89
Failed to score0.0%20.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%20.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

West Ham

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match2.251.501.88
Draws0.0%75.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match3.502.002.75
Goals conceded / match1.001.751.38
Total goals / match4.503.754.12
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBirminghamDraw West HamHow it works
Strength (Elo) 38.6% 26.2% 35.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 15.1% 16.6% 62.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.21–2.65 Model expected goals
68.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
61.4% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 8.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-28.9%
1-37.9%
0-27.4%
1-16.7%
0-36.5%
0-15.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBirminghamWest Ham How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1523 1552 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 27 47 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1512 1515 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 52.2% 54.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 54.1% 56.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 969 1078 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 26.4% 43.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 70.5% 64.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Birmingham 0.680.53 0.790.32
West Ham 1.121.62 0.880.50

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Birmingham 5%10%32%35%18%
West Ham 0%0%12%25%62%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Birmingham at home, 10 matches
1.50 West Ham away, 4 matches
91d Days of rest for Birmingham
91d Days of rest for West Ham
— Manager of Birmingham
— Manager of West Ham
0 Matches for Birmingham in the last 14 days
0 Matches for West Ham in the last 14 days
6 Points for Birmingham behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
5 Points for West Ham behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Birmingham, the right bar represents West Ham.

On the ball

20 matches
12.35
shots
15.33
4.24
shots on target
5.33
34.3%
accuracy
34.8%
5.95
corners
6.38
12.68
fouls
8.75
2.0
yellow cards
2.29

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Birmingham DWWLDDWDDD 1.50 1.50–1.30 1D
West Ham DWWWWDLD 1.88 2.75–1.38 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Birmingham4 96 00
West Ham4 22 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Birmingham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

West Ham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams