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Bolton
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 23
Burnley
Recent matches

Bolton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich3–4Bolton
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton1–0Cardiff
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton1–0Cardiff
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton2–3West Ham
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Millwall4–0Bolton
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Sheffield United3–2Bolton
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton0–1Lincoln
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 QPR0–0Bolton

Burnley

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Burnley1–1Derby
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Swansea3–1Burnley
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Swansea3–1Burnley
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham1–1Burnley
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Burnley1–2Bristol City
2026-09-02 England, Championship 26/27 Burnley1–1Middlesbrough
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich4–1Burnley
2026-08-23 England, Championship 26/27 West Brom3–1Burnley
Bolton Burnley

Wins

38%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
62%

Both teams scored

38%
100%

Clean sheets

38%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Bolton

Home · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
11 Bolton Swansea 1
11 Bolton Middlesbrough 2
11 Bolton Southampton 3
11 Bolton Wolves 4
11 Bolton Stoke 5
11 Bolton 2–3 West Ham 6 13′ Away
11 Bolton West Brom 7
11 Bolton QPR 8
11 Bolton Birmingham 9
11 Bolton 0–1 Lincoln 10 66′ Away
11 · Bolton
11 Bolton Charlton 12
11 Bolton Bristol City 13
11 Bolton Blackburn 14
11 Bolton Millwall 15
11 Bolton Wrexham 16
11 Bolton Portsmouth 17
11 Bolton Norwich 18
11 Bolton Sheffield United 19
11 Bolton Watford 20
11 Bolton 1–0 Cardiff 21 90′ Home
11 Bolton 1–0 Cardiff 21 —
11 Bolton Derby 22
11 Bolton 2–1 Preston 23 14′ Home
11 Bolton Burnley 24

Burnley

Away · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
1 Swansea 3–1 Burnley 24 14′ Home
1 Swansea 3–1 Burnley 24 —
2 Middlesbrough Burnley 24
3 Southampton Burnley 24
4 Wolves Burnley 24
5 Stoke Burnley 24
6 West Ham Burnley 24
7 West Brom 3–1 Burnley 24 —
8 QPR Burnley 24
9 Birmingham Burnley 24
10 Lincoln Burnley 24
11 Bolton Burnley 24
12 Charlton Burnley 24
13 Bristol City Burnley 24
14 Blackburn Burnley 24
15 Millwall Burnley 24
16 Wrexham 1–1 Burnley 24 26′ Away
17 Portsmouth Burnley 24
18 Norwich 4–1 Burnley 24 2′ Home
19 Sheffield United Burnley 24
20 Watford Burnley 24
21 Cardiff Burnley 24
22 Derby Burnley 24
23 Preston Burnley 24
24 · Burnley
Bolton Home Burnley Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Bolton

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.801.001.44
Draws0.0%25.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match1.201.501.33
Goals conceded / match1.002.501.67
Total goals / match2.204.003.00
Failed to score20.0%50.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%25.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Burnley

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.750.200.44
Draws75.0%20.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match1.251.001.11
Goals conceded / match1.502.802.22
Total goals / match2.753.803.33
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%20.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBoltonDraw BurnleyHow it works
Strength (Elo) 34.9% 26.2% 38.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 8.7% 13.5% 71.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.87–2.83 Model expected goals
64.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.6% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 9.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-29.9%
0-39.4%
1-28.6%
1-38.1%
0-17.0%
0-46.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBoltonBurnley How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1477 1540 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 185 -186 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1483 1510 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 47.3% 54.9% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 38.3% 57.7% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 859 1068 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 22.8% 41.3% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 63.0% 65.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Bolton 0.440.56 0.891.17
Burnley 1.050.68 0.680.53

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Bolton 5%25%28%20%22%
Burnley 20%10%25%20%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.09 Bolton at home, 11 matches
1.40 Burnley away, 10 matches
97d Days of rest for Bolton
98d Days of rest for Burnley
— Manager of Bolton
— Manager of Burnley
0 Matches for Bolton in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Burnley in the last 14 days
7 Points for Bolton behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
16 Points for Burnley behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bolton, the right bar represents Burnley.

On the ball

20 matches
12.06
shots
13.12
3.56
shots on target
4.41
29.5%
accuracy
33.6%
4.67
corners
4.89
11.67
fouls
10.26
1.0
yellow cards
1.84

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Bolton WWWLLLLDWL 1.30 1.20–1.60 3W
Burnley DLLDLDLLDW 0.70 1.30–2.10 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Bolton2 88 00
Burnley8 74 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bolton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Burnley

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

'I thought I was going to die' - Burnley boss on sepsis scare BBC Sport 09-13
Jamie Vardy takes party to Burnley after signing deal with Championship strugglers The Guardian 09-06
Ex-Leicester striker Vardy joins Burnley BBC Sport 09-06
Foxes pain and Burnley suffer hangover - Aaron McLean's EFL takeaways BBC Sport 09-05