Head-to-head overview
16 meetings- Bristol CityWins
- 8
- Draws12.5% of meetings
- 2
- StokeWins
- 6
- Goals per match
- 2.69
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43.8%
- Both teams scored
- 43.8%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 |
25/26
|
Bristol City2–0Stoke |
| 2025-11-01 |
25/26
|
Stoke5–1Bristol City |
| 2025-02-12 |
24/25
|
Bristol City2–0Stoke |
| 2024-10-22 |
24/25
|
Stoke2–2Bristol City |
| 2024-05-04 |
23/24
|
Stoke4–0Bristol City |
| 2023-09-30 |
23/24
|
Bristol City2–3Stoke |
| 2023-04-07 |
22/23
|
Stoke1–2Bristol City |
| 2022-12-17 |
22/23
|
Bristol City1–2Stoke |
| 2022-04-15 |
21/22
|
Stoke0–1Bristol City |
| 2021-11-24 |
21/22
|
Bristol City1–0Stoke |
| 2021-04-02 |
20/21
|
Bristol City0–2Stoke |
| 2020-09-20 |
20/21
|
Stoke0–2Bristol City |
| 2020-07-15 |
19/20
|
Bristol City1–1Stoke |
| 2019-09-14 |
19/20
|
Stoke1–2Bristol City |
| 2019-01-01 |
18/19
|
Stoke0–2Bristol City |
| 2018-10-27 |
18/19
|
Bristol City0–1Stoke |
Recent matches
Bristol City
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 |
26/27
|
Bristol City1–0Watford |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Bristol City0–1Lincoln |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Southampton4–1Bristol City |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Southampton4–1Bristol City |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Burnley1–2Bristol City |
| 2026-09-01 |
26/27
|
Preston1–3Bristol City |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Bristol City2–1Portsmouth |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Birmingham2–2Bristol City |
Stoke
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Stoke2–1Sheffield United |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Watford1–2Stoke |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Watford1–2Stoke |
| 2026-09-08 |
26/27
|
Cardiff1–1Stoke |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Stoke4–0Charlton |
| 2026-09-01 |
26/27
|
Stoke1–0Norwich |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Wolves4–1Stoke |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Southampton3–1Stoke |
Bristol City
Stoke
Wins
50%
62%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
75%
Both teams scored
75%
75%
Clean sheets
12%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Bristol City
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bristol City | Swansea | 1 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Middlesbrough | 2 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Southampton | 3 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Wolves | 4 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | West Ham | 6 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | West Brom | 7 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | QPR | 8 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Birmingham | 9 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | 0–1 | Lincoln | 10 | 53′ Away |
| 13 | Bristol City | Bolton | 11 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Charlton | 12 | ||
| 13 · Bristol City | |||||
| 13 | Bristol City | Blackburn | 14 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | 0–2 | Millwall | 15 | 41′ Away |
| 13 | Bristol City | Wrexham | 16 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | 2–1 | Portsmouth | 17 | 31′ Home |
| 13 | Bristol City | Norwich | 18 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Sheffield United | 19 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | 1–0 | Watford | 20 | 31′ Home |
| 13 | Bristol City | Cardiff | 21 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Derby | 22 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Preston | 23 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Burnley | 24 | ||
Stoke
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 2 | Middlesbrough | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 3 | Southampton | 3–1 | Stoke | 5 | 8′ Home |
| 4 | Wolves | 4–1 | Stoke | 5 | 2′ Away |
| 5 · Stoke | |||||
| 6 | West Ham | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 7 | West Brom | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 8 | QPR | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 9 | Birmingham | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 10 | Lincoln | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 11 | Bolton | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 12 | Charlton | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 13 | Bristol City | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 14 | Blackburn | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 15 | Millwall | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 16 | Wrexham | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 17 | Portsmouth | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 18 | Norwich | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 19 | Sheffield United | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 20 | Watford | 1–2 | Stoke | 5 | 45+4′ Away |
| 20 | Watford | 1–2 | Stoke | 5 | — |
| 21 | Cardiff | 1–1 | Stoke | 5 | 22′ Away |
| 22 | Derby | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 23 | Preston | Stoke | 5 | ||
| 24 | Burnley | Stoke | 5 | ||
Bristol City Home
Stoke Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Bristol City
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.44 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 20.0% | 11.1% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.75 | 1.80 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 2.40 | 1.78 |
| Total goals / match | 1.75 | 4.20 | 3.11 |
| Failed to score | 50.0% | 0.0% | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 75.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 2— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 4/4 home.Scoring order known: 7/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 2 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Stoke
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.25 | 1.40 | 1.78 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 20.0% | 11.1% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.00 | 1.40 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Total goals / match | 2.75 | 3.40 | 3.11 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 4/5 away.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Bristol City | Draw | Stoke | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 43.7% | 25.4% | 30.9% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 29.4% | 22.7% | 46.4% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.41–1.83
Model expected goals
61.5%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
62.4%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 10.1%
Most likely scores
1-110.1%
1-29.2%
0-17.1%
2-17.1%
0-26.5%
2-26.5%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Bristol City | Stoke | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1490 | 1474 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 18 | 48 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1523 | 1491 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 42.2% | 43.5% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 46.6% | 44.9% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1013 | 918 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 32.3% | 34.4% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 69.0% | 57.3% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 0.47 | 0.68 | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| Stoke | 0.79 | 0.53 | 0.58 | 1.21 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 5% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 28% |
| Stoke | 8% | 12% | 25% | 30% | 25% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.33
Bristol City at home, 9 matches
0.70
Stoke away, 10 matches
102d
Days of rest for Bristol City
101d
Days of rest for Stoke
—
Manager of Bristol City
—
Manager of Stoke
0
Matches for Bristol City in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Stoke in the last 14 days
7
Points for Bristol City behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
4
Points for Stoke behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
2.57
League goals per match
27.4%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bristol City, the right bar represents Stoke.
On the ball
10.81
11.59
shots
3.88
3.59
shots on target
35.8%
31.0%
accuracy
4.84
5.94
corners
10.21
12.53
fouls
1.78
2.05
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | WLLLWWWDLW | 1.60 | 1.40–1.60 | 1W |
| Stoke | WWWDWWLLLL | 1.60 | 1.50–1.50 | 3W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Stoke | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Bristol City
No absences reported.
Stoke
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
Spygate saga continues to haunt Southampton as case drags on
The Guardian
09-13