Watford

Watford

VS Scheduled Tuesday 29 Dec 202619:45

England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 24

Wolves

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Bristol City1–0Watford
2026-09-13	26/27	Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-12	26/27	Watford1–2Stoke
2026-09-08	26/27	Watford2–1Preston
2026-09-05	26/27	West Brom1–0Watford
2026-09-01	26/27	Swansea2–0Watford
2026-08-29	26/27	Watford1–1West Ham
2026-08-22	26/27	Wrexham1–1Watford

Wolves

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Wolves1–0West Brom
2026-09-14	26/27	Sheffield United0–1Wolves
2026-09-13	26/27	Sheffield United0–1Wolves
2026-09-06	26/27	Birmingham2–2Wolves
2026-09-01	26/27	West Ham4–2Wolves
2026-08-29	26/27	Wolves4–1Stoke
2026-08-22	26/27	Preston1–3Wolves
2026-08-14	26/27	Wolves2–2Blackburn

Watford Wolves

Wins

12%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Watford

Home · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
20	Watford		Swansea	1
20	Watford		Middlesbrough	2
20	Watford	2–1	Southampton	3	12′ Home
20	Watford		Wolves	4
20	Watford	1–2	Stoke	5	45+4′ Away
20	Watford	1–2	Stoke	5	—
20	Watford	1–1	West Ham	6	—
20	Watford		West Brom	7
20	Watford		QPR	8
20	Watford		Birmingham	9
20	Watford		Lincoln	10
20	Watford		Bolton	11
20	Watford		Charlton	12
20	Watford		Bristol City	13
20	Watford		Blackburn	14
20	Watford		Millwall	15
20	Watford		Wrexham	16
20	Watford		Portsmouth	17
20	Watford		Norwich	18
20	Watford		Sheffield United	19
20 · Watford
20	Watford		Cardiff	21
20	Watford		Derby	22
20	Watford	2–1	Preston	23	5′ Away
20	Watford		Burnley	24

Wolves

Away · Championship

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Swansea		Wolves	4
2	Middlesbrough		Wolves	4
3	Southampton		Wolves	4
4 · Wolves
5	Stoke		Wolves	4
6	West Ham	4–2	Wolves	4	—
7	West Brom		Wolves	4
8	QPR		Wolves	4
9	Birmingham	2–2	Wolves	4	—
10	Lincoln		Wolves	4
11	Bolton		Wolves	4
12	Charlton		Wolves	4
13	Bristol City		Wolves	4
14	Blackburn		Wolves	4
15	Millwall		Wolves	4
16	Wrexham		Wolves	4
17	Portsmouth		Wolves	4
18	Norwich		Wolves	4
19	Sheffield United	0–1	Wolves	4	90′ Away
19	Sheffield United	0–1	Wolves	4	—
20	Watford		Wolves	4
21	Cardiff		Wolves	4
22	Derby		Wolves	4
23	Preston	1–3	Wolves	4	8′ Away
24	Burnley		Wolves	4

Watford Home Wolves Away

Wins

40%

60%

Over 1.5

100%

60%

Over 2.5

80%

60%

Over 3.5

0%

60%

Both teams scored

100%

60%

Clean sheets

0%

40%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Watford

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.25	0.89
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.40	0.25	0.89
Goals conceded / match	1.40	1.25	1.33
Total goals / match	2.80	1.50	2.22
Failed to score	0.0%	75.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	100.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wolves

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.00	2.12
Draws	33.3%	20.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	1.80	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.40	1.25
Total goals / match	3.33	3.20	3.25
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Watford	Draw	Wolves	How it works
Strength (Elo)	28.8%	24.6%	46.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	5.1%	11.3%	76.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.59–2.85 Model expected goals

59.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

38.9% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-213.0%

0-312.4%

0-19.1%

0-48.8%

1-27.7%

1-37.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Watford	Wolves	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1421	1549	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-13	-119	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1492	1484	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	47.9%	58.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	43.5%	63.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	859	993	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	20.0%	40.4%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	65.9%	58.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Watford	0.32	0.47	0.89	0.89
Wolves	1.05	0.95	0.58	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Watford	5%	12%	38%	25%	20%
Wolves	8%	20%	20%	20%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 Watford at home, 10 matches

2.00 Wolves away, 11 matches

102d Days of rest for Watford

100d Days of rest for Wolves

— Manager of Watford

— Manager of Wolves

0 Matches for Watford in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Wolves in the last 14 days

12 Points for Watford behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

3 Points for Wolves behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

27.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Watford, the right bar represents Wolves.

On the ball

20 matches

13.35

shots

14.0

4.12

shots on target

5.24

30.8%

accuracy

37.4%

4.68

corners

5.67

12.05

fouls

11.84

2.63

yellow cards

1.16

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Watford	LLLWLLDDWL	0.80	0.80–1.60	3L
Wolves	WWWDLWWDLD	1.80	1.60–1.30	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Watford	2	6	11	1	0
Wolves	9	8	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Watford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wolves

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

‘A dream come true’: behind the scenes with Wolves Women as they enter new era The Guardian 09-09

Armstrong spurns golden chance to win derby as Birmingham and Wolves draw The Guardian 09-06