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Wrexham
VS Scheduled England 26/27 Championship · Matchday 25
Bolton
Recent matches

Wrexham

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham2–1Southampton
2026-09-11 England, Championship 26/27 West Ham6–0Wrexham
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham1–1Burnley
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Swansea0–0Wrexham
2026-09-02 England, Championship 26/27 Millwall0–3Wrexham
2026-08-28 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham1–2Birmingham
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 Wrexham1–1Watford
2026-08-17 England, Championship 26/27 Cardiff1–1Wrexham

Bolton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 England, Championship 26/27 Norwich3–4Bolton
2026-09-13 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton1–0Cardiff
2026-09-12 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton1–0Cardiff
2026-09-08 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton2–3West Ham
2026-09-05 England, Championship 26/27 Millwall4–0Bolton
2026-09-01 England, Championship 26/27 Sheffield United3–2Bolton
2026-08-29 England, Championship 26/27 Bolton0–1Lincoln
2026-08-22 England, Championship 26/27 QPR0–0Bolton
Wrexham Bolton

Wins

25%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

25%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Wrexham

Home · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
16 Wrexham Swansea 1
16 Wrexham Middlesbrough 2
16 Wrexham 2–1 Southampton 3 —
16 Wrexham Wolves 4
16 Wrexham Stoke 5
16 Wrexham West Ham 6
16 Wrexham West Brom 7
16 Wrexham QPR 8
16 Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham 9 13′ Away
16 Wrexham Lincoln 10
16 Wrexham Bolton 11
16 Wrexham Charlton 12
16 Wrexham Bristol City 13
16 Wrexham Blackburn 14
16 Wrexham Millwall 15
16 · Wrexham
16 Wrexham Portsmouth 17
16 Wrexham Norwich 18
16 Wrexham Sheffield United 19
16 Wrexham 1–1 Watford 20 14′ Away
16 Wrexham Cardiff 21
16 Wrexham Derby 22
16 Wrexham Preston 23
16 Wrexham 1–1 Burnley 24 26′ Away

Bolton

Away · Championship
HomeAway1st goal
1 Swansea Bolton 11
2 Middlesbrough Bolton 11
3 Southampton Bolton 11
4 Wolves Bolton 11
5 Stoke Bolton 11
6 West Ham Bolton 11
7 West Brom Bolton 11
8 QPR 0–0 Bolton 11 –
9 Birmingham Bolton 11
10 Lincoln Bolton 11
11 · Bolton
12 Charlton Bolton 11
13 Bristol City Bolton 11
14 Blackburn Bolton 11
15 Millwall 4–0 Bolton 11 38′ Home
16 Wrexham Bolton 11
17 Portsmouth Bolton 11
18 Norwich 3–4 Bolton 11 5′ Home
19 Sheffield United 3–2 Bolton 11 1′ Away
20 Watford Bolton 11
21 Cardiff Bolton 11
22 Derby Bolton 11
23 Preston Bolton 11
24 Burnley Bolton 11
Wrexham Home Bolton Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Championship · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Wrexham

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.251.251.25
Draws50.0%50.0%50.0%
Goals scored / match1.251.001.12
Goals conceded / match1.251.751.50
Total goals / match2.502.752.62
Failed to score0.0%50.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%50.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bolton

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.801.001.44
Draws0.0%25.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match1.201.501.33
Goals conceded / match1.002.501.67
Total goals / match2.204.003.00
Failed to score20.0%50.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%25.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1522
16–3001
31–4511
46–6010
61–7522
76–9004

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWrexhamDraw BoltonHow it works
Strength (Elo) 48.1% 24.1% 27.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 44.6% 23.9% 30.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.67–1.33 Model expected goals
56.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.9% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.1%
2-19.2%
1-08.3%
1-27.4%
2-06.9%
0-16.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWrexhamBolton How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1527 1477 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -15 185 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1522 1483 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 47.8% 47.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 42.2% 38.3% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1083 859 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 40.4% 22.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 67.9% 63.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Wrexham 0.650.60 0.750.85
Bolton 0.440.56 0.891.17

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Wrexham 5%10%32%25%28%
Bolton 5%25%28%20%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.33 Wrexham at home, 9 matches
0.78 Bolton away, 9 matches
104d Days of rest for Wrexham
103d Days of rest for Bolton
— Manager of Wrexham
— Manager of Bolton
0 Matches for Wrexham in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Bolton in the last 14 days
10 Points for Wrexham behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
7 Points for Bolton behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.57 League goals per match
27.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Wrexham, the right bar represents Bolton.

On the ball

20 matches
11.06
shots
12.06
3.17
shots on target
3.56
28.6%
accuracy
29.5%
4.6
corners
4.67
10.6
fouls
11.67
1.32
yellow cards
1.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Wrexham WLDDWLDDDL 1.10 1.20–1.70 1W
Bolton WWWLLLLDWL 1.30 1.20–1.60 3W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Wrexham7 67 01
Bolton2 88 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Wrexham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bolton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Wrexham boss Parkinson says Swansea captain should have seen red BBC Sport 09-05
Football transfer rumours: Manchester United and Liverpool eye Kroupi? Vardy to Wrexham? The Guardian 09-01