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Watford
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 22
Bolton
Recent matches

Watford

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 England, Championship 26/27 Bristol City1–0Watford
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Watford2–1Preston
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom1–0Watford
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Swansea2–0Watford
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Watford1–1West Ham
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham1–1Watford

Bolton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich3–4Bolton
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton1–0Cardiff
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton1–0Cardiff
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton2–3West Ham
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Millwall4–0Bolton
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Sheffield United3–2Bolton
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton0–1Lincoln
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 QPR0–0Bolton
Watford Bolton

Wins

12%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

0%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Watford

Home · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
20 Watford Swansea 1
20 Watford Middlesbrough 2
20 Watford 2–1 Southampton 3 12′ Home
20 Watford Wolves 4
20 Watford 1–2 Stoke 5 45+4′ Away
20 Watford 1–2 Stoke 5 —
20 Watford 1–1 West Ham 6 —
20 Watford West Brom 7
20 Watford QPR 8
20 Watford Birmingham 9
20 Watford Lincoln 10
20 Watford Bolton 11
20 Watford Charlton 12
20 Watford Bristol City 13
20 Watford Blackburn 14
20 Watford Millwall 15
20 Watford Wrexham 16
20 Watford Portsmouth 17
20 Watford Norwich 18
20 Watford Sheffield United 19
20 · Watford
20 Watford Cardiff 21
20 Watford Derby 22
20 Watford 2–1 Preston 23 5′ Away
20 Watford Burnley 24

Bolton

Away · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
1 Swansea Bolton 11
2 Middlesbrough Bolton 11
3 Southampton Bolton 11
4 Wolves Bolton 11
5 Stoke Bolton 11
6 West Ham Bolton 11
7 West Brom Bolton 11
8 QPR 0–0 Bolton 11 –
9 Birmingham Bolton 11
10 Lincoln Bolton 11
11 · Bolton
12 Charlton Bolton 11
13 Bristol City Bolton 11
14 Blackburn Bolton 11
15 Millwall 4–0 Bolton 11 38′ Home
16 Wrexham Bolton 11
17 Portsmouth Bolton 11
18 Norwich 3–4 Bolton 11 5′ Home
19 Sheffield United 3–2 Bolton 11 1′ Away
20 Watford Bolton 11
21 Cardiff Bolton 11
22 Derby Bolton 11
23 Preston Bolton 11
24 Burnley Bolton 11
Watford Home Bolton Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Watford

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.400.250.89
Draws20.0%25.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.400.250.89
Goals conceded / match1.401.251.33
Total goals / match2.801.502.22
Failed to score0.0%75.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%100.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bolton

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.801.001.44
Draws0.0%25.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match1.201.501.33
Goals conceded / match1.002.501.67
Total goals / match2.204.003.00
Failed to score20.0%50.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%25.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1522
16–3001
31–4511
46–6010
61–7522
76–9004

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWatfordDraw BoltonHow it works
Strength (Elo) 35.7% 26.2% 38.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 26.9% 25.9% 46.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.07–1.50 Model expected goals
46.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.6% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.3%
0-111.5%
1-29.2%
0-28.6%
1-08.2%
0-07.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWatfordBolton How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1421 1477 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -13 185 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1492 1483 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 47.9% 47.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 43.5% 38.3% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 859 859 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 20.0% 22.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.9% 63.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Watford 0.320.47 0.890.89
Bolton 0.440.56 0.891.17

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Watford 5%12%38%25%20%
Bolton 5%25%28%20%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 Watford at home, 10 matches
0.78 Bolton away, 9 matches
92d Days of rest for Watford
90d Days of rest for Bolton
— Manager of Watford
— Manager of Bolton
0 Matches for Watford in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Bolton in the last 14 days
12 Points for Watford behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
7 Points for Bolton behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Watford, the right bar represents Bolton.

On the ball

20 matches
13.35
shots
12.06
4.12
shots on target
3.56
30.8%
accuracy
29.5%
4.68
corners
4.67
12.05
fouls
11.67
2.63
yellow cards
1.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Watford LLLWLLDDWL 0.80 0.80–1.60 3L
Bolton WWWLLLLDWL 1.30 1.20–1.60 3W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Watford2 611 10
Bolton2 88 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Watford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bolton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.